Cup or Bust
Registered User
- Oct 17, 2017
- 4,628
- 4,189
Yeah exactly. It's one thing to lead the league in goals with 40 or 50 assists. It's another to do it getting 80 or 90.
McDavid heating up, what are odds on 150 points this season?
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Mr Buckles
Registered User
- Jun 6, 2018
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- 773
Speaking of assists, he picked up another one to reach 127 points for the year.
23 points needed in his last 15 games?
Seems very doable for him.
Craig Button
The C is for Coward - Brad Marchand 2024
He’ll hit 160 points with all the help the refs give him
Nemesis Prime
Registered User
fitting avatar for those takes
ReddestRum
Sad even when winning
- Dec 19, 2013
- 3,986
- 5,398
The Oilers are the 8th most penalized team in the league this year. Well above your team for sure.
Mr Buckles
Registered User
- Jun 6, 2018
- 419
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Are you implying that he's gone full ___ ?
You’re all kinds of butt hurt tonight
Calderon
Registered User
- Mar 24, 2006
- 1,259
- 893
Needs 33 points in 15 games to hit 160. If I did my calculations correctly he has exactly 33 points in his last 15 games (this TOR game included).
Craig Button
The C is for Coward - Brad Marchand 2024
We won regardless of the horrendous officiating and the Diving from a crappy team
La Bamba
Tier 2 Fan
- Aug 23, 2009
- 9,890
- 6,970
Enjoy the win because you’re not gonna see anymore after the 1st round for the 7th straight year
You literally had more powerplays. Get out of the thread if you’re just gonna be a troll
Frank the Tank
The Godfather
Back on topic... Thanks to the Leafs for contributing 6 points for McDavid's chase for 150 points.
No wonder getting even neutral reffing in a playoff series is such a smack to the face of Leafs fans if a blatantly tilted regular season game is “horrendous” in their eyes
BallardEra
Leafs&Caps Since 1982™
At this point all he has to do is match his scoring pace from last year in the final 15 games to hit 150.
He's been on a different level this season so I don't see him missing 150 at this point if he's healthy.
He's been on a different level this season so I don't see him missing 150 at this point if he's healthy.
I wish more people would be like us, Era.
Enjoying the magic that Connor is showing the world this year instead of discussing useless Leafs/Oiler game results.
BallardEra
Leafs&Caps Since 1982™
Well said man. Hopefully both teams meet in the finals so those same fans really go off.
Video Nasty
Registered User
- Mar 12, 2017
- 5,981
- 10,551
Needs 3 points in his final 15 games to hit 130.
Needs 13 points in his final 15 games to hit 140.
Needs 23 points in his final 15 games to hit 150.
It’s looking real good. Crickets from the experts.
Needs 13 points in his final 15 games to hit 140.
Needs 23 points in his final 15 games to hit 150.
It’s looking real good. Crickets from the experts.
BallardEra
Leafs&Caps Since 1982™
He is also now 29 points up on Draisaitl and 32 points up on Kucherov.
Video Nasty
Registered User
- Mar 12, 2017
- 5,981
- 10,551
That’s now a margin of 29.6% ahead of the runner up and 33.7% ahead of the closest non-teammate.
Only Howe and Gretzky have such victories to their name.
And it will be his second wildly dominant win. 25% over Drai and 52.1% over #3 Marchand in 2020-2021.
But yeah, between that, 5 Art Rosses, 3 Harts, 4 Lindsays, 150 points to come, and all his other accolades, he hasn’t separated himself enough from his peers for some people.
He needs 1 point against Ottawa to get to 30 points against each of the 4 divisions. By my count that would be the first time someone has done that since a pair of nobodies (the kind that would be 4th liners today) did it in 1988-89. His current splits by division, ordered by pace
Atlantic
29 in 15, 159 point pace
Ottawa
Central
38 in 20, 156 point pace
Dallas, Arizona x2, Colorado
Metro
30 in 16, 154 point pace
None
Pacific
30 in 16, 154 point pace
Seattle, SJS x3, VGK x2, LAK x2, Anaheim x2
Atlantic
29 in 15, 159 point pace
Ottawa
Central
38 in 20, 156 point pace
Dallas, Arizona x2, Colorado
Metro
30 in 16, 154 point pace
None
Pacific
30 in 16, 154 point pace
Seattle, SJS x3, VGK x2, LAK x2, Anaheim x2
BayStBullies
Burn the Boats!
- Apr 1, 2012
- 5,610
- 5,119
If that's the standard for who the refs favoured then you guys sure get favoured a whole lot then...
Hockey Outsider
Registered User
- Jan 16, 2005
- 9,619
- 16,375
My model now gives McDavid a 99% probability of reaching 140 points (assuming he plays all 82 games). His probability skyrocketed with his recent streak of 19 points in six games. This shows his probability, re-calculated after each game this year:
The model shows that McDavid is favoured to get 150 points, but it's close to coin flip. Note how he was at 11% less than a month ago:
And in terms of reaching 60 goals, it's not quite a done deal, but he has a very good chance. His probability soared from 17% to 90% in just three weeks, thanks to scoring 13 goals in the past 10 games:
The model shows that McDavid is favoured to get 150 points, but it's close to coin flip. Note how he was at 11% less than a month ago:
And in terms of reaching 60 goals, it's not quite a done deal, but he has a very good chance. His probability soared from 17% to 90% in just three weeks, thanks to scoring 13 goals in the past 10 games:
