As time goes on, situations evolve and more information comes out. It may have been true at one point RR was not going to report to Niagara. Perhaps Martin has had conversations about his desire to stay close to home.
The players and agents can, in some instances, carry a lot of weight in their decision of where they wish to play. If it is true that Martin was never planning to report here then he was never a serious option here regardless of his talent level.
I'm sure Erie still went through all the proper vetting of the top 3 - 5 players and regardless of talent, position, skill and they were going to take the best player available who they knew would report. They are definitely not in a position to swing at Moore, have him not report, and screw up this season. There is no way they could go the Niagara route and pick up a compensation pick next season. Schaefer being the top player is a subjective opinion and at the end of the day, regardless of where he was ranked 1, 2, or 3...he checked all the right boxes including the one to show up.