Value of: Lafreniere Offer Sheet (1 year at $6.4M)

[Habs Halifax]

Do the Rangers match? 1st and 3rd is the compensation.

What pick do we think the Habs will have for the 2024 draft? 5-16 range? Seems like a similar cost to what we paid to acquire Dach to me. Basically a KK type offer sheet and a handshake deal on what the extension. I find that part tricky because if he breaks out, he won't take $4.82M for 8 years.

Risk/Rewards are tricky on this one.

Also, would other fans consider this move?

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[BB88]

Montreal is looking to be the worst team in the Atlantic and about bottom 2-3 in the East so that would sound awfully risky

 

[Crease]

I don't think the Rangers would match that.

 

[GIN ANTONIC]

Rangers would not match but that's a dumb move on MTL's part. They aren't going to be good next year so that 1st could end up pretty high. Do it in the $4.2 range for 2-3 years for the lower compensation slot and see if Rangers match that. Still think they pass.

 

[TheKrebsCycle]

Unprotected First plus ? That could easily be top 5; In addition to the cap crunch. Might do the trick

 

[Nico Hischier]

Rangers would not match but that's a dumb move on MTL's part. They aren't going to be good next year so that 1st could end up pretty high. Do it in the $4.2 range for 2-3 years for the lower compensation slot and see if Rangers match that. Still think they pass.

I think they would match that and then pay to get rid of goodrow

 

[Artorius Horus T]

6.4 miiliom?

Yeah naw

 

[Habs Halifax]

Montreal is looking to be the worst team in the Atlantic and about bottom 2-3 in the East so that would sound awfully risky

Habs were 5th last in the NHL with historic injuries. If not for those injuries, we would have picked 8-12 range. Add the one year of growth from our youth and I have us in the 8-16 range with our pick.

It's not far off from the Romanov+ for 13th for Dach trade. Would you have more faith in Lafreniere today vs where Dach was before last season?

Risky yes. But the Habs will be in the mix of that bottom 8-16 range IMO. I think we are going to be moving up, not down.

 

[Ledge And Dairy]

I think they would match that and then pay to get rid of goodrow

Match yes but they could jut bury people to get under the cap at that point. It would be tough but they could run a 20 man roster at 4.2M for the first month or so

 

[Habs Halifax]

Rangers would not match but that's a dumb move on MTL's part. They aren't going to be good next year so that 1st could end up pretty high. Do it in the $4.2 range for 2-3 years for the lower compensation slot and see if Rangers match that. Still think they pass.

I have our pick somewhere in the 8-16 range. If not for all the injuries last year, we would have had a pick in the 8-12 range this past draft. .

Totally understand the risk but we are better than 5th last. It's not the true indication of where we are.

 

[Voight]

I wouldn't do this if I were the Habs. Un less they are really dying to have a somewhat marketable QC player.

 

[pth2]

Rangers shouldn't match such an offer.

Habs shouldn't be making it: it's just too risky that it's a top 10 pick, which Lafrenière isn't worth.

 

[Habs Halifax]

I don't think the Rangers would match that.

I don't think they would either. Not drooling to make that move as a Habs fan but it does make me think. Could be a similar cost to what we paid to get Dach last off season.

Canes were the ones who were brilliant in showing us how to do an offer sheet correctly.

 

[BB88]

Habs were 5th last in the NHL with historic injuries. If not for those injuries, we would have picked 8-12 range. Add the one year of growth from our youth and I have us in the 8-16 range with our pick.

It's not far off from the Romanov+ for 13th for Dach trade. Would you have more faith in Lafreniere today vs where Dach was before last season?

Risky yes. But the Habs will be in the mix of that bottom 8-16 range IMO. I think we are going to be moving up, not down.

So which of Detroit/Ottawa/Buffalo are you going to be better than?

 

[McDonald19]

No, $4.290 mil with 2nd round pick compensation is worth a try though.

 

[Karl Eriksson]

He’s a $775K two way contract player

 

[KrisLetAngry]

1 year 4.2 million for a 2nd round. Anything more and I don't think it's good value.

He’s a $775K two way contract player

Never become a player agent.

 

[LeafalCrusader]

 

[Habs Halifax]

I wouldn't do this if I were the Habs. Un less they are really dying to have a somewhat marketable QC player.

It has nothing to do with language. Lafreniere has the same potential as Dach before last season

1 year 4.2 million for a 2nd round. Anything more and I don't think it's good value.


Never become a player agent.

Habs don't own our 2nd and the point of doing an offersheet is trying to make it work. Not one where the Canes match the Aho contract quite easily.

Rangers match that offer sheet at $4.2M

 

[Lacaar]

Wouldn't this introduce a ton of risk to Montreal concerning the qualifying offer the next year?

If he doesn't perform they'd have to qualify him at 6 million or let him walk?

 

[Habs Halifax]

So which of Detroit/Ottawa/Buffalo are you going to be better than?

Not sure but we will be in that mix. Neither of them are sure shots to be ahead of us. The biggest question with the Habs is do we stay healthy. Last year was a massive amount of injuries.

In terms or risks to the 1st... 5th vs 13th in this past draft was Reinbacher vs Benson. In an apparent deep draft.

 

[KrisLetAngry]

It has nothing to do with language. Lafreniere has the same potential as Dach before last season



Habs don't own our 2nd and the point of doing an offersheet is trying to make it work. Not one where the Canes match the Aho contract quite easily.

Rangers match that offer sheet at $4.2M

I would not do a 1st and 3rd for Laf. If the Rangers sign it they sign it. Sounds like Montreal isn't a match then.

 

[Habs Halifax]

Wouldn't this introduce a ton of risk to Montreal concerning the qualifying offer the next year?

If he doesn't perform they'd have to qualify him at 6 million or let him walk?

Not really. Rumors were the Canes had a handshake deal on an extention before making their 1 year offer sheet on Kotkaniemi.

 

[abo9]

Negotiating a contract if he breaks out isnt the issue


The issue is giving away an awfully good pick

 

[BayStBullies]

It would be interesting. That Habs pick might be top 3.