How much rope does DJ Smith have? [UPDATE: None]

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More this morning than yesterday
1699535047772.gif
 
More statistical food for thought;

Below is eastern conference teams ranked using hockey References Simple rating system, somehow... we rank 3rd. The ranking apparently takes into account average goal differential and strength of schedule. What it doesn't take into account from what I can tell is injuries.

Not buying it, but it does fly against the narrative, lol... For what it's worth, it is really highly correlated to goal differential, so think of it like that, adjusted slightly using their own SOS stat, which seems to be another goal differential based metric,


GPWLOLPTSPTS%GFGASRS
SOSRPt%RWRgRecRgPt%
Boston Bruins12101121.87539231.350.02.79288-1-3.792
New York Rangers1292119.79239270.87-0.13.79277-2-3.708
Ottawa Senators1156010.45544380.620.08.45555-6-0.455
Detroit Red Wings1375115.57748420.580.12.53866-5-2.538
Pittsburgh Penguins1156010.45538310.38-0.26.45555-6-0.455
Tampa Bay Lightning1363416.61550450.17-0.22.46266-3-4.615
Buffalo Sabres1366113.5004141-0.09-0.09.46255-6-2.462
Philadelphia Flyers1357111.4233841-0.130.10.38555-7-1.423
Toronto Maple Leafs1365214.5384548-0.190.04.46233-5-5.423
New Jersey Devils1274115.6254645-0.19-0.28.62566-4-2.583
Carolina Hurricanes1385016.6154544-0.20-0.28.57744-5-4.462
New York Islanders1153313.5912931-0.27-0.09.45555-3-3.591
Florida Panthers1274115.6253535-0.31-0.31.58355-4-3.542
Columbus Blue Jackets1245311.4583239-0.73-0.15.33333-5-4.417
Montreal Canadiens1255212.5003644-0.79-0.12.45822-5-5.375
Washington Capitals1154212.5452434-1.50-0.59.36433-4-4.455
 
More statistical food for thought;

Below is eastern conference teams ranked using hockey References Simple rating system, somehow... we rank 3rd. The ranking apparently takes into account average goal differential and strength of schedule. What it doesn't take into account from what I can tell is injuries.

Not buying it, but it does fly against the narrative, lol... For what it's worth, it is really highly correlated to goal differential, so think of it like that, adjusted slightly using their own SOS stat, which seems to be another goal differential based metric,


[TABLE=collapse]
[TR]
[TH][/TH]

[TH]GP[/TH]
[TH]W[/TH]
[TH]L[/TH]
[TH]OL[/TH]
[TH]PTS[/TH]
[TH]PTS%[/TH]
[TH]GF[/TH]
[TH]GA[/TH]
[TH]SRS
▼[/TH]
[TH]SOS[/TH]
[TH]RPt%[/TH]
[TH]RW[/TH]
[TH]RgRec[/TH]
[TH]RgPt%[/TH]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TH]Boston Bruins[/TH]
[TD]12[/TD]
[TD]10[/TD]
[TD]1[/TD]
[TD]1[/TD]
[TD]21[/TD]
[TD].875[/TD]
[TD]39[/TD]
[TD]23[/TD]
[TD]1.35[/TD]
[TD]0.02[/TD]
[TD].792[/TD]
[TD]8[/TD]
[TD]8-1-3[/TD]
[TD].792[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TH]New York Rangers[/TH]
[TD]12[/TD]
[TD]9[/TD]
[TD]2[/TD]
[TD]1[/TD]
[TD]19[/TD]
[TD].792[/TD]
[TD]39[/TD]
[TD]27[/TD]
[TD]0.87[/TD]
[TD]-0.13[/TD]
[TD].792[/TD]
[TD]7[/TD]
[TD]7-2-3[/TD]
[TD].708[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TH]Ottawa Senators[/TH]
[TD]11[/TD]
[TD]5[/TD]
[TD]6[/TD]
[TD]0[/TD]
[TD]10[/TD]
[TD].455[/TD]
[TD]44[/TD]
[TD]38[/TD]
[TD]0.62[/TD]
[TD]0.08[/TD]
[TD].455[/TD]
[TD]5[/TD]
[TD]5-6-0[/TD]
[TD].455[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TH]Detroit Red Wings[/TH]
[TD]13[/TD]
[TD]7[/TD]
[TD]5[/TD]
[TD]1[/TD]
[TD]15[/TD]
[TD].577[/TD]
[TD]48[/TD]
[TD]42[/TD]
[TD]0.58[/TD]
[TD]0.12[/TD]
[TD].538[/TD]
[TD]6[/TD]
[TD]6-5-2[/TD]
[TD].538[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TH]Pittsburgh Penguins[/TH]
[TD]11[/TD]
[TD]5[/TD]
[TD]6[/TD]
[TD]0[/TD]
[TD]10[/TD]
[TD].455[/TD]
[TD]38[/TD]
[TD]31[/TD]
[TD]0.38[/TD]
[TD]-0.26[/TD]
[TD].455[/TD]
[TD]5[/TD]
[TD]5-6-0[/TD]
[TD].455[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TH]Tampa Bay Lightning[/TH]
[TD]13[/TD]
[TD]6[/TD]
[TD]3[/TD]
[TD]4[/TD]
[TD]16[/TD]
[TD].615[/TD]
[TD]50[/TD]
[TD]45[/TD]
[TD]0.17[/TD]
[TD]-0.22[/TD]
[TD].462[/TD]
[TD]6[/TD]
[TD]6-3-4[/TD]
[TD].615[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TH]Buffalo Sabres[/TH]
[TD]13[/TD]
[TD]6[/TD]
[TD]6[/TD]
[TD]1[/TD]
[TD]13[/TD]
[TD].500[/TD]
[TD]41[/TD]
[TD]41[/TD]
[TD]-0.09[/TD]
[TD]-0.09[/TD]
[TD].462[/TD]
[TD]5[/TD]
[TD]5-6-2[/TD]
[TD].462[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TH]Philadelphia Flyers[/TH]
[TD]13[/TD]
[TD]5[/TD]
[TD]7[/TD]
[TD]1[/TD]
[TD]11[/TD]
[TD].423[/TD]
[TD]38[/TD]
[TD]41[/TD]
[TD]-0.13[/TD]
[TD]0.10[/TD]
[TD].385[/TD]
[TD]5[/TD]
[TD]5-7-1[/TD]
[TD].423[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TH]Toronto Maple Leafs[/TH]
[TD]13[/TD]
[TD]6[/TD]
[TD]5[/TD]
[TD]2[/TD]
[TD]14[/TD]
[TD].538[/TD]
[TD]45[/TD]
[TD]48[/TD]
[TD]-0.19[/TD]
[TD]0.04[/TD]
[TD].462[/TD]
[TD]3[/TD]
[TD]3-5-5[/TD]
[TD].423[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TH]New Jersey Devils[/TH]
[TD]12[/TD]
[TD]7[/TD]
[TD]4[/TD]
[TD]1[/TD]
[TD]15[/TD]
[TD].625[/TD]
[TD]46[/TD]
[TD]45[/TD]
[TD]-0.19[/TD]
[TD]-0.28[/TD]
[TD].625[/TD]
[TD]6[/TD]
[TD]6-4-2[/TD]
[TD].583[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TH]Carolina Hurricanes[/TH]
[TD]13[/TD]
[TD]8[/TD]
[TD]5[/TD]
[TD]0[/TD]
[TD]16[/TD]
[TD].615[/TD]
[TD]45[/TD]
[TD]44[/TD]
[TD]-0.20[/TD]
[TD]-0.28[/TD]
[TD].577[/TD]
[TD]4[/TD]
[TD]4-5-4[/TD]
[TD].462[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TH]New York Islanders[/TH]
[TD]11[/TD]
[TD]5[/TD]
[TD]3[/TD]
[TD]3[/TD]
[TD]13[/TD]
[TD].591[/TD]
[TD]29[/TD]
[TD]31[/TD]
[TD]-0.27[/TD]
[TD]-0.09[/TD]
[TD].455[/TD]
[TD]5[/TD]
[TD]5-3-3[/TD]
[TD].591[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TH]Florida Panthers[/TH]
[TD]12[/TD]
[TD]7[/TD]
[TD]4[/TD]
[TD]1[/TD]
[TD]15[/TD]
[TD].625[/TD]
[TD]35[/TD]
[TD]35[/TD]
[TD]-0.31[/TD]
[TD]-0.31[/TD]
[TD].583[/TD]
[TD]5[/TD]
[TD]5-4-3[/TD]
[TD].542[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TH]Columbus Blue Jackets[/TH]
[TD]12[/TD]
[TD]4[/TD]
[TD]5[/TD]
[TD]3[/TD]
[TD]11[/TD]
[TD].458[/TD]
[TD]32[/TD]
[TD]39[/TD]
[TD]-0.73[/TD]
[TD]-0.15[/TD]
[TD].333[/TD]
[TD]3[/TD]
[TD]3-5-4[/TD]
[TD].417[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TH]Montreal Canadiens[/TH]
[TD]12[/TD]
[TD]5[/TD]
[TD]5[/TD]
[TD]2[/TD]
[TD]12[/TD]
[TD].500[/TD]
[TD]36[/TD]
[TD]44[/TD]
[TD]-0.79[/TD]
[TD]-0.12[/TD]
[TD].458[/TD]
[TD]2[/TD]
[TD]2-5-5[/TD]
[TD].375[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TH]Washington Capitals[/TH]
[TD]11[/TD]
[TD]5[/TD]
[TD]4[/TD]
[TD]2[/TD]
[TD]12[/TD]
[TD].545[/TD]
[TD]24[/TD]
[TD]34[/TD]
[TD]-1.50[/TD]
[TD]-0.59[/TD]
[TD].364[/TD]
[TD]3[/TD]
[TD]3-4-4[/TD]
[TD].455[/TD]
[/TR]
[/TABLE]
A cursory look at our schedule shows 10 of 11 games have been against teams with playoff aspirations. Philadelphia being the only standout

Boston by comparison has played 5 of 12 against teams without aspirations and that doesn't include Nashville
 
I thought the team showed a lot of resilience last night. The lack of D is so grossly obvious, it's hard to ignore. They basically have a 3rd pair they can barely play, and the other two pairings are hurt by JBD and Hamonic playing too many minutes.

Another must win tonight, but if they can string a few together and get bodies back, who knows where it goes. They looked like a team with some confidence last night for the first time in a little while.
 
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A cursory look at our schedule shows 10 of 11 games have been against teams with playoff aspirations. Philadelphia being the only standout

Boston by comparison has played 5 of 12 against teams without aspirations and that doesn't include Nashville
So, as an aside, I noticed one extremely powerful predictor of whether a team will have a really low Strength of Schedule score or not in that list is whether or not you've played SJ this year...
 
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Of course they like him. Nothing happens to the players whenever they make mistakes. They can do whatever they want with no consequences. I would like a boss like that too, but that doesn't mean that is a good thing in a business like the NHL.

The team needs to bite the bullet and make a change.
The old substitute teacher dynamic. DJ is the substitute teacher who walks into the class with Bill Nye The Science Guy while fist bumping all the kids that play hockey.
 
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