Based on the fact that is it will likely be increasingly irrelevant that they are athletes and their destiny will more likely linked to their citizenship and not their talent. What is happening in Ukraine has roots hundreds of years deep; with the collapse of the USSR, and the 60 plus years of Soviet/Russian & NATO resource/territorial/geographic jockeying, and the dividing lines on all fronts (media isolation, social media blocking, sanctions, industries cancelling or altering contracts and commitments, and sports blowback like ParaOlympics and Russian/Belarusian Athletes, F1 Russian Grand Prix and the Russian driver being turfed, CHL not drafting Russian or Belarusian players, etc). The move by Putin is one way street and it will have harden the lines on any and all dealings with NATO countries, political, business, economic, and also sports. I would not put it past the Russian regime to crystallize the viewpoint that athletes who wish to cross the pond are dancing with the perceived enemy. This invasion will be a move echoed in history; Ukraine's utility as nation for both NATO and Russia is so vast economically, tactically, and socially that it truly is now ground zero post-WW2 ideologies.
Putin's move to invade changes things, including what it looks like for Russian NHL prospects. My sense is those lines will also be hardened moving forward as the conflict will never go away. It has been amped up past diplomacy into a military invasion. So it will now be equal or worse politically and militarily. And as a lifelong student of history, Putin's signalling to the West via an invasion is one hundred percent cause for alarm. It is a pickle won't go back to being a cucumber. So this is why I am coming to believe that Chib and Rash will likely stay put.
God I want to be wrong on that.