Prospect Info: Marlies & Prospect Discussion

Status
Not open for further replies.
Marlies up today at 7pm hosting the Hershey Bears.
With Minten and Steeves up, might see some new looks in the top six.
I’ll guess at Tverberg lining up with Shaw and Abruzzese, and hoping Greb and Quillan line up with Alex Nylander, though Roni H will likely factor in.
Braedan Kressler might jump up too. Like Quillan, he’s looked good in his minutes, but doesn’t have the numbers, and lined up at C on Sunday.
 
  • Like
Reactions: SprDaVE and arso40
Based on stats, we really haven't been drafting very well the last few years.

That 2020 draft - 12 picks! Artur Akhtyamov is the only one who is intriguing at this point.

2019 - Robertson?
 
  • Like
Reactions: arso40
So how did the opinion that their drafting hasn't been good come up... Who and what is the comparable?

I just looked at our past years to see how many NHLers to part time NHLers we turned out.

2012 - 3
2013 - 4
2014 - 3-4
2015 - 3
2016 - 5
2017 - 1
2018 - 3-6

2019 - 1-2
2020 - 1 (projected)
2021 - 1
2022 - 3 (projected)
 
Last edited:
How do the Leafs compare with the rest of the league over the last few years in terms of quantity and quality? What's the criteria of "drafting well"?
Subjective, but to me it is ultimately producing quality NHLers relative to # of picks, particularly with picks outside the lottery.

Excluding William Nylander, Mitch Marner, Auston Matthews
2014 - 5 picks, 2 NHLers: Dakota Joshua, Pierre Engvall
2015 - 8 picks, 1 NHLer: Travis Dermott
2016 - 10 picks, 2 NHLers: Carl Grundstrom and Joseph Woll
2017 - 7 picks, 1 NHLer: Timothy Liljegren
2018 - 9 picks, 3 NHLers: Rasmus Sandin, Sean Durzi, Pontus Holmberg
2019 - 6 picks, 1 NHLer (sort of?): Nick Robertson
2020 - 12 picks, 0 NHLers so far
2021 - 3 picks, 1 NHLer: Matthew Knies

Too early for 2022-2024.

So from 60 draft picks that were not lottery selections, from 2014-2021 they basically produced this:

Knies-Engvall-Joshua
Grundstrom-Holmberg-Robertson

Sandin-Durzi
Dermott-Liljegren

Woll

So one guy who looks like a legit first liner in Knies, one solid middle-six guy in Joshua, four tweener type forwards, one bonafide top-4 D in Durzi, a couple tweener D-men in Sandin and Liljegren, and a replacement level D in Dermott. Then a 1B platoon goalie.
 
Subjective, but to me it is ultimately producing quality NHLers relative to # of picks, particularly with picks outside the lottery.

Excluding William Nylander, Mitch Marner, Auston Matthews
2014 - 5 picks, 2 NHLers: Dakota Joshua, Pierre Engvall
2015 - 8 picks, 1 NHLer: Travis Dermott
2016 - 10 picks, 2 NHLers: Carl Grundstrom and Joseph Woll
2017 - 7 picks, 1 NHLer: Timothy Liljegren
2018 - 9 picks, 3 NHLers: Rasmus Sandin, Sean Durzi, Pontus Holmberg
2019 - 6 picks, 1 NHLer (sort of?): Nick Robertson
2020 - 12 picks, 0 NHLers so far
2021 - 3 picks, 1 NHLer: Matthew Knies

Too early for 2022-2024.

So from 60 draft picks that were not lottery selections, from 2014-2021 they basically produced this:

Knies-Engvall-Joshua
Grundstrom-Holmberg-Robertson

Sandin-Durzi
Dermott-Liljegren

Woll

So one guy who looks like a legit first liner in Knies, one solid middle-six guy in Joshua, four tweener type forwards, one bonafide top-4 D in Durzi, a couple tweener D-men in Sandin and Liljegren, and a replacement level D in Dermott. Then a 1B platoon goalie.

Not sure it's fair to exclude Marner and Nylander off the list. Many players before and after have been big time duds in their respective drafts. Hell even Matthews as a #1 pick, could have been Laine if they were bad at drafting. So many teams struggle to pick top talent in the top 10 of drafts.

Sandin is definitely a top 4 defenseman right now, so not sure he's a tweener. Liljegren still needs to show a little more.

Either way, I think this is more or less fine. You're not going to draft NHLers with every pick. It's not great by any means but some talent found almost every draft, sometimes great talent.
 
Not sure it's fair to exclude Marner and Nylander off the list. Many players before and after have been big time duds in their respective drafts. Hell even Matthews as a #1 pick, could have been Laine if they were bad at drafting. So many teams struggle to pick top talent in the top 10 of drafts.
Sure, but I think it shows real drafting skill when you hit on non-lottery picks. When you consider the volume of picks we had from 2015-2018 and how little we produced, it's disappointing. We should've had a wave of depth players to bridge the gap from cap casualties, like the system that Tampa had feeding them for so long.
 
Last edited:

1732125045434.png


Interesting... Akhtyamov ahead of Hildeby on this ranking? No Minten, no Robertson... strange.
 

Attachments

  • 1732125060428.png
    1732125060428.png
    1.7 MB · Views: 3

View attachment 933244

Interesting... Akhtyamov ahead of Hildeby on this ranking? No Minten, no Robertson... strange.

Yeah tha't's weird. I like AA but seems high to be over Minten and Hildeby at the very least
 
Subjective, but to me it is ultimately producing quality NHLers relative to # of picks, particularly with picks outside the lottery.

Excluding William Nylander, Mitch Marner, Auston Matthews
2014 - 5 picks, 2 NHLers: Dakota Joshua, Pierre Engvall
2015 - 8 picks, 1 NHLer: Travis Dermott
2016 - 10 picks, 2 NHLers: Carl Grundstrom and Joseph Woll
2017 - 7 picks, 1 NHLer: Timothy Liljegren
2018 - 9 picks, 3 NHLers: Rasmus Sandin, Sean Durzi, Pontus Holmberg
2019 - 6 picks, 1 NHLer (sort of?): Nick Robertson
2020 - 12 picks, 0 NHLers so far
2021 - 3 picks, 1 NHLer: Matthew Knies

Too early for 2022-2024.

So from 60 draft picks that were not lottery selections, from 2014-2021 they basically produced this:

Knies-Engvall-Joshua
Grundstrom-Holmberg-Robertson

Sandin-Durzi
Dermott-Liljegren

Woll

So one guy who looks like a legit first liner in Knies, one solid middle-six guy in Joshua, four tweener type forwards, one bonafide top-4 D in Durzi, a couple tweener D-men in Sandin and Liljegren, and a replacement level D in Dermott. Then a 1B platoon goalie.
Why are we not counting Willy?
 
because he was a good selection and that goes against the narrative? Like how many 4th overall players are f***ing awful but we aren't allowed to count Marner either, as though it was some sort of slam dunk pick.
There's no 'narrative' mate, I clearly said in my post the focus was non lottery/depth selections.
 
Based on stats, we really haven't been drafting very well the last few years.

That 2020 draft - 12 picks! Artur Akhtyamov is the only one who is intriguing at this point.

2019 - Robertson?


View attachment 933244

Interesting... Akhtyamov ahead of Hildeby on this ranking? No Minten, no Robertson... strange.

Because it’s a poor researched list

Hildeby is ahead of AA … and probably rightfully at #4 with Minten, Robertson, and Danford behind him

Robertson is slipping because of his NHL showing this year .
 
Marlies come back again to win 4-3 in OT. They trailed 3-0 after 1. Abruzzese with the OT winner. Kressler and Hirvonen each with an assist. Hildeby 21 saves

Kressler has impressed me pretty well every time I've seen him this year. I did not expect him to be on the Marlies, I expected him to be in the ECHL. Only 1 point so far (tonight) but he works and stands out.

He's been like a poor man's Trevor Moore.
 
Status
Not open for further replies.

Ad

Upcoming events

Ad