Stepan wasn’t an elite #1 but he also never got caved in as badly as Zibanejad has against other top centers. Zibanejad’s best xGF% in the playoffs over the last 3 years against #1 centers is 65% vs Jack Hughes. The other 4, Barkov, Cirelli, Aho, and Crosby he’s 33% or worse vs all of them. That is f***ing pitiful. Hard to win when your #1 guy is playing like a junior level player against the other teams top guy. Keep in mind Tampa didn’t have Point that series.
Looking at our teams who have gotten to the ECF or SCF since 2012, here are the playoff 5v5 xGoals For stats by our #1 centers. Note, these stats are for the entire playoffs and likely got worse once we got later into playoffs/eliminated...
2012 - Derek Stepan (55.2%) and Brad Richards (46.7%)
2014 - Derek Stepan (50.5%)
2015 - Derek Stepan (43.9%)
2022 - Mika Zibanejad (32%)
2024 - Mika Zibanejad (38%)
I'd imagine Cup winning centers look considerably better than this.