Post-Game Talk: Jets 1 - Avs 0 Another F N Bagel

Jet

Chibby!
Jul 20, 2004
34,159
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Florida
Does anyone have any idea how that Avs unit does against other teams top lines? I'm kinda curious, but also kinda too lazy to dig too deep lol

At the end of the day, when can we say "they dominate us when they're on the ice because they're just better players?"

Avs top line > any line we can ice

BUT

Our depth up front > their depth up front
Helle > their goalies

So if they want to beat us, they need to hope that their top line domination holds and our depth doesn't contribute and Helle shits the bed. That's EXACTLY what happened in April

We won't beat that team by Schief beating Mack head to head
And that's exactly how we beat Edmonton. The difference is Col has more beef on their top line and are more aggressive
 

Gm0ney

Unicorns salient
Oct 12, 2011
14,938
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Winnipeg
Nothing unpopular about that, it's just reality

I've been wondering what our results will look like once everything comes back to earth. I think our SV% should stay in the upper 10% of the league, but not sure about the SH%. I think historically as a team, we've generally been one to be outshot and still win because we've been able to shoot at a higher percentage than our opponents (duh lol) - both because of Helle on one side of the equation, and we seem to score from high danger spots more often
It may come as a shock to some people when the Jets don't go 81-1-0...but it's still on the table!

The Jets are currently shooting 14.19% at all strengths. The best shooting teams over the past 5 years have averaged just under 12%. The Jets average over the past 5 seasons is just under 10%.

On the SV% side, the Jets are currently at .925. The top teams over the past 5 years have averaged .922, and the Jets 5 year average is .912.

So yeah, running hot on both SH% and SV% but not out of this world. The Jets goaldiff right now if we use their 5 year averages is 44-35 +9, 55.7 GF% (which would be 9th best in the NHL - but 3rd in the Central behind Minnesota and Dallas).
 
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Mortimer Snerd

You kids get off my lawn!
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Jun 10, 2014
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Saw a tweet about the only other team to get to 13 wins this quickly: the 2007 Ottawa Senators.

Don't look up how they finished.

Why not?
105 pts - OK, a little disappointing after that start but ...
Lost in SCF - not bad.

Edit: Wait, was that the 2007 Sens? Or the Sens in the fall of 2007?
 

Adam da bomb

Registered User
May 1, 2016
13,107
10,087
Also it was exactly one game.


I wonder if Arniel and staff will do more of that - potentially rotating different forwards through just to give pp2 a bit more oomph.

Outside of Perfetti there really isn't elite puckhandling/ moving on that second unit.
Nope just Connor to annoy the Ehlers fans who are upset KC gets all them minutes.
 

Gm0ney

Unicorns salient
Oct 12, 2011
14,938
14,460
Winnipeg
Does anyone have any idea how that Avs unit does against other teams top lines? I'm kinda curious, but also kinda too lazy to dig too deep lol

At the end of the day, when can we say "they dominate us when they're on the ice because they're just better players?"

Avs top line > any line we can ice

BUT

Our depth up front > their depth up front
Helle > their goalies

So if they want to beat us, they need to hope that their top line domination holds and our depth doesn't contribute and Helle shits the bed. That's EXACTLY what happened in April

We won't beat that team by Schief beating Mack head to head
MacK+Rantanen at 5v5
CF% 55.6, xGF% 60.06, GF 7-8 -1 46.67%

Avs without either on the ice:
CF% 53.91, xGF% 50.21, GF 10-21 -11 32.26%
 
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Buffdog

Registered User
Feb 13, 2019
8,267
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MacK+Rantanen at 5v5
CF% 55.6, xGF% 60.06, GF 7-8 -1 46.67%

Avs without either on the ice:
CF% 53.91, xGF% 50.21, GF 10-21 -11 32.26%
So basically, they ragdoll everyone

It may come as a shock to some people when the Jets don't go 81-1-0...but it's still on the table!

The Jets are currently shooting 14.19% at all strengths. The best shooting teams over the past 5 years have averaged just under 12%. The Jets average over the past 5 seasons is just under 10%.

On the SV% side, the Jets are currently at .925. The top teams over the past 5 years have averaged .922, and the Jets 5 year average is .912.

So yeah, running hot on both SH% and SV% but not out of this world. The Jets goaldiff right now if we use their 5 year averages is 44-35 +9, 55.7 GF% (which would be 9th best in the NHL - but 3rd in the Central behind Minnesota and Dallas).
3rd in the central is about where I expected this team
 

Mortimer Snerd

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Wait a sec

Our best player was the best player on the ice, and it won us the game

Since when do goalies not appear on the official roster? Why do we have to win a specific way for it to be a win that counts?

Avs WEREN'T a better team tonight, because the goaltender is part of the team

Yes ... BUT
We can't count on our goaltender to win a 7 game series like that. He could be really, really good and we lose 2-1.

As it happened last night their goalie also played his best game of the season or we might have scored more than 1. So there is that. But apart from the goaltending, that game looked too much like last year's PO series.
 

Mortimer Snerd

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Definitely a better turn out then last year. Especially in the beginning, just above 11k. Baby steps.

Yes, but concerning. Our 12-1 team going in against the team that humiliated them in last PO should be a sellout.

Valid point - sometimes you win because you had a great defensive game, sometimes it's your special teams, sometimes it's your offense - and sometimes it's good goaltending.
The interesting thing about this game was that it was a goaltending battle as much as it was a display of skilled skaters - and the shot count was close between these 2 - this was not as lopsided as it may have looked. I think when a team is winning a lot of games, you expect dominance - and that's not always how you win.

I think the shot count flattered the Jets. Once they got going the Avs were very dangerous whenever they had the puck in our end. Jets were dangerous occasionally but most often not.
 

voyageur

Hockey fanatic
Jul 10, 2011
10,352
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Also it was exactly one game.


I wonder if Arniel and staff will do more of that - potentially rotating different forwards through just to give pp2 a bit more oomph.

Outside of Perfetti there really isn't elite puckhandling/ moving on that second unit.
That was a nice setup by Nino to Namestnikov? at the end of the 1st that should have went in. Funny that it was Perfetti who sat for Connor if I am not mistaken. The 2nd PP has to have close to the same scoring % as the 1st unit after 14 games, based on ice time. They work the puck down low better than the 1st unit, which works the puck up high more, from my p.o.v.
 

RabidOne

Drinking all the beers
Apr 15, 2014
1,356
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Kelowna
I've been watching hockey a long ass time and no team I've ever cheered for has gone on a run like this. Mother of God
Only thing that comes close I can think of is 1984 when they finished the season with 10 wins and 3 ties.

Wow I’ve never seen so much negativity about a win. This is the best start to a season IN NHL HISTORY!!

You know the Jets will lose some games this year right?
You wash your mouth out with that filthy talk.
 
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