Here is my end of year prospect report. Bolded is new information
#15. LHD.
Mike Koster
LYR: 16
Overview
One of the picks which people were surprised got to the Leafs. Koster was drafted in the 5th round in last year’s draft 146th overall. He was expected to go earlier than this, so Leafs were fortunate he fell to where he did. He played in the USHL this season, before he is expected to go to college next season. Koster overall had a decent albeit a little bit injury filled season. He really struggled at the start in the new role he got, before really settling in. He was given tough defensive assignments as was the plan to work on his defensive game. He got going offensively after a slow start.
Koster was one of the biggest risers in the system this season. College hockey viewers and announcers were raving about his play. He looked a lot more refined as a prospect and took major steps in his D+2. He kept earning a bigger role as the season went on, and when a lot of the Gophers D went to the WJC, he was put on the top pair and excelled. He was a fixture on the top PP as well. He will remain in college and continue his progress.
Stats
2019/2020
USHL
GP: 37
Goals: 3
Assists: 15
Points: 18
Rating: -8
2020/2021
NCAA
GP: 31
Goals: 3
Assists: 9
Points: 12
Rating: +10
Statistical Analysis
As mentioned, Koster struggled at the beginning adjusting to his new role as a defensive player which affected his production, and then his production started to catch up. He finished tied for 2nd among defensemen on his team in scoring, and Koster played 11 less games then the player he was tied with. After going pointless in his first 5 games, and only 6 points in the first 16 games, Koster finished with 12 in the next 21 games. Plus Minus is a terrible stat to use, but he was -10 in those 16 games, and finished a +2 the rest of the way whatever that means.
Koster put up 12 points in 31 games playing primarly 3rd pair minutes all though he earned top PP minutes. There were stretches where he got top minutes with his play. He had 49 shots on goal as well. 9 of his points came at ES while 3 were on the PP.
Talent Analysis
Breakdown of grades:
1- Poor
2- Below average
3- Average
4- Good
5- Great
Player Grades: Present/Future
Skating: 4/4.5
Shot: 3/3
Puck Skills: 4/4
Compete: 3.5/3.5
Defence: 3/3.5
Smarts/IQ: 4/4
Note: Puck skills includes passing ability, puck control and creating
Some conflicting views on his skating. Pronman says it’s average, while Wheeler says it’s a plus.
Getting the chance to watch him more, his skating is better than my initial evaluation. This comes from his edge work which is really solid. He can escape pressure well when going east to west. His speed is just average,
but the way he can turn and just avoid fore checkers is great to see. His skating style reminds me of Liljegren in the way they move, but Koster is more fluid. If he can get a step quicker which I believe he will, his skating becomes very good, and that’s why I put him at 4.5 as a future value. His edgework is really good, so just a little more speed really makes it strength, a s he already has the other element you want in terms of his skating. If he doesn’t improve where here he is now, I don’t think it will affect him too muay not be as dynamic.ch but m
He is a tremendous passer. Koster can make passes in transition and land the puck right on the tape. This really helps when he is breaking the puck out, and this might be his best trait. Even when he has to make a quick decision, he usually finds his teammates. His passing is best used in transition. One thing he can do is use his great passing better in the offensive zone.
His first pass really impressed me the most though. Last year I had complaints about him overshooting, but he picked his spots a lot better and made the right decisions on when to shoot or hold back. This brings me to his shot which I would classify as average. It’s decent and at times it will lead to goals, but it’s not really a huge tool that he should be using a lot. His potential offensive value will come from his passing.
He is a motivated player who is willing to get better in the areas he requires work in. Despite being put in a defensive role the last 2 years with the Storm, he has handled the challenge well.
It’s clear that defensive role helped him based on his play this year. Every time his role was increased, he just got better and better.
He showed a lot of improvement defensively this season. When it comes to defending his blue line, he is solid. He plays a tight gap and takes away time and space from the opposing player. This is the way you want your defensemen to defend the blue line, so it’s a great sign Koster has that.
His in zone defending showed progress. He wasn’t losing his coverage as much and just looked surer in his own end.
His IQ is one of his better tools, and honestly I underrated it last year. You barely noticed any bad plays he was making whether it was with the puck on the breakout, or in the O zone. He picked the right times to rush or stay back. This is the biggest thing that stuck out of how he would make the right reads. He played the game in control and didn’t rush his decisions.
My future projection: I have a good feeling about this player,
and my feelings have continued with his play as a freshman in College. He plays to where the game is going,
and his tools are better than initially thought, and weaknesses are not as paramount. He is still far away, but I think he becomes a player for the team. He ranks 15 on my list but you can put him higher easily.
NHL Player? Yes but in time
@Morgs @SeaOfBlue
Agree?