TSN: Giordano's Contract Watch - initial ask is $9M/year
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Johnny Hoxville
The Return of a Legend
St Wardo
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And this is exactly what makes me worry less about a possible regression. Once a pure goal scorer regresses and loses the dominant scoring prowess, it's hard for that player to play a different role. With Gio being so well rounded, I think it allows him to be almost as useful even if he cant score to the rate he has been scoring at. That's why I think a 38 year old Gio could be worth every penny his AAV is worth playing a few less minutes.
Johnny Hoxville
The Return of a Legend
I don't disagree with this at all, and I would say that there is even a 60% chance that he's still is a top 15 defender at the age of 38. It's why I want him to be resigned along with his leadership qualities. But it is absolutely a risk and it is why I hope that the Flames can pay him big money now for what he is worth today and over a shorter term.
Demetric
Registered User
Lidstrom played a dominate game into his 40s, its not like it cannot be done
Johnny Hoxville
The Return of a Legend
Absolutely, but we are talking about the exception and not the rule. That said, I to believe Gio looks poised to play well later into his career.
I wonder if the Kesler contract helps or harms our ability to pay him a reasonable amount. If Kesler can get a seven year contract at roughly the same age, does that mean Gio would, too? I'd prefer closer to a 5 year X 7.5 mill cap hit, but that seems like an underpayment now with Kesler's new contract.
I'm not sure why you say that.
He's a very late bloomer, and has bad some injury concerns.
Seems like the opposite to me.
I would appreciate your thoughts.
Anglesmith
Setting up the play?
As a late bloomer, he doesn't have as much mileage as other guys his age. Guys who, for instance, were top pairing guys already at age 22, and would have put in 9 seasons of facing top competition with big minutes already. Giordano has had, what, three seasons on the top pairing? And those were really his best, hardest played seasons.
In addition, the injury concerns don't seem to be the sort that make you think he's any more likely to be injured next season than the next guy. Last two seasons he got hurt blocking a shot (could happen to anyone who blocks shots- ie our whole team) and when someone can-openered him on a slapshot. If those sorts of things happen, they happen, but it's not like a guy who has recurring knee injuries or a bad back or multiple concussions.
Just playing DA, though. I don't know if there's any way to tell how long his prime will last.
Thanks, all good points.
For some reason I get the feeling that he won't age well.
Late bloomers often have a short shelf life.
Johnny Hoxville
The Return of a Legend
Mostly agree with AS's points. To add, he looks after himself, he's a fantastic skater, and while he plays physical now, I feel he could adjust his style to more of a finesse game and rely on solid positioning and good stick work.
If you read my post though, I said I feel he's poised to, he doesn't have a ton of mileage but I fully acknowledge that it's entirely possible and a huge risk on the Flames part. A shorter term deal would absolutely be preferable for that reason. History shows regression is likely to come sooner, not later, but Gio could be an exception.
If Gio doesn't get signed this summer and once again gets hurt and misses substantial time... Do you still give him the big money/term contract ? I know his injures have been some what freak. However if it happens again would really male me worry.
On the one hand, Giordano's a late bloomer with a lot less miles compared to say, Chara or Regehr at the same age.
On the other, the high octane style he plays doesn't seem sustainable for a very long period of time. Like Iginla, eventually he's going to have to start picking his spots. So the question is then, is his hockey IQ good enough to allow him to transition into a more Suter/Timonen type as he gets older and can't sustain his physical style? I think so.
In three or four years, the defense could look like
Giordano-Hamilton
Brodie-XXX
And like Chicago, the top pairing take the offensive match ups while the second pair acts as the shutdown pairing.
In that light, ~7.5M per for 5 years doesn't seem like an issue.
On the other, the high octane style he plays doesn't seem sustainable for a very long period of time. Like Iginla, eventually he's going to have to start picking his spots. So the question is then, is his hockey IQ good enough to allow him to transition into a more Suter/Timonen type as he gets older and can't sustain his physical style? I think so.
In three or four years, the defense could look like
Giordano-Hamilton
Brodie-XXX
And like Chicago, the top pairing take the offensive match ups while the second pair acts as the shutdown pairing.
In that light, ~7.5M per for 5 years doesn't seem like an issue.
I've always loved the way Gio played, was choked when he got low balled and had to go to Russia for some respect. Saw him be underrated and overlooked for years. Now everyone's noticing him and he's got a young, exciting team to back it up. I think the best coarse of action would be to see how it goes this year before offering him a deal.
Teams will be targeting him this year, he's not flying under the radar anymore. If he can repeat his performance, then talks get serious. Either pay him $$/term or he's leaving. Wait and see how the entire team does, a lot guys had an amazing year, if it continues, then you have to consider a big money, long term contract. If we don't make the playoffs, then you look to the future and consider moving him. The goal is building a long term cup contender, not winning it right now.
Teams will be targeting him this year, he's not flying under the radar anymore. If he can repeat his performance, then talks get serious. Either pay him $$/term or he's leaving. Wait and see how the entire team does, a lot guys had an amazing year, if it continues, then you have to consider a big money, long term contract. If we don't make the playoffs, then you look to the future and consider moving him. The goal is building a long term cup contender, not winning it right now.
Actually, development wise, I'd say Chara is the most comparable player out there. Neither hit their strides till about 27. We all know how Chara worked out. The question in my mind is, goes Gio have superior skill to do the same, obviously missing the physical gifts that Chara has. I mean the guy took about half as many strides as everyone else and didn't suffer much physical contact.
Taranis
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SmellOfVictory
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Pirate King Luffy
Ferkland
Anglesmith
Setting up the play?
I think it would be. Players generally wouldn't choose to leave $4M on the table in order to retire.
No it wouldn't be allowed, the lowest year can't be less then 50% of the highest
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