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How many points to make the playoffs: 2015-16 edition

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After the games of 4/2/16:

The Kings have four games left (2H/2A).

The Kings have clinched no worse than P3.

Home Ice:
98 points is the pace to get home ice in the first round (a record of 0-3-1).
KopitarFAN is correct, the magic number for home ice is down to just 3 points, as the Kings have clinched the ROW tiebreaker over the Sharks.

Pacific Division Title:
103 points is the pace to land the division title (a record of 3-1).
10 points are needed to _clinch_ the Pacific title (a record of 4-0 including a regulation win over Anaheim in the remaining head-to-head game).

Western Conference Title:
110 points is the pace to land the conference title (the Kings' maximum is 105).
The Kings do not control the race for the conference title at all.

Current First-Round Western Conference Playoff Matchups:
Minnesota (WC2, 90 pts) at Dallas (C1, 109 pts)
Chicago (C3, 102 pts) at St. Louis (C2, 106 pts)
Nashville (WC1, 95 pts) at Anaheim (P1, 102 pts and currently lead the Kings .632-.622 in percentage)
San Jose (P3, 98 pts) at Los Angeles (P2, 102 pts)

Anaheim has clinched no worse than P3.
St. Louis and Dallas have both clinched no worse than C3.
Chicago has clinched no worse than WC1.
Nashville has clinched no worse than WC2.

Minnesota's magic number to eliminate Colorado and land the final playoff spot is four points. If the Wild beat the Jets in any fashion today, AND the Blues beat the Avalanche in regulation, that could finalize the West's playoff roster.

Arizona, Calgary, Winnipeg, Vancouver and Edmonton have been mathematically eliminated.
 
Chicago's win in the Sunday morning game has clinched them no worse than C3, and locked Nashville into one of the wildcards -- the Predators could still drop to WC2, but are only two points away from being completely locked into WC1.
 
After the games of 4/3/16:

Nashville is LOCKED into the WC1 spot and will play the division winner with the worse record in the first round.

Dallas is 1 point away from clinching home ice in the first round.
St. Louis is 3 points away from clinching first-round home ice.
Anaheim is 3 points away from clinching first-round home ice.
Los Angeles remains 3 points away from clinching first-round home ice.

Dallas is 1 point away from eliminating the Kings from the Western Conference title race, and 2 points away from ensuring that the first round matchup will be P1 vs. Nashville, C1 vs WC2.

Minnesota is 2 points from locking themselves into the WC2 spot and eliminating Colorado.
 
After the games of 4/4/16:

The Kings can still do no worse than P3.
The Kings can NOT win the Western Conference.
The Kings' magic number for first-round home ice is three points.
The Kings do not control their destiny for the Pacific Division title -- Anaheim must lose one game in ADDITION to the Thursday head-to-head for the Kings to land in P1.

Nashville is locked into WC1.

The Ducks' magic number for first-round home ice is 3 points.
The Ducks' magic number for P1 is 6 points.

Dallas and St. Louis can do no worse than C3. They are each one point away from clinching first-round home ice. Dallas has clinched the ROW tiebreaker over St. Louis, if it comes to that.

Minnesota is 2 points away from clinching the playoffs and locking themselves into WC2.

First round:

Minnesota (WC2, 89 pts) at Dallas (C1, 108 pts, clinched ROW tiebreaker over St. Louis)
Chicago (C3, 103 pts) at St. Louis (C2, 108 pts)
Nashville (WC1, 95 pts) at Anaheim (P1, 103 pts)
San Jose (P3, 98 pts) at Los Angeles (P2, 101 pts)
 
I know it won't make much of a difference in the playoffs, but it'll be kind of embarrassing to lose the division in the final days of the regular season after having led it for the vast majority of the year.
 
KopitarFAN said:
Magic number to open at home: 1
Click to expand...

Correct.

After the games of 4/5/16:

The Kings have clinched the ROW tiebreaker over Anaheim. Thus, if they win out including a regulation win over the Ducks on Thursday, they still would win the Pacific -- so they're back in control of their own fate there.

Minnesota has not only clinched the playoffs, but is locked into WC2.

Dallas has clinched the ROW tiebreaker over Anaheim, thus Nashville is not only locked into WC1, but is locked into playing P1 in the first round. This also locks Minnesota into a first-round matchup with C1.

One regulation loss by the Sharks would lock them into P3.
 
Delicate Genius said:
The NHL recap video states that the Kings have secured home ice in the first round with the win over Calgary, but that's not true is it?
Click to expand...

It's not. If Kings or Ducks lose out in regulation, Sharks can still win out and take over 2nd. Sharks cannot take the division though because one of the Kings or Ducks is gonna win on Thursday and put it out of reach.
 
The Kings' magic number for P1 is 2 points. There are six points available (the two against Winnipeg, and the four that the Ducks could give up against the Avalanche and Capitals).

San Jose is locked into P3 and will play P2.
 
tsanuri said:
And it has happened. Minnesota can only get 89 max and is in.

Don't break anything.:naughty:
Click to expand...

sure when you have a team (calgary) that has everything go their way, pretty tough to get in...this year they showed who they really are
 
So, if we shut-out the Jets, we get both the Division Title and the Jennings Trophy?
 
If the Winipeg game stays low scoring, i.e., we allow 2 or less goals, I think we win the Jennings. Both Washington and the Ducks have to play one more game than us and they also play against high scoring teams (Washington v. St. Louis Saturday) and (Ducks v. Washington Sunday). Odds are looking good.
 
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