Proposal: Lindholm and Rakell trade discussion thread for Anaheim.

Magic Man

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Again (and the frequency with which I have to use that word is alarming): it's a junior all star team. I literally just explained the issue with the meaning of that.


Why do you feel there has to be a way for him to do accomplish that? On some level, for prospects looking to prove what they are as prospects for a future at the professional level, there's nothing at the junior level to match pro effectiveness.


No, not "regardless of skill". Precisely because of the skill displayed, which you just have a hard time to make out given the different competition. Just like Nielsen doesn't "get to" play professionally against grown men and be effective, Larsson doesn't get to feast on kids to put up big time numbers. It's nice for Nielsen to leapfrog the likes of Juulsen. That doesn't have anything to do with Larsson. When he stepped down to that level in the junior tournaments this summer, you could have an idea what the viewers and scouts walked away with. And if Nielsen is starting to effectively challenge guys like Provorov, Theodore or Sanheim for actual NHL jobs, you'll get to adequately note that as an accomplishment of his.

He just out played Sanheim all of last season. Sanheim dominated as well in his time in the WHL. Larsson doesn't magically jump him by being able to play in a men's league because of where he was born.

The rest of that junior all-star team is players drafted in the past 2 years higher than Larsson was selected.

The Leafs should start drafting more out of Sweden, if they get bonus value for getting SHL time.
 

Vipers31

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He just out played Sanheim all of last season.
Which speaks to his efficiency as a junior player, which isn't congruent to his status as an NHL prospect. As I have repeated. Over and over. Do you think all the scouts that keep having Sanheim ahead (and I'd estimate those are still the majority) are all just missing the junior all star selections?

Sanheim dominated as well in his time in the WHL. Larsson doesn't magically jump him by being able to play in a men's league because of where he was born.
There's no magic required.

The rest of that junior all-star team is players drafted in the past 2 years higher than Larsson was selected.
That's a great fun fact. No value to the discussion, but a great fun fact.

The Leafs should start drafting more out of Sweden, if they get bonus value for getting SHL time.
You're a bit out to lunch. Unlike the CHL, the SHL isn't some developmental league. There are professional teams there, on multi-million dollar budgets, playing for championships. A guy like Larsson doesn't just "get to" do that. They have excellent developmental leagues in Sweden, on their own, for the guys that belong there. So, yeah, if the Leafs have the chance to draft kids that are capable of doing what Larsson has proven capable of doing, they absolutely should start doing that (and according to the rumors, they would have liked to in Larsson's case, so your advice seems to be falling on fertile soil). Drafting effective junior players is nice, too, but given the objective of finding effective future NHLers, you bet it's a bonus to prove your value at a far, far higher level. Are you equally outraged about what Andrew Mangiapane has to do in order to be seen as an equal to Joel Eriksson Ek?
 

Sojourn

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I'm sorry I use facts and accomplishments and the opinion of scouts and compare them with other similar level prospects in order to help formulate my opinion. Helps to eliminate bias and I'll admit I don't scout every team's obscure prospects and follow their European games. So, you'll have to excuse my ignorance. I'm sure you've seen all the Leafs prospects games. :sarcasm:

You think using pre-draft rankings helps eliminate bias?

The only reason you're using those rankings is because you're biased. If you had a better argument for why someone like Kapanen is as good as Larsson, you'd be leaning on that. The fact that you have to resort to pre-draft rankings, and a 5-spot difference in a completely different draft is pretty telling, and it definitely shows a clear bias on your part.
 
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He just out played Sanheim all of last season. Sanheim dominated as well in his time in the WHL. Larsson doesn't magically jump him by being able to play in a men's league because of where he was born.

The rest of that junior all-star team is players drafted in the past 2 years higher than Larsson was selected.

The Leafs should start drafting more out of Sweden, if they get bonus value for getting SHL time.

wow then he must be a better prospect

seriously if you can't comprehend the difference between a high end mens league, and junior hockey there really is no point debating you. all you've done in this thread is tried to convince people about how great the leafs prospects are in comparison to players you know very little about
 

Magic Man

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Which speaks to his efficiency as a junior player, which isn't congruent to his status as an NHL prospect. As I have repeated. Over and over. Do you think all the scouts that keep having Sanheim ahead (and I'd estimate those are still the majority) are all just missing the junior all star selections?


There's no magic required.


That's a great fun fact. No value to the discussion, but a great fun fact.


You're a bit out to lunch. Unlike the CHL, the SHL isn't some developmental league. There are professional teams there, on multi-million dollar budgets, playing for championships. A guy like Larsson doesn't just "get to" do that. They have excellent developmental leagues in Sweden, on their own, for the guys that belong there. So, yeah, if the Leafs have the chance to draft kids that are capable of doing what Larsson has proven capable of doing, they absolutely should start doing that (and according to the rumors, they would have liked to in Larsson's case, so your advice seems to be falling on fertile soil). Drafting effective junior players is nice, too, but given the objective of finding effective future NHLers, you bet it's a bonus to prove your value at a far, far higher level. Are you equally outraged about what Andrew Mangiapane has to do in order to be seen as an equal to Joel Eriksson Ek?

By growing up and being drafted out of Sweden he was put in the position where he could play in the SHL. The other guys are from North America and played where they were allowed to play. The best talent doesn't usually come from Sweden. So, generally there are going to be some talented players that play junior that could play in the SHL, maybe even at a higher level than Larsson. Nielsen established he was among the best there.

You think using pre-draft rankings helps eliminate bias?

The only reason you're using those rankings is because you're biased. If you had a better argument for why someone like Kapanen is as good as Larsson, you'd be leaning on that. The fact that you have to resort to pre-draft rankings, and a 5-spot difference in a completely different draft is pretty telling, and it definitely shows a clear bias on your part.

Those rankings are from various scouting services, including Bob McKenzie who also polls numerous scouts. It's the opinion's of people in high positions who have closely followed the prospects. These aren't from that long ago.

I also pointed to Kapanen's production in the Finnish league and AHL being equally as impressive. But, he wasn't born in Sweden and SHL > everything, so Larsson > Kapanen. Not only that but Larsson >>> Kapanen.
 

Sojourn

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Those rankings are from various scouting services, including Bob McKenzie who also polls numerous scouts. It's the opinion's of people in high positions who have closely followed the prospects. These aren't from that long ago.

I also pointed to Kapanen's production in the Finnish league and AHL being equally as impressive. But, he wasn't born in Sweden and SHL > everything, so Larsson > Kapanen. Not only that but Larsson >>> Kapanen.

Oh, the rankings themselves aren't biased, but the way you're using them definitely is. You're leaning on dated opinions. Do you really think if McKenzie polled the scouts again that their rankings wouldn't be different? Of course they would. The very fact that this is the case should tell you that the pre-draft rankings aren't that meaningful anymore. What is meaningful is how they have developed and progressed since.

Yes, you did, and others have pointed out that being a young defenseman playing against grown men is more impressive. This isn't a fact, by the way. It's opinion. So how does that fit into your "I'm sorry I use facts and accomplishments and the opinion of scouts and compare them with other similar level prospects in order to help formulate my opinion." statement? :dunno: It seems to me that you're trying to pass off your opinion as a fact. And then you're passing off the dated opinions of others as fact.
 

Magic Man

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Oh, the rankings themselves aren't biased, but the way you're using them definitely is. You're leaning on dated opinions. Do you really think if McKenzie polled the scouts again that their rankings wouldn't be different? Of course they would. The very fact that this is the case should tell you that the pre-draft rankings aren't that meaningful anymore. What is meaningful is how they have developed and progressed since.

Yes, you did, and others have pointed out that being a young defenseman playing against grown men is more impressive. This isn't a fact, by the way. It's opinion. So how does that fit into your "I'm sorry I use facts and accomplishments and the opinion of scouts and compare them with other similar level prospects in order to help formulate my opinion." statement? :dunno: It seems to me that you're trying to pass off your opinion as a fact. And then you're passing off the dated opinions of others as fact.

I'm simply looking at where they were ranked a year or two ago among the hockey community. Then looking again at what they've accomplished in the game of hockey post draft. There is nothing there that suggests Larsson is at a higher level. Kapanen produced like a top-6 forward in the Finnish league and AHL.

The very best from the CHL are capable of playing in the SHL. They proved themselves in the leagues they were able to play in that they were at the top of their class.
 

Sojourn

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I'm simply looking at where they were ranked a year or two ago among the hockey community. Then looking again at what they've accomplished in the game of hockey post draft. There is nothing there that suggests Larsson is at a higher level. Kapanen produced like a top-6 forward in the Finnish league and AHL.

The very best from the CHL are capable of playing in the SHL. They proved themselves in the leagues they were able to play in that they were at the top of their class.

If that were the case, it wouldn't be the entire basis of your argument. The very fact you continued to try to reinforce their pre-draft rankings is pretty telling, especially when they were in different drafts.

And I don't think anyone has said the best from the CHL can't play in the SHL. However, it is a very different league, and the numbers would play that out. For a young defenseman like Larsson, you bet your ass I find it more impressive that he had a good season against grown men as a defenseman than Kapanen did as a forward. That's a tougher position to play at a young age.

And the worst part is that this was all about trying to acquire Lindholm. :facepalm:
 

Vipers31

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By growing up and being drafted out of Sweden he was put in the position where he could play in the SHL. The other guys are from North America and played where they were allowed to play.
They were allowed to play in the NHL, weren't they? It's not like they had the toughest roster to crack, either. I'm being provocative here, obviously. I know the level is higher, and I know being on a bit of a trainwreck of a team wouldn't necessarily serve them more. But you just can't take an actual accomplishment away. Making the step to professional hockey is one of the biggest hurdles prospects have to overcome. A guy that has taken that hurdle masterfully will always have a big bonus over a guy that has yet to show that. With some guys, the overall talent is so big that it's a bonus that scouts feel they can ignore, like in Provorov's case. That doesn't make it the rule.

So, generally there are going to be some talented players that play junior that could play in the SHL, maybe even at a higher level than Larsson. Nielsen established he was among the best there.
Not sure how much he established in that season, but (yet again), establishing yourself as a great junior player doesn't equal establishing yourself as a great NHL prospect. And proving yourself at a far higher level of play goes a much longer way to doing that.
 

Sojourn

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They were allowed to play in the NHL, weren't they? It's not like they had the toughest roster to crack, either. I'm being provocative here, obviously. I know the level is higher, and I know being on a bit of a trainwreck of a team wouldn't necessarily serve them more. But you just can't take an actual accomplishment away. Making the step to professional hockey is one of the biggest hurdles prospects have to overcome. A guy that has taken that hurdle masterfully will always have a big bonus over a guy that has yet to show that. With some guys, the overall talent is so big that it's a bonus that scouts feel they can ignore, like in Provorov's case. That doesn't make it the rule.


Not sure how much he established in that season, but (yet again), establishing yourself as a great junior player doesn't equal establishing yourself as a great NHL prospect. And proving yourself at a far higher level of play goes a much longer way to doing that.

See: Emerson Etem.
 

Magic Man

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Junior seems to have done fine in turning the likes of Sanheim and Provorov into good NHL prospects. Nielsen was the other dman as dominant as they were in the WHL. Can probably connect the dots there and assume Nielsen is one as well.

You can prefer the dman and still acknowledge they're comparable prospects based on what's been accomplished to date.
 

Sojourn

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Junior seems to have done fine in turning the likes of Sanheim and Provorov into good NHL prospects. Nielsen was the other dman as dominant as they were in the WHL. Can probably connect the dots there and assume Nielsen is one as well.

You can prefer the dman and still acknowledge they're comparable prospects based on what's been accomplished to date.

You said that already. I can, but I don't think they are. And you haven't exactly put together a good argument for why they are comparable.
 

Magic Man

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Your guys arguments are that he is better because he played in the SHL, which none of the other prospects were able to do because they were from other countries and he is a dman instead of a winger, you will need both though. I'm not sure you guys have done anything at all to convince me of Larsson's superiority to everything in the top prospect pool in the league outside of the 3 legit top-10 prospects.
 

Opak

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I'm simply looking at where they were ranked a year or two ago among the hockey community. Then looking again at what they've accomplished in the game of hockey post draft. There is nothing there that suggests Larsson is at a higher level. Kapanen produced like a top-6 forward in the Finnish league and AHL.

The very best from the CHL are capable of playing in the SHL. They proved themselves in the leagues they were able to play in that they were at the top of their class.

Kapanen certainly wasn't a top level forward during his days in Finland, and his production wasn't anything special either (trust me, I'm a Finn). I'd also argue that Kapanen's production last year wasn't as lofty as you describe. If anything, he started showing signs of possibly being able to reach some the projections that were given on his draft year. Kapanen is still far from being a sure thing though.

I'd also argue against your notion of CHLers being as good as SHL pros. Sure, SOME of the VERY BEST are definitely SHL caliber players, but even then it all comes down to the player's individual ability to adapt to the professional setting and the European environment. The closest comparable between Euro leagues and the CHL comes in the form of Nikolai Goldobin, who came to Finland after having a 94-point season for Sarnia as an 18-year-old. He was able to reach Kapanen-level numbers for HIFK, which again is not that special. It's decent, but it's not like he was some dominant force out there. SHL is also slightly better/more competitive than Liiga, so that's also something to take into consideration.
 

Magic Man

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Kapanen certainly wasn't a top level forward during his days in Finland, and his production wasn't anything special either (trust me, I'm a Finn). I'd also argue that Kapanen's production last year wasn't as lofty as you describe. If anything, he started showing signs of possibly being able to reach some the projections that were given on his draft year. Kapanen is still far from being a sure thing though.

I'd also argue against your notion of CHLers being as good as SHL pros. Sure, SOME of the VERY BEST are definitely SHL caliber players, but even then it all comes down to the player's individual ability to adapt to the professional setting and the European environment. The closest comparable between Euro leagues and the CHL comes in the form of Nikolai Goldobin, who came to Finland after having a 94-point season for Sarnia as an 18-year-old. He was able to reach Kapanen-level numbers for HIFK, which again is not that special. It's decent, but it's not like he was some dominant force out there. SHL is also slightly better/more competitive than Liiga, so that's also something to take into consideration.

Kapanen's #'s weren't special in comparison to some other young forwards like Nylander for example. But, in comparison to Larsson's production they look pretty comparable. Even taking into account the slightly better league.
 

Exit Dose

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Kapanen's #'s weren't special in comparison to some other young forwards like Nylander for example. But, in comparison to Larsson's production they look pretty comparable. Even taking into account the slightly better league.

Larsson is a defenseman. So, what sort of argument is it that his numbers make him comparable to a forward? He's a gifted defensive player to boot.
 

Magic Man

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Larsson is a defenseman. So, what sort of argument is it that his numbers make him comparable to a forward? He's a gifted defensive player to boot.

He produced offensively more like a 2nd pairing defender in the SHL. He didn't dominate. Similar to Kapanen in the Finnish league and AHL.
 

Exit Dose

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Top pairing defenseman in the NHL produce offensively at a high level. They also do so defensively.

It is part of it.

No, not always. Though I'd love to see you expand on the other part of Larsson's game. Tell us about his defensive prowess, seeing as you've apparently studied this player.
 

Avs44

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Top pairing defenseman in the NHL produce offensively at a high level. They also do so defensively.

It is part of it.

Marc Edouard Vlassic...this past season was the first time in his career he managed to break 30 points. Chris Tanev...never put up more than 20 points. Are neither of those players top pairing defensmen according to your logic? That would be an interest contestation to make. I'd say you have a very skewed, and poor, vision of what a top pairing defensman has to do to be qualified as such.
 

Magic Man

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Marc Edouard Vlassic...this past season was the first time in his career he managed to break 30 points. Chris Tanev...never put up more than 20 points. Are neither of those players top pairing defensmen according to your logic? That would be an interest contestation to make. I'd say you have a very skewed, and poor, vision of what a top pairing defensman has to do to be qualified as such.

Those players aren't the norm and they still produce respectably. If you are exceptional defensively or offensively than you can lack in other areas. You're saying it is likely that Larsson's defensive game is so refined that he's likely to become a Vlasic or Tanev like defenseman, because obviously he's not projected to produce like a top pairing blueliner offensively.

The last few pages of this thread are painful to read. Let it go Jax, no one is on your side.

Everyone is against me and not one of them can stumble into a legit reason as to why he has separated himself from all these prospects. It's almost like there minds were made up before hand.
 
Oct 18, 2011
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I'm simply looking at where they were ranked a year or two ago among the hockey community. Then looking again at what they've accomplished in the game of hockey post draft. There is nothing there that suggests Larsson is at a higher level. Kapanen produced like a top-6 forward in the Finnish league and AHL.

The very best from the CHL are capable of playing in the SHL. They proved themselves in the leagues they were able to play in that they were at the top of their class.

yes the very best, but most CHL'ers would never make it in a league that good.
 

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