OK it got me curious to look at the situation in 2020-21
So let's say Lebreton is underway and the team will move downtown in the near future, which should result in a significant increase of revenues (ticket price and quantity, popularity gain so more merchandises sales, corporate sales increase (?), other venues, more revenues from parking and concessions, etc) that would stabilize the financial situation of the team. So let's assume Melnyk follows through and does open a much bigger budget.
Let's also say that hockey Gods allow the Sens to retain Stone and Duchene and sign them long-term. A lot of what happens will depend on that, but let's say that in that case, and with all the youth coming (and future picks), you wouldn't need and couldn't keep everyone. If Stone and Duchene stay, then maybe Dzingel and Ceci should be traded. Keep in mind that according to that plan, it's not important where the team finishes this year and next but the goal would be to contend for the playoffs in 2020-21. Here's who I think should be traded before that 2020-21 season :
- Cody Ceci (TD 2019)
- Ryan Dzingel (TD 2019)
- Magnus Paajarvi (TD 2019)
- Mikkel Boedker (TD 2020 or before)
- Craig Anderson (TD 2020 or before)
- Ben Harpur (TD 2020 or before)
- Mark Borowiecki (TD 2020 or before)
- Chris Tierney (they could trade Pageau instead but I'd rather trade CT because he should have a bit more value and is not a huge fan favorite like Pageau, which is good for marketing reasons in Gatineau. Plus one of the best defensive player on the team and very likeable character)
- Zack Smith (retain on salary if necessary but 20-21 is his last year)
With those assets (and picks if necessary), they should target the best young D-man available, preferably on the right side for more balance. Ideally, Melnyk would sell before July and EK would sign as a UFA but it doesn't look like it's Melnyk plan. So, for example, target someone like Dougie Hamilton, as I suggested in another thread.
What it would take to get him? Would Dzingel + Ceci suffice? Add a 2nd and/or 3rd? So let's assume I'm able to get Hamilton for Dzingel (which the Canes extend 5 years), Ceci and Columbus 3rd in 2020*
So according to that plan, the line-up in 20-21 would be :
20-21 - CapFriendly - NHL Salary Caps
Rūdolfs Balcers ($1,500,000) - Matt Duchene ($9,000,000) - Drake Batherson ($736,666)
Brady Tkachuk ($925,000) - Colin White ($2,000,000) - Mark Stone ($9,000,000)
Alex Formenton ($753,333) - Logan Brown ($863,333) - Bobby Ryan ($7,250,000)
Josh Norris ($925,000) - Jean-Gabriel Pageau ($3,500,000) - Filip Chlapik ($1,200,000)
Thomas Chabot ($8,000,000) - Dougie Hamilton ($5,750,000)
Christian Wolanin ($1,500,000) - Christian Jaros ($1,500,000)
Maxime Lajoie ($710,000) - Jacob Bernard-Docker ($925,000)
Dylan DeMelo ($1,500,000)
Anders Nilsson ($2,000,000) - Filip Gustavsson ($761,666)
RETAINED SALARY TRANSACTIONS (1)
Dion Phaneuf ($1,750,000)
DETAILS
Roster Size: 21
Salary Cap: $85,000,000
Cap Hit: $62,049,998
Cap Space: $22,950,002
Salaries to RFAs and UFAs are roughly estimated because very hard to predict at this point in time, I gave Stone and Duchene 9 M$ each. Chabot 8 M$
Even with those big contracts, the Sens still have like 18 M$ of cap space (counted the MacArthur's cap hit and estimated the salary cap at 85 M$ for that season) and more money coming off the books soon in Ryan and MacArthur, so it will be very easy to afford raises to some young players and Hamilton extension.
All that being said, what I would like to see the most, is a major investment in coaching, get someone of Quenneville stature or the very best available. If you don't have proper coaching in the NHL, you could have the best roster possible and spend to the cap, but you won't succeed. It has been proved countless times.
* Here was what Hamilton was traded for when he was 22 and after posting 42 pts in 72 games :
Calgary Flames acquire | Date | Boston Bruins acquire |
| June 26, 2015 |
2015 1st round pick
2015 2nd round pick
2015 2nd round pick | |
[TBODY]
[/TBODY] |
[TBODY]
[/TBODY]
That's why I think Dzingel + Ceci + 3rd is realistic.