I distinctly remember a late season game against the Flyers in 2017 where John Moore scored in OT to win. Half the board had a meltdown about how we shouldn't be playing for loser points, we are ruining our draft position, etc. We ended up winning the lottery anyway.
Same thing happened in 2019 when Zacha scored in OT against the Panthers, people thought getting that point was a waste and was going to hurt our draft position. And we won the lottery again.
You just need to play out the rest of the season and the chips will far wherever they're going to fall. The games don't matter in terms of wins and losses but they matter in terms of individual performance and development. Guys need to play hard, finish games, and continue to produce. Especially young players who are still figuring out the quirks of an 82 game schedule.
Tanking in the NHL is not a great strategy because you're not guaranteed a top-2 pick even if you're the worst team in the league, and even if you do get #1 overall that player alone is not going to instantly make you good. NHL rebuilds take a long time because competitive roster needs a number of quality players.
And because the players are so young and immature when they're drafted, but that's another discussion.
Winning the lottery is statistically unlikely and we were just weirdly lucky to do it twice. We were also the 5th seed and the 3rd seed when it happened.
Anything can happen, but it’s hard to count on it as a later seed after they changed the odds to give the worst four teams a better chance to win and with only two lottery spots to win now.
If anything the good news is we can only get pushed back two spots and it’s more likely it would be only one spot.
Falling out of the top five in this draft sucks for us, as far as we can tell now. No need to put a positive spin on that, though we got 7 games left and who knows where we pick.
I’m not going to root against the team to the point that I’m going to curse wins, I’m happy for them and they lost enough to typically end up lower.
We’re tied with Chicago with our .401 win % and have the 6th spot with the regulation wins tie breaker.
We had 3rd place last year with a .402 Win % (we were the 4th seed because Seattle was gifted the 3rd seed). CBJ and DET were tied for 4th & 5th with .429.
2019-20 was parity/mushy city so one team had >.700 (BOS .714) and the next best was .657 (TBL). DET was infamously bad with a .275 win % but no one else got near that.
Ottawa was 2nd with .437. while we were 6th with .493 (tied with BUF, who won the tie breaker).
This season .437 would get you 8th place. (OTT is 7th with .414 while BUF is 8th with .442.) .493 would get you 12th (ANA is 11th with .481 & CBJ is 12th with .500).
In 2018-19 we were 3rd with .439. In 2016-17 we were tied for 3rd with Arizona with .427, but won the tie breaker, plus Vegas was gifted the 3rd spot so we were the 5th seed.
So as you can see, it takes a special kind of losing this year to keep up with the bottom feeding Jones. Lack of parity due to expansion, scoring being up/goalies having issues, teams getting their tank on for next season, COVID induced chaos, who f***ing knows, etc.
We’ve lost a lot of games, but a ton of teams are getting in on the losing here. That’s what more at work then us having a little win streak after yet another losing streak. There are just a bunch of teams managing to somehow be even worse than us right now.