How many points to make the playoffs: 2015-16 edition
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lumbergh
It was an idea. I didn't say it was a good idea.
According to Club Sports Stats, the Kings have a 99.1% chance of making the playoffs as of today.
tsanuri
Registered User
That should change but who knows. It's because the 3rd place team in the Pac is only projected to 79 points right now based off points percentage. So they only need 43 points over the next 55 games to make it.
I suspect the cutoff will go lower this year because the Pac isn't playing well. But I don't expect it to stay at 79 points either. But under 90 is still likely this year. Which is just crazy since 95 didn't make it last year.
As of 3pm PDT on December 12:
At this moment, the Coyotes project to 4th in the Pacific with 82 points, making 83 the "safe" target for 3rd and the automatic playoff spot. (The two wildcard spots project out at about 98 points, both in the Central)
To achieve 83 points, the Kings would need 44 points in their remaining 54 games, or a record of 21-31-2 (a percentage of .407).
At this moment, the Coyotes project to 4th in the Pacific with 82 points, making 83 the "safe" target for 3rd and the automatic playoff spot. (The two wildcard spots project out at about 98 points, both in the Central)
To achieve 83 points, the Kings would need 44 points in their remaining 54 games, or a record of 21-31-2 (a percentage of .407).
Raccoon Jesus
We were right there
I have to imagine it'll end closer to 90 points. At least a couple of these teams have to catch fire at one point. Have to lol that we've done well enough and the division has been terrible enough that a.407 would get us there at his point 
We're on a 113-point pace right now, which would be by far the best in Kings history.
We're on a 113-point pace right now, which would be by far the best in Kings history.
Raccoon Jesus
We were right there
I would absolutely melt down in my living room if someone made it with 79 points after what happened to us last year
As of 11am PDT on 12/19/15:
The Coyotes project to fourth in the Pacific at 79 points, making 80 the target to remain in the automatic top three position. To get to that level, the Kings need 38 points in their remaining 51 games -- a record of 18-31-2 (a percentage of .373).
The Coyotes project to fourth in the Pacific at 79 points, making 80 the target to remain in the automatic top three position. To get to that level, the Kings need 38 points in their remaining 51 games -- a record of 18-31-2 (a percentage of .373).
Raccoon Jesus
We were right there
Like others, I don't anticipate that the season-end cutoff for top three in the Pacific will end up actually being in the 80-point range... but the current projections are pretty funny, I agree!
damacles1156
Registered User
- Feb 5, 2010
- 21,668
- 1,318
Calgary will be the third place team, and they will hit 90 points on the dot.
Kings
Sharks
Flames
Kings
Sharks
Flames
As of 4pm PDT on 1/1/16:
Anaheim projects into 4th in the Pacific on a pace for 82 points, making the Kings' playoff target 83 points. To achieve that, they need 33 points in their remaining 45 games - a percentage of .367, or a record of 15-27-3.
Anaheim projects into 4th in the Pacific on a pace for 82 points, making the Kings' playoff target 83 points. To achieve that, they need 33 points in their remaining 45 games - a percentage of .367, or a record of 15-27-3.
Winger23
Registered User
- May 3, 2007
- 5,759
- 623
This is simply amazing. Hopefully sutter will be able to rest players later in the year to go into the playoffs really fresh for a change.
No they won't. If you are counting out Anaheim, then you really don't understand the dynamics of this division.
You can snapshot any part of the season and say Anaheim isn't going to make it, but if you look at their trend they are 14-8-4 since starting out 1-7-2 and it is clear to me as day that they are making a run for the top spot in the division. That is the only team, in my opinion, that the Kings have to fear trying to take over 1st place. Anaheim most definitely make the playoffs and I feel they will end up in second and host San Jose in the first round.
damacles1156
Registered User
- Feb 5, 2010
- 21,668
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That's basically 14-12. Now ANH has played better, and Getz is not a black hole anymore, but they still can't score. The Depth of that team has been gutted more so than I thought.
Calgary can actually score, in the regular season it's easier to outscore your problems sometimes, look at MTL, and numerous teams on the East coast., heck ANH last year outscored their problems.
Should be neck and neck with ANH/Calgary. I just think Calgary edges them out. ANH is on pace for historic lows in scoring from them, that issue is going to cause a lot of losses. There is no 2012 Quick in ANH saving them.
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rajuabju
The One & Only
Disagree about them being able to challenge for the division.
Agree they will get into the top 3 by end of the season. They started the season off disastrously. But they have been (slowly) improving since then. And the rest of the division is so crappy, that they dont even need to play lights out to make it in.
I just hope Calgary knocks out SJ.
I think the ducks challenge for spot 2/3. They have been improving but so have the other teams.
flames, coyotes, and sharks can score and most pacific teams are slowly getting healthy. Injuries have hit them harder than the ducks.
Canucks are just bad.
flames, coyotes, and sharks can score and most pacific teams are slowly getting healthy. Injuries have hit them harder than the ducks.
Canucks are just bad.
If current trends continue, the Pacific division winner will be playing against a better team than the division #2 -- both wildcards are going to come from the Central, and both are going to have better records than either P2 or P3. Ahhh, the rewards of winning one's division, right? 
EDIT: With current trends, 87 points will give the Kings the Pacific. That requires a record of 16-25-3, a percentage of .398 -- that's kind of mind-boggling. (No, of course I don't expect that to actually happen, just reporting the math at this moment)
EDIT: With current trends, 87 points will give the Kings the Pacific. That requires a record of 16-25-3, a percentage of .398 -- that's kind of mind-boggling. (No, of course I don't expect that to actually happen, just reporting the math at this moment)
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W00t!If current trends continue, the Pacific division winner will be playing against a better team than the division #2 -- both wildcards are going to come from the Central, and both are going to have better records than either P2 or P3. Ahhh, the rewards of winning one's division, right?
EDIT: With current trends, 87 points will give the Kings the Pacific. That requires a record of 16-25-3, a percentage of .398 -- that's kind of mind-boggling. (No, of course I don't expect that to actually happen, just reporting the math at this moment)
cyclones22
Registered User
Raccoon Jesus
We were right there
Funny contrast from a year ago when no one could lose and the record that was good enough for a Cup in 2012 wasn't good enough to get in.
Reclamation Project
Cut It All Right In Two
- Jul 6, 2011
- 34,135
- 3,783
Most people simply don't get this. The SAME exact record. The division got better, a few teams got hot while the underlying data showed massive regression, and the Kings were atrocious in OT/SO. A goal here and a save there gets the Kings into the playoffs. I still believe the Kings crack 100 points if Pearson doesn't go down or even if Toffoli doesn't contract mono.
Another reason to laugh at Flames fans acting like they single-handedly ruined the Kings seasons.
If the Kings don't get smoked 1-0 in Buffalo, they'd make the playoffs.
