Prospect Info: Marlies/Prospects Thread - 2023-23 Season Edition

  • Xenforo Cloud will be upgrading us to version 2.3.5 on March 3rd at 12 AM GMT. This version has increased stability and fixes several bugs. We expect downtime for the duration of the update. The admin team will continue to work on existing issues, templates and upgrade all necessary available addons to minimize impact of this new version. Click Here for Updates
Status
Not open for further replies.
I think that's the thing I've been struggling to articulate, the only case for Voit/Lisowsky being "lottery ticket prospects" is their draft position.

In an alternate world where we take Lisowsky at 79 is he viewed that way( as a lottery ticket)? Or as a third round steal that's going stride for stride with Firkus in their D+1?

If not for Covid making a Voit a 5th rounder that didn't have a draft year or U18/Hlinka, is he regarded as having the pedigree to legitimize his post draft production?
Great post. Voit is an interesting case because of the missed season and how far hes come. Fwiw I had Minten and Lisowsky less than 10 picks apart on draft day and people called me crazy in the prospect ranking threads for saying Lisowsky is borderline top-10.
 
Great post. Voit is an interesting case because of the missed season and how far hes come. Fwiw I had Minten and Lisowsky less than 10 picks apart on draft day and people called me crazy in the prospect ranking threads for saying Lisowsky is borderline top-10.
On Lisowsky, where do you rate his playmaking? We know about his shot, but I have seen concerns about his lack of creation. Valid or not that concerning? His skating I have seen questions too.
 
Anything is possible, and skills obviously improve, but Minten is fundamentally not a dynamic player.

He has a nice shot, so maybe he can be a complimentary top 6 player, but the puck skills, playmaking, skating, etc. would need a massive and highly unlikely leap forward to become a top 6 player on a contender... In which case he possibly could be another Eriksson Ek.

But once we start getting into that, we start falling for a lot of drafting pitfalls which usually results in a lot of disappointing picks. Especially since Eriksson Ek looked more dynamic than Minten as a teen. Nick Paul, and hopefully one that doesn't need to hit waivers first, may be a more realistic high end expectation and I would hope for more potential on the high end than that out of an early 2nd.
I think you're too low on him.
 
  • Like
Reactions: kb and stickty111
I read a report last month that while he's improved his overall offensive game, his inability to get his shot off at even strength (less time, more pressure, etc) is noticeable and definitely something he'll need to keep working on at the next level.
This is objectively hilarious because last season when he struggled it was because he shot way, way too much at ES and it killed plays/limited chances. Wonder if this is something the Leafs are going to intervene on as shooting/decision making in general at ES is by far the biggest concern I had draft day, and now even more after reading this.
 
  • Like
Reactions: stickty111
Minten is currently on pace for 53 goals and 99 pts. Not bad for a defensive specialist.

Not sure if there is a site that tracks advanced stats for junior hockey but I wonder if he mostly sees defensive zone starts and that's why his ES points aren't very high?
I still don't understand the defensive reputation. He played on an elite defensive team last year and didn't score enough, and people just parroted he's some defensive specialist. Minten's offensive upside is *massive* and he's showing it right now. The lack of ES production is concerning, but that's more of a problem if it continues into pro. One of the 10 best D-1 WHL prospects in the last ~10 years that struggled relative to his d-1 performance last year and back on track this year. He's trending towards a Robertson-type of D+1 and that's absolutely massive.
 
Are you concerned that many of his points have come on the PP?
Yes and no. ES production is worth more when projecting junior prospects, but I've watched a bunch of his games the last 3 years and im not going to be concerned unless it continues into being a Marlie. His decision making was suspect (to put it nicely) last season, but he's also one of the smartest players on the ice playing in a heavily defensive system primarily without Stankoven (Bankier has had 1C most of the season). He's showing now without them to "hog" the minutes what he's capable of in the primary offensive role.
 
On Lisowsky, where do you rate his playmaking? We know about his shot, but I have seen concerns about his lack of creation. Valid or not that concerning? His skating I have seen questions too.
Haven't watched a game of his since last year, but he's a shooter and that's what he does. Mitch Brown's data won't be updated until the 8th of Jan, but here's his last year card fwiw. I don't remember having concerns about his skating, but people will always complain about non-elite skaters at his size.

Screenshot_20221229_153118_Chrome.jpg


Just outrageous xP1 for a D0 prospect. How he wasn't at least a top-90 pick is because of size and lack of hype. Not a sure thing by any means, but he's got legit middle-6 upside.
 
Last edited:
Minten is currently on pace for 53 goals and 99 pts. Not bad for a defensive specialist.

Not sure if there is a site that tracks advanced stats for junior hockey but I wonder if he mostly sees defensive zone starts and that's why his ES points aren't very high?
He doesn’t have high end skills asides from his iq and has an okay shot. He makes smart choices however. Though others disagree, when i watch minten, he doesn’t play with stankoven much unless they stack the lines when they are losing. He does not even play with bankier much. So…teammates and skill. I am pleasantly surprised by his hat tricks as i was under the impression stankoven draws in defenders allowing minten more space to score. With stankoven gone, i would think it is much harder for minten to score, but apparently that isn’t the case.
 
He doesn’t have high end skills asides from his iq and has an okay shot. He makes smart choices however. Though others disagree, when i watch minten, he doesn’t play with stankoven much unless they stack the lines when they are losing. He does not even play with bankier much. So…teammates and skill. I am pleasantly surprised by his hat tricks as i was under the impression stankoven draws in defenders allowing minten more space to score. With stankoven gone, i would think it is much harder for minten to score, but apparently that isn’t the case.
His shot seems quite a bit better than just okay, but yeah the rest of his offensive game seems to need some improvement. The good news is he still seems like a very promising prospect aside from his offense
 
  • Like
Reactions: stickty111
His shot seems quite a bit better than just okay, but yeah the rest of his offensive game seems to need some improvement. The good news is he still seems like a very promising prospect aside from his offense

In the hat trick compilation the shot didn't seem too impressive mechanically, probably around AHL average power/release on it but I noticed all 3 were very well placed and timed. They were right into the goalie's blind spots at the exact moment the screen worked himself into the perfect spot, and the one without a screen was well timed in stride through the D.

Considering he's only got like 4 years of serious work on his shooting mechanics, that's a promising base to work off as he adds some strength and polish.
 
  • Like
Reactions: Morgs
Does anyone know why Fraser Minten wasn't picked for Team Canada?

I mean his team mate Bankier is with the exact type of production.

Does Fraser lack foot speed ?
He'll likely be there next year. A 2nd rounder doesn't often make it as an 18 year old.
 
  • Like
Reactions: fahad203
Tverberg when will sse him with the Marlies next season.
Read in Wheeler’s On the Clock: Maple Leafs at the Draft book that he intends to do a full 4 years at UConn and that’s not including the 14 games he played in that shortened season.

So he’s in year 2 of 4 at the moment so going to be 3 years and hopefully he then signs and comes in as a really well prepared player.
 
Read in Wheeler’s On the Clock: Maple Leafs at the Draft book that he intends to do a full 4 years at UConn and that’s not including the 14 games he played in that shortened season.

So he’s in year 2 of 4 at the moment so going to be 3 years and hopefully he then signs and comes in as a really well prepared player.
Thanks
 
I still don't understand the defensive reputation. He played on an elite defensive team last year and didn't score enough, and people just parroted he's some defensive specialist. Minten's offensive upside is *massive* and he's showing it right now. The lack of ES production is concerning, but that's more of a problem if it continues into pro. One of the 10 best D-1 WHL prospects in the last ~10 years that struggled relative to his d-1 performance last year and back on track this year. He's trending towards a Robertson-type of D+1 and that's absolutely massive.

I think Minton's accolades seem to include defensive play, with some quite flattering.


Some of the concerns expressed seem to be correctable.
 
Niemela assist today.
Kloke had an interesting comment on Niemela in his Liljegren article yesterday. He said if Leafs will stash him in the AHL and follow the Liljegren pathway, or if the Leafs deem him good enough to start in the NHL.
This isn't the first time Kloke has mentioned this either. It makes you think the Leafs are thinking about this. Niemela is also ahead defensively than Liljegren was at the same age. With a good camp next season, does Niemela get a chance to at least start in the NHL? Of course that could depend on if Dubas and Keefe are back next season. Looking ahead to the deadline, it does seem Niemela is an untouchable along with obviously Knies, and Dreger did seem to indicate that.
 
  • Like
Reactions: GreatDayforHockey
If Niemala can develop for us, our RHD looks like:

Brodie, Liljegren, Timmins, Niemala, Villeneuve.

A lot to feel good about and does make it a real option to move on from Holl.

I consider Niemala right there with Knies as the prospects that I am most bullish on, and can’t wait to see them in the organization to continue their development here…
 
Last edited:
  • Like
Reactions: supermann_98
I think Minton's accolades seem to include defensive play, with some quite flattering.


Some of the concerns expressed seem to be correctable.
It's exactly what I said in my post. He's touted as this "no offense/defense first"-with the chance of being + defensively at the pro level and its consistently been parroted in the scouting community. It confused me even before we picked him.

I watched a bunch of his games the last two years so I saw first hand the type of player Minten is. He's a physical offensive player with a good head for defense, but I'm convinced it's more to do with the strong defensive system he plays in and the fact Garand has a .925 sv% last year. He's got a great brain, is constantly in the right position, has a great shot (that he overuses at times), good skater, and has extremely suspect decision making. I never saw anything special in his own end, and I truly think people went "but his defense" after playing on a team that gave up no goals and his offensive struggles in his d0 after a monster d-1.
 
It's exactly what I said in my post. He's touted as this "no offense/defense first"-with the chance of being + defensively at the pro level and its consistently been parroted in the scouting community. It confused me even before we picked him.

I watched a bunch of his games the last two years so I saw first hand the type of player Minten is. He's a physical offensive player with a good head for defense, but I'm convinced it's more to do with the strong defensive system he plays in and the fact Garand has a .925 sv% last year. He's got a great brain, is constantly in the right position, has a great shot (that he overuses at times), good skater, and has extremely suspect decision making. I never saw anything special in his own end, and I truly think people went "but his defense" after playing on a team that gave up no goals and his offensive struggles in his d0 after a monster d-1.

How do you square away "great brain" with "extremely suspect decision making"? Decision making is the #1 job of the brain no?
 
Status
Not open for further replies.

Ad

Ad