Leafs moves Work in progress - Depth update

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You need 8 NHL Dmen. If they can sign Sandin they’ll have enough that will at least be able to find their way from the dressing room to the ice.
 

At the moment, this group looks somewhat incomplete.

The Leafs lost two sure-fire top nine forwards, Ilya Mikheyev and Ondrej Kase, and didn’t replace them with even one.

There’s a chance that Nicolas Aube-Kubel can step into the void and play bigger minutes than the 10 per game he averaged last season. He’s an aggressive forechecker who could help fill some of the Mikheyev gap that way.

He might be able to bring some offence too after scoring 11 five-on-five goals last season in limited minutes.


The Leafs might well hope that Pierre Engvall can take another step as well. He eventually locked down a third-line job last season and ended up with a career-best 15 goals and 35 points. With more regular top-nine opportunity, and a spot on the power play, it’s possible he can give the Leafs 15-20 next season.

An additional top-nine forward would help though. Among the candidates still out there (as of this writing) who would fit that bill: Evan Rodrigues, Paul Stastny, Sonny Milano, Calle Jarnkrok and Danton Heinen.

Zach Aston-Reese would bring the Leafs some additional jam and would fit right in on a line with Engvall and David Kampf, though he wouldn’t add any offence.

Absent another addition, it’ll be interesting to see how Leafs coach Sheldon Keefe maps out his top three lines to start. Namely, do John Tavares and William Nylander reconnect on the regular after their second-half breakup last season?
Keefe bounced Nylander around down the stretch and into the playoffs, sometimes pairing him up with Tavares, other times dropping him down onto a line with Kampf.

Will the Leafs coach keep Nylander away from Tavares again next season and play him with Kampf instead?

Is that really an optimal lineup?
 
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The Leafs lost two sure-fire top nine forwards, Ilya Mikheyev and Ondrej Kase, and didn’t replace them with even one.

This is false. Kase started on the 3rd line last year but ended up on the 4th line last year, after his slot was upgraded by Engvall. Engvall became a fixture on the new dominant 3rd line, and Kase was relegated to the 4th line.

Mikheyev is the only top-9 forward the Leafs lost.
 
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I don't mind 5x5 for Soup but Leafs clearly did. Said I'd rather have Paul at 7x3.15 than Mik for similar money when Paul signed. No way do I give Lub that deal. Will be interesting to see what Engvall wants after seeing the deals handed out today.
Doesnt really matter Engval wants. Likely will be settled in arbitration.
 
This team got significantly worse on paper.

Can't imagine Matthews or Marner being happy with the moves being made. We're just wasting their years in Toronto.

Giving that horrendous contract to JT was the TSN turning point of this team IMO. Either that or the Kadri trade.
Haha Marner unhappy? He's a major contributing factor to this team's failures. Check out his playoff stats...
 
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Our 3rd line looks pretty questionable at this point and I'm not sure who's going to play on Tavare's line. This is as worrisome to me as our goaltending because our lack of production from our bottom 6 has hurt us in the playoffs. The good news is TB lost some key depth and I don't see them being nearly as good as last year.
 
Yeah - best +/- among forwards and second in scoring to Matthews (Nylander third).
He's paid 11 million... for the money he's paid we need to raise our expectations to Makar (who only makes 9). He's closer to McDavid in pay than Makar and McDavid had 33 points in 16 games. Let's all get excited over Marners 14 goal and 69 point career playoff pace (while playing top minutes with the very best nhl centers).

Not trying to make this a Marner thread, but he is the LAST player who will be upset with management. If anything he should be feeling the heat himself because of his ridiculous contract that he held out for in spectacular fashion. Let's just get that out of the way.
 
This is false. Kase started on the 3rd line last year but ended up on the 4th line last year, after his slot was upgraded by Engvall. Engvall became a fixture on the new dominant 3rd line, and Kase was relegated to the 4th line.

Mikheyev is the only top-9 forward the Leafs lost.
OK, so we have to replace 27 points from the fourth line?

Rather than nitpicking valid critiques of our offseason thus far, I wish the pro-Dubas side would advance more positive speculation for next season/reasons for excitement because the roster to me looks rough beyond the first line.
 
OK, so we have to replace 27 points from the fourth line?

Rather than nitpicking valid critiques of our offseason thus far, I wish the pro-Dubas side would advance more positive speculation for next season/reasons for excitement because the roster to me looks rough beyond the first line.

well, 18 even strength points.
 
Kase was useless when it mattered. Too soft and injury prone.

Well, injuries being what they were, he kind of went from a bulldog to a Pomeranian when it really mattered. I think he can get you about a dozen goals over 50 odd games but it’s painful seeing him skate head first into trouble.
 
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Well, injuries being what they were, he kind of went from a bulldog to a Pomeranian when it really mattered. I think he can get you about a dozen goals over 50 odd games but it’s painful seeing him skate head first into trouble.

For him to be effective, he has to play certain way. That certain will lead to more injuries
Very likeable player and injuries are unpredictable.

Time to move on.
 
For him to be effective, he has to play certain way. That certain will lead to more injuries
Very likeable player and injuries are unpredictable.

Time to move on.

He’s sort of a Grabovski tunnel vision and recklessness meets Komarov choppy style. You love to see it but definitely doesn’t feel good thinking it might impact his health.
 
OK, so we have to replace 27 points from the fourth line?

Rather than nitpicking valid critiques of our offseason thus far, I wish the pro-Dubas side would advance more positive speculation for next season/reasons for excitement because the roster to me looks rough beyond the first line.
What I find interesting is that with each passing year as past contracts expire the Tavares contract takes a bigger and bigger bite out of leafs depth, not allowing the Leafs to even resign tneir own to raises.

With the departures of Kase, Mikheyev Spezza and not replaced that lets 48 goals and 86 points alone walk out the door.

If Kerfoot is the Leafs LW destined to play 2nd line LW with Tavares & Nylander then that means the highest cost bottom 6 player on the roster is checking C David Kampf at $1.5 mil and 11 goals and 26 points, All the other players in the bottom 6 forwards are destined to make < $1.5 mil with only RFA Engvall (@ $1.25 mil) a possibility to match or surpass.

Due to the salary cap Leafs likely will be filling out the bottom 6 of their forwards all making $1.5 mil or less down to league min $750k.

The gap between the Have and Have-nots has never been so great as it is now. If the opposition holds the Leafs core 4 in check in meaningfull playoff games, where will the support offense come from is a fair question to ask?
 
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What I find interesting is that with each passing year as past contracts expire the Tavares contract takes a bigger and bigger bite out of leafs depth, not allowing the Leafs to even resign tneir own to raises.

With the departures of Kase, Mikheyev Spezza and not replaced that lets 48 goals and 86 points alone walk out the door.

If Kerfoot is the Leafs LW destined to play 2nd line LW with Tavares & Nylander then that means the highest cost bottom 6 player on the roster is checking C David Kampf at $1.5 mil and 11 goals and 26 points, All the other players in the bottom 6 forwards are destined to make < $1.5 mil with only RFA Engvall (@ $1.25 mil) a possibility to match or surpass.

Due to the salary cap Leafs likely will be filling out the bottom 6 of their forwards all making $1.5 mil or less down to league min $750k.

The gap between the Have and Have-nots has never been so great as it is now. If the opposition holds the Leafs core 4 in check in meaningfull playoff games, where will the support offense come from is a fair question to ask?
Well, some will say that the Leafs can just upgrade their team at the deadline, neglecting that that strategy has led to us bleeding futures. Again, a champion like Washington kept all their futures while competing, which enabled a necessary second push beyond simply their elite talent.
 
There are some major concerns surrounding this team right now (if winning a cup is the goal).

* The goaltending is a major question mark
* Mikheyev, Kase, and Spezza are gone. No one has replaced them yet.
* The LW is a noticeable hole and the hope is Robertson takes one spot (that's another question mark)
* Tavares and Muzzin are slowly regressing (even Brodie didn't look as sharp last season imo)

This team will make the playoffs but unless there are proper upgrades or they hit the jackpot with a younger player (i.e. Robertson/Knies etc.), they aren't winning a cup.

This is also assuming no one gets injured.

If one of those top guys gets hurt, this team is dead in the water.

Lots of time to go until game 1 of the playoffs but I agree with those who are disappointed right now. They are still a good team but heading in the wrong direction with limited cap space.
 
Well, some will say that the Leafs can just upgrade their team at the deadline, neglecting that that strategy has led to us bleeding futures. Again, a champion like Washington kept all their futures while competing, which enabled a necessary second push beyond simply their elite talent.

Agreed

It appears the Leafs strategy this year at least at present is to dress nightly 7 NHL forwards making $1.5 mil or less down to $750k among their 12 starters with 3 X $11 mil + WN @ $7 and Kerfoot @$3.5.

That is Bunting, Kampf, Engvall and Aube-Kubel the only semi certain of those 7 the other 3 is anybody's best guess at this point.

That is best case scenario at 100% full health.

Using unknown LTIR money at TD time at expense of continuing to empty the draft pick cupboard is uncertain and unwise.

The only late season help I can see coming that we hope can make a difference is Matt Knies after his college year ends.
 
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"relax guys it's only preseason"

Wait it's not even that.

Why are we panicking?

Nothing matters outside of game 7 which will happen when June 2023?

That's all I care for next year. The leafs will make the playoffs, very certain that'll it will go to game 7. Can this team find a way to beat their demons and put down a rival

That's what I want to know next year. I have no issues with our moved becuase they don't matter.

Upside/downside will be put on hold until the outcome of round 1.

We are not missing the playoffs and like 95% sure we won't be a wildcard team.

Let's hope these guys are the right mix and our goaltending is clutch enough to slay our demons and then go onto have a 2011 VAN run with a better ending
Probably some panic because the moves have been dreadful. Dont need to wait until September to see that

And maybe Murray/Samsonov work out. But Dubas hasnt done anything for the rest of the team yet
 
Well, some will say that the Leafs can just upgrade their team at the deadline, neglecting that that strategy has led to us bleeding futures. Again, a champion like Washington kept all their futures while competing, which enabled a necessary second push beyond simply their elite talent.

It can’t be ignored that a first round talent the Leafs drafted to make this type of push has been sidelined by an unpredictable disease. Amirov in much better circumstances would be pushing for that middle 6 left wing spot alongside Robertson, but is instead at the point where we all just hope he’ll be able to live a healthy life, regardless of his hockey career.

Leafs by all rights should have two highly touted forward prospects pushing for forward positions, like how Sandin (re-sign already) and Liljegren are doing for the defence. But as it stands Robertson is our only potential young difference maker up front that’s come up through the system. I suppose you could include Knies but he won’t be available until close to the end of the season.
 
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Bunting - Matthews - Marner
Robertson/Knies - Tavares - Rodrigues
Kerfoot - Engvall - Nylander
Sheahan - Kampf- Abe-Kubel
Clifford - Gaudette - Simmonds

Rielly - Brodie
Giordano - Liljegren
Sandin - Holl
Benn - Mete

Trade Muzzin and use the cap space for Rodrigues and Sheahan
 
Calle (iron hook ) Jarnkrok just signed with the Leafs.
I hope this turns out to be a good signing.
 

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