I’ll admit, their win last night vs Windsor was very surprising to me and I didn’t think they could pull that off, especially with an offensive explosion. If they won, I would have guessed something like 3-2 with their goalie standing on their head. I still have doubts about the sustainability of their offense given the coaching/skill but in this game I expected, especially after their good night against KIT on the road, the team to fall flat against a team that was “undefeated.” It’s usually what we see anytime the team over the last 4 years seems to start building any type of momentum. So with all that in play and given their current record, this might be the best win since 2017? It could potentially propel more momentum and confidence and I think we can all agree that one of the issues in the last several years has been buy in or guys just not believing. This type of win and a 6-4-0-2 start can help that. Especially with Lalonde getting back into the mix.
The trick now is consistency and continuing to improve in other areas, like the PP and faceoffs. They still have work to do. But untimately if they are on that type of pace all year in the W/L column, then they are roughly a 34 win type of team which is exactly where they should be and frankly need to be to start turning this around. Anything in the 35-36 win range would be maximum imo, unless Lalonde is just that special and Molnar shows up. But as currently situated, they are probably maxed out in that general area of wins. Which is certainly fine by me and ok for them to be. That’s where they should have been 2 years ago and built off that. But at least there are some positives we are seeing
Now all that said.. Windsor, despite their record, was not some dominant team imo. That’s just based on what their stats and overall box scores tell you. With the exception of 2 blow out wins versus Niagara (a team that isn’t good), they really have just won a bunch of close games. Not saying that’s bad. They are good for winning those games. But doesn’t really show a lot of dominance either. I’m not taking away from Erie. They beat the best record team and that deserves praise. Just wanted to add some context. Curious how they respond today with a 3in3. Lalonde should be back which helps. If they really are turning a corner than at the least you are competitive in this game. In the past, this would smell like a 5-1 type of loss incoming. Let’s see if they can keep the momentum in at least playing a competitive game to give themselves a chance to win.