I agree with you. But the experiment is not Dubas and more with the top guys.
Like I said in another thread, if the new GM is just coming in and getting a new coach with the same core, there will be no difference.
If Dubas hires a new coach and trade JT for Wilson and Mantha, why cut him.
Dubas is the chef and the winning the Cup is like thanksgiving dinner. Right now, none of our top guys is Turkey and that’s why we can’t have a great thanksgiving dinner. Changing the chef with the same ingredients(players) won’t change anything.
The key is to getting players more suited to compliment AM, MM and Willie by trading JT. If that’s doesn’t work, you look at trading AM, MM and Willie, whoever that’s still don’t have the right mindset.
Dubas can't and won't trade JT nor will his replacement. Never mind the representations made to Tavares to get him to come, that would have a potential affect on luring any other coveted UFA. Plus JT wouldn't waive so it would just be some ugly shade on the club if they tried.
KD has had years and numerous failures to hire a new coach. Why after this does he suddenly see the light? Why does he get to make the same mistake for years and then make a move only with a gun to his head? The mess is his creation so why is he a reliable choice to fix it? We know now he will hesitate to fire a coach who doesn't succeed, that he will fail to rehome players like Barrie who aren't a fit, and that he will stick with a group of favorites whether they earn all that or not. We also know he has is cursed for playoff goaltending, and only a holdover from Lamoriello's era has shown any light lately.
The chef didn't know how to cook a great meal. He had an idea based on the obvious way to cook a turkey but he didn't spend enough time as a sous chef. Self taught did not make him ready for the big chair.
He may be absolutely ready now but if it is agreed there is significant change required, we have no proof he knows what needs to be done and will go through with it. He didn't a year ago right? Do we know if he can re-up any of the big 3 for a value contract or will he set the market again?
He is a smart guy, although stubborn, but it would be dangerous to assume that he will make all the necessary adjustments if he has another 4 years. That is as random as what an new GM might create. This club had 105 points in 17-18 without a 70 point player and they are a 111 point team now with a whole bunch of free agents. They will be fine with a new cook in the kitchen.