Game 8
Registered User
- Mar 8, 2003
- 2,246
- 245
Honestly there isn't a defenseman in the league with these physical tools. I can totally see him not even putting up over 25 pts for the first 3 or 4 years he is in the league. At some point there's gonna be questions, people saying wow this guy has all the tools why hasn't he put it together yet, we see it in flashes but never over a whole season, how can Edmonton depend on this guy he's not a cornerstone piece, just a physically gifted player with a 10-cent brain. But the truth of the matter is he's not even close to being fully developed and expecting him to hit the ground running like we've seen a lot of guys do lately is setting him up to fail.
He's going to have to learn how to read the game at the NHL level and pick his spots and feel his way around the game instead of going pedal to the metal all the time like he can do in junior. The only way to do that is to play NHL games - lots of them, not 25 or 50, hundreds probably. He's also going to have to grow into his body, he's only just turned 20, born in 1995, there is players coming out of the NFL draft today that are born in 1991. Not the same sport, but to be at that same stage of physical development he'd be in his 4th year in the NHL. He's not even close to being done developing physically, and it's going to come at the price of an adjustment period on the job in the NHL. He's going to give the puck away for some gross goals, he's going to get caught pinching and give up rushes, he's going to be too over-aggressive and probably end up getting suspended a couple times. It's probably even going to end up directly costing the team a game or two in the process because of over-zealousness.
I can see him hitting a peak in his 3rd or 4th year in the league and continuing to rise and become even more fearsome as he learns the old-man tricks once he's reconciled his physical tools with his mind for the game, it isn't going to come instantly, he's not coming out of junior as a polished Picasso but his physical gifts and skills along with his intensity and body type are a scary, scary combination. There's elements of his defensive game that resemble only things Chara can do in this league. He's probably not going to win a Norris but player's are going to be uncomfortable and thinking twice facing him every night. Rushing the puck occasionally when it's a good time to, advancing the puck quickly with short simple plays and getting shots through to the net - that's all he has to do offensively, he doesn't have to be Doughty or Subban or Karlsson or Keith at his size with his physical package.
There's going to be moments and he's going to go through multiple cycles of hype, backlash, post-hype success cycles. He's in a glaring market in what is going to be one of the most heavily covered teams in recent memory - there's mistakes to be made on the job, the spotlight's going to burn on him when he makes those mistakes, but it's the only place he can learn. If you stick it out with this guy you're gonna reap all the rewards, and there will be many. High, high-end character and grit. I'll take my odds with this one.
Excellent analogy!