Rumor: Kypreos says Matthews will be 13.5M (Haggling over term)

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Ace

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Oct 29, 2015
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31,275
It’s Kypreos so a huge grain of salt should be taken here

If true that’s a disgusting contract and shows what his priorities are
You were confused what his priorities were before this report?
 

SENStastic

Registered User
Sep 27, 2015
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More money.

If he signs for 3 years today, he still a UFA at 29 years of age in July 2027. Then he can sign his big long term deal for big money... And he gets to do it when the salary cap is no longer flat and rapidly rising.


Think of it like this:

Option A) He signs 7x$13.5M with Toronto starting July 2024 when he's 26 turning 27. He becomes a UFA next when he's 32 turning 33 and at that age he signs a 3x$7M contract as a UFA then retires at 35/36.

Earnings over those 10 years: $115.5M

Option B) He signs 3x$13.5M with Toronto starting July 2024 when he's 26 turning 27. Becomes a UFA when he's 29 turning 30. At that age he's still a major top commodity that all teams would chase in free agency. At a $96M salary cap that year, Matthews signs a 7x$16M cap hit in free agency with Toronto or some other teams that takes him to 35/36 and then he retired.

Earnings over same 10 year period as Option A: $152.5M



The result? He makes an extra $37M in his career.
Thats most likely the case if all he cares about is maximize his personal earnings. Most likely gets closer to 10mx3 tho in your 1st scenario at 32yo with the cap increase, but still gets a decent amount more going with the second route for sure barring serious/career threatening injuries. But he'll most likely handicap his team throughout it all and make it very difficult to assemble a deep cup contender in the process. I'm all for it though:popcorn:
 
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WTFMAN99

Registered User
Jun 17, 2009
34,129
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My random guy on the Internet calculation has 6 years as the sweet spot. Takes him to the year 2030 and age 33 and extends his Leafs stay for as reasonable a runway as you’d want.

12.95M x 6?

Makes the most in the entire league and likely 90-92% signing bonuses.
 

LOFIN

Registered User
Sep 16, 2011
16,777
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Just a matter of time until the top players in the league start pressing the issue. Look at the NBA, guys take 1 year deals at max money. Why should you be locking yourself into 8 year deals when the cap is going up every year? Just plain dumb.
Because every now and then you get a Landeskog, and you're glad you signed that 8 year deal when you have a career ending injury on the first year of that deal.
 

Curufinwe

Registered User
Feb 28, 2013
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Auston Matthews last contract was valued at 14.64% of the team’s salary cap and those bought out a lot of restricted years. If the $13.5M AAV contract is true, and let’s say next year’s salary cap is $87M, that would be 15.5%.
And the cap should be $100m pretty soon.

SEASONCONFIRMED% CHANGEUPPER LIMIT
Tooltip
LOWER LIMIT
Tooltip
MIN. SALARY
Tooltip
2025-26NHL Estimate5.14%$92,000,000$68,000,000$775,000
2024-25NHL Estimate4.79%$87,500,000$64,700,000$775,000
2023-24Jun. 23, 20231.21%$83,500,000$61,700,000$775,000
 

WTFMAN99

Registered User
Jun 17, 2009
34,129
12,256
And the cap should be $100m pretty soon.

SEASONCONFIRMED% CHANGEUPPER LIMIT
Tooltip
LOWER LIMIT
Tooltip
MIN. SALARY
Tooltip
2025-26NHL Estimate5.14%$92,000,000$68,000,000$775,000
2024-25NHL Estimate4.79%$87,500,000$64,700,000$775,000
2023-24Jun. 23, 20231.21%$83,500,000$61,700,000$775,000

You can't go by estimated future caps anymore

Chicago got burned thinking the cap would jump to 100M quickly.

Toronto's window largely got crushed by the covid crunch...and they refused to pivot off the "big 4"

Matthews hasn't been a clutch playoff performer either.

There really isn't a lot of reason to go into unchartered waters of AAV on Matthews other than "he might walk" - okay so? We haven't won more than a single round with him, the wrist is questionable long term and is anyone gonna want to pony up 14M for Matthews? Columbus, Ohio? Enjoy Matthews. (No offense to the city of Columbus)
 
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MapleLeafs9

Registered User
Sep 22, 2011
7,740
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5.5m more than Hughes (yes yes RFA years)
5.5m more than Stutzle (yes yes RFA years)
4m more than Tkachuk
1m more than Mackinnon
2m more than Pasta


OH and 5 f***in years fewer!

He's not worth it.
Matthews is in the tier below McDavid and anyone claiming otherwise is just a leafs hater that wants to hate everything the leafs and their players do or accomplish.

Absolutely worth it.
 

AvroArrow

Registered User
Jun 10, 2011
18,928
20,176
Toronto
It’s Kypreos so a huge grain of salt should be taken here

If true that’s a disgusting contract and shows what his priorities are

I mean I disagree with a lot of Kyper's takes, but the guy is a solid insider with strong relationships with a lot of people. He's usually pretty accurate when it comes to reporting these kinds things.

I was really hoping Auston and the team learned from the last 5 years, and would've taken a more team friendly deal. Around 12.5M, max 13, but not totally surprised either.
 

DavidpauseReinbacher

Registered User
Sponsor
Sep 16, 2020
783
809
Blame the cap, not the player. Matthews is worth it anyway
This. Players should have been doing this for years. But this good ole boy league has forced and controlled how deals are given. Glad the new generation is tryin to modernize nhl. The fact that not all the gms speak to each other is hilarious and should never have been leaked. Makes this look like a shitty private business. And we see it in how rules that apply to one team dont to another. Player power was always coming ... took 2 decades longer than it should have.
 

TLEH

Pronounced T-Lay
Feb 28, 2015
21,368
18,252
Bomoseen, Vermont
Its rough time to sign a long term deal in general due to "large cap jumps expected". Hawks definitely got screwed at 10.5 on both Toews and Kane deals. Part of it was Toews game fell off a cliff, Kane was probably worth the dollars, but the cap never did go up to the numbers they thought it would. Hurt the team. Not as bad as the Seabrook deal, but still.
 

KlefDown

I adore Soli
May 2, 2014
10,102
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don't blame Matthews or the Leafs, blame the NHL

pro athletes are getting PAID in every corner of the world right now...except the poor NHL
 

jonlin

Registered User
Nov 11, 2011
6,050
5,882
I`m pretty sure every other team in the league is happy with this deal! If I would be a Leaf-fan, not so much...

This year Matthews and Hintz had identical stats /min played. Hintz is locked up at 8.5M until 2031. Matthews needs 13.5M shortterm and over 14M longterm. The greediest player in the league. Well, next cup in 2065 in Toronto?
 
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