The problem with Boldy is that I could see him moving up. He's going to put up big point totals this year, like Caufield. I like both of those players, not for a team that needs to draft star players. Outside of the big two on that team, Zegras is the forward on that team who I believe has star potential. I think he'll end up going top 10, but if we get an 11-20 pick, the NTDP forward I'm taking is Zegras.
I'm also not sure that we can build the team completely with this draft. Lets say we get a top 3 pick as you say, and add a player that ends up being a 1C. Thats great, and maybe we add Panarin in the offseason. That has the makings of a forward group that has the ability to contend for a Cup.
We still wouldn't have the defensive pieces needed. I don't think most fans realize how bad of a shape our NHL defense and organizational defensive talent is in. There is no McAvoy or Sergachyov or Heiskanen thats going to step in within the next season or two. That player doesn't exist in our organization. Even if things go well with our defensive prospects, what's the upside? We get 3-4 middle pairing D? Which of them have legitimate 1D upside? Which of them even have legitimate 2D upside? Take a look at prospect lists. No one lists Hajek, Rykov, Miller, Lundkvist, Lindgren any higher than maybe the last spot or two on one of these lists or as an honorable mention. These players aren't occupying the top 10-20 spots around the league.
This team still needs another two top pairing defensemen. Is it possible we could get one from the next draft? It is, but its also a very weak defenseman draft, so that doesn't help. Are we going to sign that player in free agency? I'm afraid we completely botched the draft from a defensive standpoint. Dobson, Smith, Wilde, Samuelsson, Bouchard were on the board. We took Kravtsov. Kravtsov is a good prospect, but do we really need another winger prospect? We're not even sure that Chytil and Andersson are NHL centers.
With the two later firsts, I'm not sure where the upside is. Does anyone watch Lundkvist and actually believe he has top pairing upside? I think he's a very generic prospect. He'll play in the league, but not at a high level. The "upside" pick was a guy that doesn't have any quantifiable hockey skills, but the platitudes can be used, so thats how some are justifying it for now. Those types of picks usually turn out horribly.
I think this team's downfall with the rebuild will be the defense. I applaud what they've done bringing in guys like Pionk, Hajek, Rykov, Lindgren, but those guys or the two late firsts cannot be what you are going to say is the core of your defense. If it is, its not going to be a good defense.