McDavid heating up, what are odds on 150 points this season?

[Jordan Belfort]

The Oilers remind me so much of the Ovi Caps circa 2009. During the regular season they are an unstoppable scoring machine. Playoffs roll around and lack of depth kills them.

What unstoppable machine? They are barely above .500

 

[The Panther]

Probably about a 1 in 5 chance, as @Hockey Outsider said (above).

The one thing that might be in McDavid's favor this season is that the Oilers have seemingly already had their mid-season slump --- it came early, from games 11 through 20. If there are no massive slumps the rest of the way, McDavid may be able to maintain this pace longer. The Oilers have also had a really tough schedule early this season. Seemingly, they and Calgary have had the hardest opponents / schedule thus far. So, if the worst is over, maybe he has a 20% chance.

 

[MCR74]

What unstoppable machine? They are barely above .500

This.

The Oilers aren't exactly setting the league on fire right now.

 

[ThisIsMyAlibi]

He stat pads.

 

[bobbyking]

I'll say one thing this is will be the highest scoring season since the 90s and this trend should continue in future years. he will have chances at 130 for sure. being a ppg today isn't that impressive as it was 10 years ago

 

[yzerman]

i am a matematic freak when having av few beers and the % is 22% chance to hit 150p 43 % to hit 140 and 64% to hit 130p so the conclusion is that he is going to score between 130 and 140p

 

[Cup or Bust]

Not likely 150, but 135-140 might be realistic this season.

 

[Stealth JD]

His career splits are lowest in December/January, makes sense. Imagine being able to only be a 1.25 and 1.28ppg in your slumps

My god. Re-name this guy Mr. May.

 

[Machinehead]

Would be cool to see him lead in goals and assists. That's been a minute.

 

[jigglysquishy]

Would be cool to see him lead in goals and assists. That's been a minute.

Hasn't happened since Lemieux in 1996.

McDavid would become the seventh player in NHL history to do so. Or third since the early 70s.

 

[Oilslick941611]

His career splits are lowest in December/January, makes sense. Imagine being able to only be a 1.25 and 1.28ppg in your slumps

The dreaded “McFlu” season has we Oiler call it. He always seems to the get sick around this time of year.

 

[jeffff]

The Oilers have a pretty favorable schedule in Dec/Jan (when he typically slows down) compared to the competition and travel in the first two months. 50 goals, 100 assists.......I don't know, but he is capable.

 

[Porkleaker]

150 point regular season and Jack Campbell in net for the playoffs. Do the math.

He won't sniff the net in the playoffs if he keeps this up, hell he's not even getting the game vs the Caps tonight. Oilers would sooner tell Smith to prepare and suit up for the playoffs (LTIR) and be Skinner's backup lol

 

[GhostfaceWu]

It's a shame he missed games in the season during the beginning of covid cause he could be on his 7th year in a row of 100 pt seasons which is absurd in this day.

 

[Calderon]

49th point now in his 27th game and plenty of game left. If he makes it to 50 tonight, will it be in fewest games since Mario or did someone else do it more recently?

 

[DearDiary]

49th point now in his 27th game and plenty of game left. If he makes it to 50 tonight, will it be in fewest games since Mario or did someone else do it more recently?

iirc Mcdavid had 50 points in 29 games last season

 

[jigglysquishy]

49th point now in his 27th game and plenty of game left. If he makes it to 50 tonight, will it be in fewest games since Mario or did someone else do it more recently?

Crosby hit it in 31 in 2010-11.

Both McDavid and Draisailt hit it in 30 last year.

McDavid hit it in 29 games in 2020-21.

Lemieux did it in 18 games in 95-96.

 

[BenchBrawl]

Leading the league in goals and assists is a strong signal of greatness.

Ignoring the early era guys, only Howe, Espo (playing with Orr), Lemieux and Gretzky did it. The Big 4 all connected.

 

[Hockeyholic]

150 point regular season and Jack Campbell in net for the playoffs. Do the math.

Why would he start in the postseason over Skinner?

 

[bobholly39]

People were going crazy over it last year and he didn't even come close.

Could he hypothetically hit 150 in an absolute perfect storm of a season? Higher scoring league, so I think there's a small chance. But i'd say ~5% chance, so I doubt it happens. I could see him hit 130 though

 

[Satire]

People were going crazy over it last year and he didn't even come close.

Could he hypothetically hit 150 in an absolute perfect storm of a season? Higher scoring league, so I think there's a small chance. But i'd say ~5% chance, so I doubt it happens. I could see him hit 130 though

If you add the shortened season to the beginning of last season he had something like 152 points in 82 games. I think he probably puts up 140 this year.

He was also relatively snake bitten last year vs his normal stats and still almost put up almost 130. If he can avoid the McFlu it's definitely possible.

 

[Frosty415]

he hit 50 already

faster than last year by a game

 

[Cup or Bust]

Playing with Puljujarvi so much definitely lost McDavid 10-15 points last season so I don't expect any big drop offs this season. 135-140 seems very possible.

 

[Video Nasty]

Up to 52 points in 27 games. Has 16 points in his last 6. Leads the league in goals, assists, and points. Has a point in 23 out of 27 games so far this season.

Yeah, still on track for 60-70 goals/140-150 points with 1/3 of the season completed.

Guess 2020-2021 wasn’t the fluke some jokers around here think it was.

Bonus: 51 more points this season brings him to 800 through 8 seasons. The guy will have an average of 100+ points per season despite missing nearly half his rookie campaign and 37 games wiped off the schedule from COVID.

 

[BallardEra]

23 goals in 27 games. If he only averages his career goals per game pace and plays all 82 games, he'll finish with 51 goals.

He's pretty much a lock for 50 goals this season if he stays healthy.