Post-Game Talk: ITS OVER- Did we make a huge mistake on Pierre-Luc Dubois Thread?

“Would you rather that the Habs trade for Dubois or instead wait and try to sign him when he becomes


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26Mats

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Suzuki-Dach-Dubois down the middle.

With all due respect, that makes no sense, Mats.

Dubois is the new, highly paid arrival and you play him as a third line C. I know you are giving he and Dach double shifts with fourth liners, but, seriously?

You are just setting it up so that Dubois won't live up to his contract, even if he plays on the 1st PP wave with Suzuki and Dach.

If you're not going to play him as a C in the top-6, at least play him and a power winger there, double shifting him at C on the third line.

You could double shift Dach on the fourth line, with him entering the 2nd line.

Caufield - Suzuki - Heineman
Dubois - Dach - Anderson
Slafkovsky - Dubois - RHP
Armia - Dach - Gallagher (Stuck with Armia and Gallagher)

Ylonen, Hoffman, Pizza-Man, Pitlick (lots of folks in the stands - half these guys)

Matheson - Savard
Guhle - Barron
Xhekaj - Harris
Kovacevic
I wouldn't double shift Dubois with fourth liners.

But yes, it may be better for him to play as a top 6 winger.

I'd like all of the following wingers to get a good offensive center. But maybe it isn't possible:
Caufield - Slaf
RHP - Anderson
Heineman - Gurianov

Maybe Gurianov isn't back anyways and Heineman is in the AHL...
 

Runner77

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Trade Xhekaj or Mailloux to get PLD and you will have a sh*t storm. Trade Kidney and no one will care (even if it might be a worse mistake down the road).
A shitstorm doesn’t begin to address it. Trade Jackeye and Hughes it’s going to get backlash 10X worse than when Bergevin traded Subban. Perish the thought.
 
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Scriptor

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I wouldn't double shift Dubois with fourth liners.

But yes, it may be better for him to play as a top 6 winger.

I'd like all of the following wingers to get a good offensive center. But maybe it isn't possible:
Caufield - Slaf
RHP - Anderson
Heineman - Gurianov

Maybe Gurianov isn't back anyways and Heineman is in the AHL...
We'll have a better idea who sticks around and who makes the NHL roster out of camp in preseason, for sure, even if I would like most younger players, outside of Heineman, to play together in Laval.

The lottery will have a lot to do with who plays 3rd line C and Beck's progress may have a say in what happens, anyhow. His former Junior coach (and owner) both were confident that Beck wouldn't be in Juniors next year and, rather, playing in the NHL -- That's why he was traded!

If Beck is traded for Dubois, we might have a 2023 draft pick high enough and ready enough to make it straight to the NHL in a 3rd line role, somewhat sheltered from the more difficult matchups against the opponents' best (at least for home games) and used in more of an offensive exploitation role.

Can that be Farrell or Carlsson with a lottery win (assuming we don't win the Bedard lottery), or Dvorsky with a latter pick?
 

ZUKI

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Imagine being 27th in the league and saying there's no room for a player like PLD :laugh:
No need for a player that would be our best centre at this time . I don't know if Suzuki and/or Dach are going to be better than Dubois, but right now he's better than both them
 
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WG

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People are discussing about PLDs salary demands assuming he might ask for 8@8M.
Related to that, my question is:
What is his commercial potential in Montreal? I assume he would be the main man (fans favorite), so he should definitely attract some additional commercial revenue, right? Are there any examples of Habs players making money from advertisement?
I don't think there's that much money in it for NHLers. I recall reading an article a few years back and there were very few players topping 1M in endorsements. This isn't Peyton Manning or top NBA stars who can more in endorsements than they make in salary. This Forbes article from 2021 shows the very elite guys (Sid, Ovi, McD) making a few million but still not as much as their salaries, and other really good players like Panarin, Karlsson, and Vasilevskiy are below 1M in commercial stuff.


In Montreal's business climate, hard to imagine PLD would get so much in endorsements, it likely will be a fraction of his contract. Now, if his goal is to see his face on every other billboard in the city, that's another matter. He might get paid in yearly supplies of Saputo cheese but he would certainly get the attention if that's what he wants.
 
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VirginiaMtlExpat

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Suzuki-Dach-Dubois down the middle.

With all due respect, that makes no sense, Mats.

Dubois is the new, highly paid arrival and you play him as a third line C. I know you are giving he and Dach double shifts with fourth liners, but, seriously?

You are just setting it up so that Dubois won't live up to his contract, even if he plays on the 1st PP wave with Suzuki and Dach.

If you're not going to play him as a C in the top-6, at least play him and a power winger there, double shifting him at C on the third line.

You could double shift Dach on the fourth line, with him entering the 2nd line.

Caufield - Suzuki - Heineman
Dubois - Dach - Anderson
Slafkovsky - Dubois - RHP
Armia - Dach - Gallagher (Stuck with Armia and Gallagher)

Ylonen, Hoffman, Pizza-Man, Pitlick (lots of folks in the stands - half these guys)

Matheson - Savard
Guhle - Barron
Xhekaj - Harris
Kovacevic
I would have a frank discussion with him about rolling a top-9 prior to signing him. He either buys in or he doesn't. He wants to win or he doesn't. If he doesn't buy in and insists on special treatment over Suzuki and Dach, he may not be a good fit. If I were MSL, I would roll a top-9 like that and then give all 3 Cs plenty of PP action. This is what creates matchup problems for other teams, not stacking the first two lines. Especially in a few years when we have 4-5 offensively minded defensemen who can release these forwards effectively. We'd have plenty of serviceable wingers, but only 3 good-to-elite (in-the-making) Cs.
 
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ZUKI

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A shitstorm doesn’t begin to address it. Trade Jackeye and Hughes is going to get backlash 10X worse than when Bergevin traded Subban. Perish the thought.
Runny, you are not close to the reality with this affirmation; For one, Subban was a Norris winer, a fans favorite player of an average team . And he was traded for a legendary player, so that we were a lot that were absolutly happy with this trade. Jackeye is a smiling, funny player that will fight anyone, and that can put points here and there. With all the players that are closed to join the team, he won't probably played top 4 . So if he's traded in a pack for Dubois, a big player that would be our top center, that is a local guy and that wishes to play here, i don't see any drama about this hypothetical trade.
 
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26Mats

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We'll have a better idea who sticks around and who makes the NHL roster out of camp in preseason, for sure, even if I would like most younger players, outside of Heineman, to play together in Laval.

The lottery will have a lot to do with who plays 3rd line C and Beck's progress may have a say in what happens, anyhow. His former Junior coach (and owner) both were confident that Beck wouldn't be in Juniors next year and, rather, playing in the NHL -- That's why he was traded!

If Beck is traded for Dubois, we might have a 2023 draft pick high enough and ready enough to make it straight to the NHL in a 3rd line role, somewhat sheltered from the more difficult matchups against the opponents' best (at least for home games) and used in more of an offensive exploitation role.

Can that be Farrell or Carlsson with a lottery win (assuming we don't win the Bedard lottery), or Dvorsky with a latter pick?

True. It will be interesting to have this discussion in September after we see the summer moves.

One of my wishes is that we have a better offensive 3c than Dvo. And I'm not a Dvo hater. I actually think he could be a good top 9 winger. I just don't like him as a 3c. We'll see if my wish comes to fruition...
 
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Scriptor

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No need for a player that would be our best centre at this time . I don't know if Suzuki and/or Dach are going to be better than Dubois, but right now he's better than both them
I wouldn't say Dubois is currently better than Suzuki, but he brings something different and as or more valuable in the type of profile he has as a hockey player.

He's currently better than Dach, but there his much upside left in Dach's game and he could even become better than Dubois.

I don't think it is a competition because having all three just makes us that much better.
 

RationalExpectations

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No need for a player that would be our best centre at this time . I don't know if Suzuki and/or Dach are going to be better than Dubois, but right now he's better than both them
I am not sure Dubois is better than Suzuki right now, both are producing around 60 points, Dubois is 1 year older, has been playing with better players. Suzuki has the better shot, defensively I d say they are similar…
 

ReHabs

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Matias Brunet not high on PLD today; writing people should temper their enthusiasm for the 69th scorer in the league… He’s not wrong, kid will have a lot of people staring at him expecting production!
The team that has the 77th best scorer in the league and after that the 188th best scorer in the league of 32 teams should not want to add a superior scorer?

Better not add talent to the team, it might get in the way of sucking!
 

nhlfan9191

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The team that has the 77th best scorer in the league and after that the 188th best scorer in the league of 32 teams should not want to add a superior scorer?

Better not add talent to the team, it might get in the way of sucking!
He’s 69th in scoring and could be looking to be paid like he’s a top 30 player in the league. That’s the issue a lot of fans are having right now.
 

ReHabs

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He’s 69th in scoring and could be looking to be paid like he’s a top 30 player in the league. That’s the issue a lot of fans are having right now.
I don't think it is. For one, a big chunk of commentators think we should pick him up as a free agent to save on the trade cost. It automatically implies they approve of paying him what he wants.... and competing with, and defeating, other offers he will surely receive. He's a 6'4" power forward who's only 25 -- every team in the NHL covets him. Detroit can back up a truck full of cash for him.

Secondly, the cap is going up big time -- as of writing an 8m cap hit is precisely 50th in the league and a 7.5m cap hit is 69th in the league. 8m, give or take, not far from his real value and cap hits will grow very fast in no time.

If you want him we'll have to pay him what he's worth.

If you don't want him then that's another story and something that you should explain because to me it seems some people just don't want to improve the roster at all because they're uneasy with the pressure of competing. It doesn't make sense to poo-poo PLD while not having a single (1) player as productive as PLD on the roster and not a single prospect who is even 80% likely to become a 70pt player in the NHL. As for our current NHL players, if Suzuki's pts are deflated due to his linemates and PLD's are inflated due to his, they're still more or less equal in productivity. Competitive teams have at least four capable productive forwards. We have Caufield and Suzuki and no one else.

Meanwhile Boston has a superstar, Toronto has four PPG fowards, Buffalo has a big time star forward, Ottawa has multiple highly productive forwards, Tampa has a handful of stars and superstars, Florida has a superstar, NYR has a big time star, Carolina has a handful of productive forwards, NJD has an upcoming superstar, etc.

Are we meant to always be an offensively starved franchise? Seems like some fans prefer it
 
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nhlfan9191

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I don't think it is. For one, a big chunk of commentators think we should pick him up as a free agent to save on the trade cost. It automatically implies they approve of paying him what he wants.... and competing with, and defeating, other offers he will surely receive. He's a 6'4" power forward who's only 25 -- every team in the NHL covets him. Detroit can back up a truck full of cash for him.

Secondly, the cap is going up big time -- as of writing an 8m cap hit is precisely 50th in the league and a 7.5m cap hit is 69th in the league. 8m, give or take, not far from his real value and cap hits will grow very fast in no time.

If you want him we'll have to pay him what he's worth.

If you don't want him then that's another story and something that you should explain because to me it seems some people just don't want to improve the roster at all because they're uneasy with the pressure of competing. It doesn't make sense to poo-poo PLD while not having a single (1) player as productive as PLD on the roster and not a single prospect who is even 80% likely to become a 70pt player in the NHL. As for our current NHL players, if Suzuki's pts are deflated due to his linemates and PLD's are inflated due to his, they're still more or less equal in productivity. Competitive teams have at least four capable productive forwards. We have Caufield and Suzuki and no one else.

Meanwhile Boston has a superstar, Toronto has four PPG fowards, Buffalo has a big time star forward, Ottawa has multiple highly productive forwards, Tampa has a handful of stars and superstars, Florida has a superstar, NYR has a big time star, Carolina has a handful of productive forwards, NJD has an upcoming superstar, etc.

Are we meant to always be an offensively starved franchise? Seems like some fans prefer it
I think he’s a snowflake. And I don’t think he’s worth the price of admission at 8+ million. I also think there’s a large part of our fanbase that are overrating the ever living crap out of him and will be disappointed when they see what he really is. I keep hearing how we’ve been offensively starved like we haven’t had 60 point players in the last 20-30 years. Then I get tossed over to he’s a “big power forward” which seems to be the same trap the same fans fall into over and over and over again. And I don’t get why you’re bringing up the star players within the division. They’re a clear step up on this guy. Dubois isn’t going to be the difference in making us competitive against teams that have players like that.
 
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ReHabs

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I think he’s a snowflake. And I don’t think he’s worth the price of admission at 8+ million. I also think there’s a large part of our fanbase that are overrating the ever living crap out of him and will be disappointed when they see what he really is. I keep hearing how we’ve been offensively starved like we haven’t had 60 point players in the last 20-30 years. Then I get tossed over to he’s a “big power forward” which seems to be the same trap the same fans fall into over and over and over again. And I don’t get why you’re bringing up the star players within the division. They’re a clear step up on this guy. Dubois isn’t going to be the difference in making us competitive against teams that have players like that.
PLD has 60pts in 69gp, that's 0.87ppg or a 71 pt pace.

Can you name five players who hit 70pts with the Habs in the last twenty years? Nope - because there's only been Kovalev (once), Koivu (twice), Max Domi (once), and Plekanec (twice).

How many players hit 0.87ppg(min GP 10) in the last twenty years? Only six in twenty years. Some teams have three PPG players in a season and we have only six in twenty years. The six are: Kovalev (twice), Koivu (twice), Pacioretty (once), Tatar (once), Subban (once), and Domi (once). The most recent was Tatar in 2019-2020.

Gimme a break with this. We're an offensively starved franchise and have maybe one player who could regularly hit 70 pts, his name is Cole Caufield and I think he's electric but he's so much of a shrimp teams passed on him in the draft despite his abundant talent and record-setting career.

Since all these other teams have better players, it goes to show how necessary it is to add good players to the Habs to even try to keep up. Unless you're one of those who think erratic results and not being competitive is an acceptable and permanent state for a team.

It's meaningless to say that one player won't close the gap so we shouldn't improve the roster. Never heard of depth?

I think there's a large chunk of this fanbase who think huddling around the thought of magic beans is more fun than watching good hockey players compete to win meaningful games.
 
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Guy Larose

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No need for a player that would be our best centre at this time . I don't know if Suzuki and/or Dach are going to be better than Dubois, but right now he's better than both them
No need for Bedard then either...PLD is 24 and the same age as our core.
 

nhlfan9191

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PLD has 60pts in 69gp, that's 0.87ppg or a 71 pt pace.

Can you name five players who hit 70pts with the Habs in the last twenty years? Nope - because there's only been Kovalev (once), Koivu (twice), Max Domi (once), and Plekanec (twice).

How many players hit 0.87ppg(min GP 10) in the last twenty years? Only six in twenty years. Some teams have three PPG players in a season and we have only six in twenty years. The six are: Kovalev (twice), Koivu (twice), Pacioretty (once), Tatar (once), Subban (once), and Domi (once). The most recent was Tatar in 2019-2020.

Gimme a break with this. We're an offensively starved franchise and have maybe one player who could regularly hit 70 pts, his name is Cole Caufield and I think he's electric but he's so much of a shrimp teams passed on him in the draft despite his abundant talent and record-setting career.

Since all these other teams have better players, it goes to show how necessary it is to add good players to the Habs to even try to keep up. Unless you're one of those who think erratic results and not being competitive is an acceptable and permanent state for a team.

It's meaningless to say that one player won't close the gap so we shouldn't improve the roster. Never heard of depth?

I think there's a large chunk of this fanbase who think huddling around the thought of magic beans is more fun than watching good hockey players compete to win meaningful games.
How do you expect us to compete even if we get Dubois? We have no forward depth even if we add him, our defence is putrid and going to take years to rebuild properly and we don’t have any goaltenders either. You make it sound like we have a choice whether or not we can be competitive and play meaningful games right now. We don’t. We’re bulldozing a mess that Bergevin made and it’s going to take years to fix. I’d like to think when this team is ready to compete, we’ll have more cost effective forwards that can produce 60-70 points. Those shouldn’t be hard to find if we draft right. We’re already two years into this. We may as well see it out properly. You’re getting way to anxious about competing and that’s the same mistake every single GM has made the last 20+ years here.
 

Egresch

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If you don't want him then that's another story and something that you should explain because to me it seems some people just don't want to improve the roster at all because they're uneasy with the pressure of competing.
I do not get it as well. For most of Habs fans, Suzuki is almost untradeable, but if we have a chance to get a guy who is similar age, quality and terms to Nick, we should not trade for him :)
 

ReHabs

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How do you expect us to compete even if we get Dubois? We have no forward depth even if we add him, our defence is putrid and going to take years to rebuild properly and we don’t have any goaltenders either. You make it sound like we have a choice whether or not we can be competitive and play meaningful games right now. We don’t. We’re bulldozing a mess that Bergevin made and it’s going to take years to fix. I’d like to think when this team is ready to compete, we’ll have more cost effective forwards that can produce 60-70 points. Those shouldn’t be hard to find if we draft right. We’re already two years into this. We may as well see it out properly. You’re getting way to anxious about competing and that’s the same mistake every single GM has made the last 20+ years here.
It's got nothing to do with rushing the rebuild. Your arguments are all over the place and it's not possible to respond to all of the moving targets.

You think the Habs shouldn't add good players but that good players will somehow sprout out of the the ground. This is what Bergevin thought would happen -- that's why he held onto his 1st round picks with an icy grip and never went out to acquire talent. How did it turn out? How many 70 point players have the Habs developed in the last twenty years? How many 70 point players do the Habs have in their pipeline - 1, 2, or more? Take a guess.

"These shouldn't be hard to find if we draft right"

Are you kidding me? Are you kidding yourself? LOL
 

Rapala

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PLD has demonstrated a durability most of our forward group lack. That is something that cannot and should not be over-looked.
Watching him play I've never considered him to be a "Power Forward" but rather a forward with some power. If we can fit him in to our top 6 or even top 9 as @VirginiaMtlExpat suggested and if he's willing to play a wing when called upon I don't think I have a problem with term. The cost of getting him in a trade or his AAV demands are the make or break for me.
 

Habs Halifax

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There are always prospects and young players left over from the previous regime when a new general manager takes over , it's the same for every team , it isn't indicative of the first 3-4 years of a rebuild in progress . Bergevin built the team that made it to the cup finals in 2021 and was fired early the following season after a terrible start . Full stop . The players you mention are proof that he participated in drafts , made trades and contributed to the day to day running of the organization , again not indicative of the first 3-4 years of a rebuild in progress . Does he get credit for the acquisitions (not Dach) ? Of course he does but those acquisitions were made to stock/restock the farm , not to begin a rebuild , that started when GMKH was hired in Jan./22 .​

Sure, but the main point remains regardless of Bergevin/Timmins dislike. The rebuild started before Gorton/Hughes were hired.
 

nhlfan9191

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It's got nothing to do with rushing the rebuild. Your arguments are all over the place and it's not possible to respond to all of the moving targets.

You think the Habs shouldn't add good players but that good players will somehow sprout out of the the ground. This is what Bergevin thought would happen -- that's why he held onto his 1st round picks with an icy grip and never went out to acquire talent. How did it turn out? How many 70 point players have the Habs developed in the last twenty years? How many 70 point players do the Habs have in their pipeline - 1, 2, or more? Take a guess.

"These shouldn't be hard to find if we draft right"

Are you kidding me? Are you kidding yourself? LOL
I didn’t say we shouldn’t add good players, my entire point is not paying players that are just good money they aren’t worth. If we can get Dubois at Suzuki money, I would do it. Once you start going higher, it’s just poor asset management. We aren’t competing for a cup with players like Dubois as one of the main pieces of our core.

Cap flexibility is important during a rebuild. We’ve already been spending to the cap for this dumpster fire the past two years. It will be nice if HuGo could finally have a little bit of flexibility to work with. Teams should be able to insert 60-70 point players threw the draft. The reason we’ve had so few in years is because we were so piss poor at drafting and developing. That’s no reason to lower expectations and settle for less.
 
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nhlfan9191

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Sure, but the main point remains regardless of Bergevin/Timmins dislike. The rebuild started before Gorton/Hughes were hired.
This is false. Rebuilding teams aren’t trading away first round picks for Christian Dvorak or going out of their way to acquire players like Josh Anderson. Weber, Price (if anybody was willing to take the contract), Gallagher, Danault, Tatar, Petry, etc all would’ve been sold. Former management was not rebuilding in the slightest, they were simply too incompetent to build a good team. They left the core untouched.
 

Rapala

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Sure, but the main point remains regardless of Bergevin/Timmins dislike. The rebuild started before Gorton/Hughes were hired.
The rebuild can't be attributed to Bergevin. He had some picks because he ran us into a 24th place team and all this while trying to WIN. He should have been fired long before covid hit and the TRUE rebuild could have started much earlier. It's pretense to say it wasn't called for because it was very vociferously. I give Bergevin all the credit he deserves which is NONE.
 
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