GDT: GAME 12 | Sens Roam to Buffalo | Tue Nov 5th 2024, 7PM | TSN5, RDS2

jbeck5

Registered User
Jan 26, 2009
16,732
3,603
Can't use sv% in wildly different scoring environments to compare goalies. Look at Quality start % and RBS (Really bad Starts) as a better indicator;

View attachment 927118

So far, Ullmark is at .500 QS% and 2 RBS, not a good start to the year, but his history suggests he'll bounce back.
How many RBS is he on pace for?

Do we want the split to be 56/26?

So he's played 7 games...let's multiply it by 8

If he finishes there season with 56 gp, .500 opposition and 16 RBS would it not make sense to say you expected Anderson which was generally.500-.600 opposition and 5-7 RBS per year average after the full year.
 

Micklebot

Moderator
Apr 27, 2010
56,496
34,212
How many RBS is he on pace for?

Do we want the split to be 56/26?

So he's played 7 games...let's multiply it by 8

If he finishes there season with 56 gp, .500 opposition and 16 RBS would it not make sense to say you expected Anderson which was generally.500-.600 opposition and 5-7 RBS per year average after the full year.
Small samples with rare events are a bad combo, far too early to be prorating for Ullmark, for reference , his career high in RBS is 6, and career low (not including this season) for QS% is .513. my point was to show Anderson clearly had bad games whether you remember or not, and for that matter, bad seasons, while with us.
 

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