you are as good as your...
I'd counter point your post; that this IS his current pace, a pace that he has held for a month already
its not a small sample thing.
His current pace IS NOT his season pace, that's his relevant pace of the entire season,
that varies the entire season, currently he is on a 2.55 ppg pace (his point total and ppg of the season increases after each 2 or 3 point game)
Gavin has 18 games left; 18 x 2.55 = 46 points = 46+69 = 115 points
(even though his season pace is 97 points)
The question is; will he keep up his 2,55 ppg average, what he has kept the last month
well, he has kept it for a month, good chance that he can do another month (and + 4 days)
PS. 2.66 ppg in his last 7 games, 0.11 ppg increase