OT: Lets talk about stocks (Part 3)

Chadstudsky

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Nov 19, 2008
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i've done well with the Sept 25 calls and have been jumping in and out of the shares, should have bought a lot more but most of my cash is tied up in NLST as I wait for October.

I think there's still several incoming catalysts to come, these next 3 weeks will tell us where this disease is going as cases have just started to pop up in schools, one in a daycare, one from pet dog to owner, etc.

What do you think happens with NLST in October? Are they expected to win their lawsuit?
 
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montreal

Go Habs Go
Mar 21, 2002
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I think there's still several incoming catalysts to come, these next 3 weeks will tell us where this disease is going as cases have just started to pop up in schools, one in a daycare, one from pet dog to owner, etc.

What do you think happens with NLST in October? Are they expected to win their lawsuit?

I added a little more SIGA on the drop (shares) and thinking about either this week or next I will cash in my Sept 25's for some Oct 30's, might wait till after the holiday coming up at the end of the month.

NLST I do think they win, Google, Samsung, etc.. clearly stole their shit but it's tough for a really small company to take on the biggest in tech.
 
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danyhabsfan

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Feb 12, 2007
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Any reason in particular?
1660747011007.png
 
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Non Player Canadiens

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Jan 25, 2012
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Everyone thinks bull runs last forever. Haha, this is going to get ugly still. The worst is yet to come for sure.
Looks like aggressive Fed policies have put the brakes on any recession plunge, at least in the near term. Maybe there won't be a huge crash after all.

Anyway, do you have a time frame for when you expect this crash to happen? :naughty:
 

Hope Of Glory

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May 24, 2009
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Looks like aggressive Fed policies have put the brakes on any recession plunge, at least in the near term. Maybe there won't be a huge crash after all.

Anyway, do you have a time frame for when you expect this crash to happen? :naughty:
He's been expecting it for at least a year, if not more. Plenty of people did and still do.

It's easy to say a crash/correction will happen, it always ends up happening. Nobody can put a timeframe on it though. Or precisely identify the bottom. So it's useless to "predict" a crash without hard numbers that you can bet on.

Also, I'm still waiting for bitcoin @100k$. Was supposed to happen before year's end. 2021, that is.
 

BehindTheTimes

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Jun 24, 2018
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He's been expecting it for at least a year, if not more. Plenty of people did and still do.

It's easy to say a crash/correction will happen, it always ends up happening. Nobody can put a timeframe on it though. Or precisely identify the bottom. So it's useless to "predict" a crash without hard numbers that you can bet on.

Also, I'm still waiting for bitcoin @100k$. Was supposed to happen before year's end. 2021, that is.
Lolol, bitcoin will be a 100k one day, but yeah the rug got pulled sooner than I expected. What was traditionally prime bitcoin season in 2021 turned out not to be. 100k was looking very realistic when it was 85k.
 
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Non Player Canadiens

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Jan 25, 2012
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He's been expecting it for at least a year, if not more. Plenty of people did and still do.

It's easy to say a crash/correction will happen, it always ends up happening. Nobody can put a timeframe on it though. Or precisely identify the bottom. So it's useless to "predict" a crash without hard numbers that you can bet on.

Also, I'm still waiting for bitcoin @100k$. Was supposed to happen before year's end. 2021, that is.
Yeah that's exactly my point, "it's gonna crash, just wait" is essentially a useless prediction unless it's bounded. Was wondering if @BehindTheTimes was gonna be more specific with a timeline or not
 
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Hope Of Glory

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May 24, 2009
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Lolol, bitcoin will be a 100k one day, but yeah the rug got pulled sooner than I expected. What was traditionally prime bitcoin season in 2021 turned out not to be. 100k was looking very realistic when it was 85k.
Yeah, that's why I don't speak in absolute when talking about stocks or any speculative asset. That shit is very hard to predict long term and almost impossible short term. :laugh:
 

BehindTheTimes

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Jun 24, 2018
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Yeah, that's why I don't speak in absolute when talking about stocks or any speculative asset. That shit is very hard to predict long term and almost impossible short term. :laugh:
Will I think an
Yeah, that's why I don't speak in absolute when talking about stocks or any speculative asset. That shit is very hard to predict long term and almost impossible short term. :laugh:
I think a collapse greater than 2008 is inevitable. By the end of the year, if not early 2023, but the criminals on wallstreet may be able to drag it out further than that, who knows. It’s looking like a dead cat bounce to me and the worst is yet to come.

Can’t be wrong if you never pick a side. Sounds like a good portion of our Habs fans.
 

SOLR

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Jun 4, 2006
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Classic venture play, 0 or lots.

Will I think an

I think a collapse greater than 2008 is inevitable. By the end of the year, if not early 2023, but the criminals on wallstreet may be able to drag it out further than that, who knows. It’s looking like a dead cat bounce to me and the worst is yet to come.

Can’t be wrong if you never pick a side. Sounds like a good portion of our Habs fans.

The real criminals are in China on this one. I think they could land this inflation ship if it wasn't for what is happening over there.
 

BehindTheTimes

Registered User
Jun 24, 2018
7,490
10,349
Classic venture play, 0 or lots.



The real criminals are in China on this one. I think they could land this inflation ship if it wasn't for what is happening over there.
I’m not so sure, but yes China is a mess. The Evergrande debacle I suspect was just the tip of the iceberg. It’s got contagion written all over it. I don’t think there will be a soft landing here.
 
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Hope Of Glory

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May 24, 2009
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Will I think an

I think a collapse greater than 2008 is inevitable. By the end of the year, if not early 2023, but the criminals on wallstreet may be able to drag it out further than that, who knows. It’s looking like a dead cat bounce to me and the worst is yet to come.

Can’t be wrong if you never pick a side. Sounds like a good portion of our Habs fans.

Well, it's a probabilistic world so talking in absolutes is rarely a good thing imo. Doesn't cost a thing when you're wrong about the Habs so I like to take a side. But as far as the market goes? I'll bet more carefully.

Would love to see the crooks on Wall Street (not everyone there is a crook obviously) get taken to the cleaners though.

Classic venture play, 0 or lots.



The real criminals are in China on this one. I think they could land this inflation ship if it wasn't for what is happening over there.
One of the reason I never bought into the (long term) hype of China is the weak/lack of rule of law. Corruption always catches up to you in the end. Hell, even in democratic countries it happens and can be bad so I don't even want to imagine how bad it is over there. As flawed as the law is in the US, it's still a 1000 times better than in China. Xi removing the term limit for presidents was a huge red flags.

Not impossible that the CCP manages to keep the whole thing afloat for a while longer but yeah, doesn't look good. The random social media guys that hyped Crypto once it was too late that are now hyping the fall of China have me a bit concern though :laugh:.

Also, Dalio thinking so highly of China is interesting. Guy is probably biased because he loves the country but he's still a really smart, analytic guy. Wonder what he thinks of all the doom and gloom. Big contrast with other smart guys like Zeihan.
 
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SOLR

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Well, it's a probabilistic world so talking in absolutes is rarely a good thing imo. Doesn't cost a thing when you're wrong about the Habs so I like to take a side. But as far as the market goes? I'll bet more carefully.

Would love to see the crooks on Wall Street (not everyone there is a crook obviously) get taken to the cleaners though.


One of the reason I never bought into the (long term) hype of China is the weak/lack of rule of law. Corruption always catches up to you in the end. Hell, even in democratic countries it happens and can be bad so I don't even want to imagine how bad it is over there. As flawed as the law is in the US, it's still a 1000 times better than in China. Xi removing the term limit for presidents was a huge red flags.

Not impossible that the CCP manages to keep the whole thing afloat for a while longer but yeah, doesn't look good. The random social media guys that hyped Crypto once it was too late that are now hyping the fall of China have me a bit concern though :laugh:.

Also, Dalio thinking so highly of China is interesting. Guy is probably biased because he loves the country but he's still a really smart, analytic guy. Wonder what he thinks of all the doom and gloom. Big contrast with other smart guys like Zeihan.

He's high on China because if the CCP wasn't there to bomb prosperity with their nonsense they would dominate, they have a class of stellar talent that doesn't exist anywhere else (particularly in terms of manufacturing). But all that is for naught if banks are exploding because law enforcement was built like a house of cards.

And well demography was always going to catch up to them. And it's a cascading phenomenon, the CCP can't replace 85% of their effective membership from one generation to the other (that's the real thing that will make the house of cards slip).
 
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Perrah

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Jul 2, 2009
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He's high on China because if the CCP wasn't there to bomb prosperity with their nonsense they would dominate, they have a class of stellar talent that doesn't exist anywhere else (particularly in terms of manufacturing). But all that is for naught if banks are exploding because law enforcement was built like a house of cards.

And well demography was always going to catch up to them. And it's a cascading phenomenon, the CCP can't replace 85% of their effective membership from one generation to the other (that's the real thing that will make the house of cards slip).
Do they really have that much higher of talent in terms of manufacturing or is it a result of the conditions they allow manufacturing to occur at? I mean that in the sense of environmental protections (chemical manufacturing) and use of forced labour/child labour/etc. Chemical manufacturing is much cheaper when you can just dump all your waste in the river.
 

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