snipes
How cold? I’m ice cold.
- Dec 28, 2015
- 56,139
- 65,331
McDavid heating up, what are odds on 150 points this season?
- Thread starter CokenoPepsi
- Start date
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Bank Shot
Registered User
- Jan 18, 2006
- 11,815
- 7,706
I told everyone that last season was the fluke season and not the "Canadian Division" year.
Worst on ice shooting % of his career by a mile last year.
The Canadian Division was McDavids actual level of ability.
Everyone is seeing it now.
Worst on ice shooting % of his career by a mile last year.
The Canadian Division was McDavids actual level of ability.
Everyone is seeing it now.
TerminatorBlue
Registered User
Conor Mcdavid telling Connor Bedard to hold his beer.
onetweasy
"That's just like, your opinion, man"
Imagine how many takeaways/60 it requires to bridge the gap between 70 points and 40…..
Pretty hard to deny that now. 105 points in his last 53 games going back to the playoffs. That includes 42 goals so he’s clearly better than he was that season now I’d say.
Mez
Registered User
- Nov 16, 2017
- 11,629
- 15,405
Apparently Mcdavid is on a 17 game point streak. It's hilarious how it's just not even brought up or recognized because he's so automatic. Pretty sure there was already a ton of talk of Mitch Marners point streak by the time it got to 17.
Hockey Outsider
Registered User
- Jan 16, 2005
- 9,609
- 16,316
With a strong performance over the past three games (3 G, 4A), according to my model, McDavid is now up to a 96% probability of scoring 50 goals, and a 39% probability of scoring 60 goals.
I'm not going to re-post the graph, but McDavid now has a (season-high) 35% probability of reaching 150 points. My model gives him virtually 100% chance of reaching 120 points, 98% chance of reaching 130, 78% chance of reaching 140, and a 7% of reaching 160.
My model actually gives McDavid a higher chance of scoring at least 170, rather than failing to reach 120. To be clear, it's very unlikely he'll reach 170. Still, McDavid is more likely to reach a threshold that only Gretzky and Lemieux have reached (in a higher-scoring era), rather than fail to get 120 - a number that nobody but him topped last year.
(As I've mentioned many times before - this is on the assumption McDavid plays all 82 games. The probability of reaching any big milestones drops off rapidly if he misses more than a handful of games).
ricky0034
Registered User
- Jun 8, 2010
- 15,550
- 8,033
yeah but McDavid plays like an extra 20 seconds of powerplay time a game so that 40 points adjusts to 200
syz
[1, 5, 6, 14]
- Jul 13, 2007
- 30,974
- 16,902
Part of it is probably Marner was chasing a Leafs record. McDavid is still 34* games shy of the Oilers record.
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Marner had 32 points in his 23 game streak.
McDavid has 37 during this 17 game streak.
Isnt the oiler/nhl record 51 games?
syz
[1, 5, 6, 14]
- Jul 13, 2007
- 30,974
- 16,902
First Google result says Wayne at 39 but yea it's 51.
- 51 Games - Wayne Gretzky (Oct. 5, 1983 - Jan. 27, 1984) ...
- 46 Games - Mario Lemieux (Oct. 31, 1989 - Feb. 11, 1990) ...
- 39 Games - Wayne Gretzky (Nov. 3, 1985 - Jan. 25, 1986)
lol Now that would be a worthy of a countdown!
Edit: It's actually 34 more games. Even more lol.
syz
[1, 5, 6, 14]
- Jul 13, 2007
- 30,974
- 16,902
October 5th was the first game of the season that year, too, so his streak might actually technically be even longer if you go back to the previous season.
Alexander the Gr8
Registered User
Only problem is that Bedard is not even legal yet, therefore not technically allowed to hold McDavid’s beer yet haha
It would be cool if McDavid could break Yzerman's non-Gretzky/Lemieux record of 155 points.
FanOfSadTeam
Registered User
- Dec 12, 2010
- 9,647
- 10,108
Hold my Biosteel™ sports drink* then
Kerberos
Hound of Hades
- Nov 4, 2021
- 4,712
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McDavid has 37 points in those 17 games. Marner had 32 points on his 23 game streak.
SeanMoneyHands
Registered User
- Apr 18, 2019
- 15,739
- 15,246
150pts in a season isn’t unheard of. Now if he put up 200 pts that would be impressive.
I wouldn't be surprised if Mcdavid hit 150 points atleast twice before he's 30
He's the only player in the league capable of hitting 156 points, so for hockeys sake everyone should hope he does it.
onetweasy
"That's just like, your opinion, man"
I love that you’re popping up in all these McDavid threads to try and tell us it isn’t impressive what McDavid is doing.
You and that Belfort guy need to grab a beer together.
72 points in 37 games haha soak it up Moenyhands it’s gonna be a long season in your world.
T REX
Registered User
- Feb 28, 2013
- 12,399
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BenchBrawl
Registered User
- Jul 26, 2010
- 31,135
- 14,109
Absolute peak McDavid right now.
Cloned
Begging for Bega
- Aug 25, 2003
- 82,204
- 73,106
I posted in another thread a few weeks ago how one simple change has boosted McDavid’s already generational game this season.
It’s alarmingly simple.
He’s “learned” to shoot five hole. And he’s doing it a lot, with a lot of success this season. He probably has ~10 five hole goals already this season, whereas in years past he would’ve tried to go high or pass the puck in those situations.
It’s alarmingly simple.
He’s “learned” to shoot five hole. And he’s doing it a lot, with a lot of success this season. He probably has ~10 five hole goals already this season, whereas in years past he would’ve tried to go high or pass the puck in those situations.
