Roy is also a tricky player to evaluate as he will likely be better off playing with better players and might even be more productive in the NHL than in the AHL.
Why?
I don't think calling him up after a spike in production is the wisest move but to keep him somewhere that he has outgrown is also a mistake.
Agree that a spike in play that, for all we know, could be based on a stretch of games against weaker opposition, is a bad indicator of when to call up a player, but it has been the way to go, promoting players on a good run. A spike, in production, followed by consistent play at that leveller a longer stretch is, arguably, the best time to call up a prospect, when confidence is up, for starters, and when the player has figured put a way to produce regularly.
When is the time where the player has outgrown his current environment and when does it become a risk for his development to keep him there?
Some players plateau at the AHL level, where they kill that league, and as soon as they take the step up to the NHL,lots of birds reheard chirping and prairie dust balls roll across the ice when they are there.
The step up always a turning point.Either it presents itself as a wall, or as slingshot onto better days.
