Tusks Up
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- Aug 14, 2022
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One of my biggest hopes for this season is Jack plays 75+ games. I wanna see him get the long season in and maintain PPG, but its not a requirement. Consistency over the whole season is important
I know that.In Australia they call themselves the damn “socceroos” lol. They definitely call it soccer.
I don't know if I see him making it this year. We have a lot of forwards on the roster at the moment. Next year could make more sense with Johnsson and Tatar gone, but either way, I think Foote's lack of foot speed will limit his ability to play with this roster.Hopefully he forces his way onto the team. I can see it happening if Wood isn't healthy although we seem to have too many forwards as it stands.
Just playing a full season - like Bratt last year (or was it the year before? but that was weird Covid time to be sure) - to show that Jack can stand up to the pounding of the NHL.One of my biggest hopes for this season is Jack plays 75+ games. I wanna see him get the long season in and maintain PPG, but its not a requirement. Consistency over the whole season is important
I stJust playing a full season - like Bratt last year (or was it the year before? but that was weird Covid time to be sure) - to show that Jack can stand up to the pounding of the NHL.
He’s among the top elite offensive creative talents, the league recognizes that already. He’s also a major box office and media attraction. The face of the team and one of the faces of the league and changes the value of the NJ franchise upward and of the league too as far as viewer appeal and profile.
The question is can he take the pounding? And he’s going to attract more and more of it, the better that both he and the team get.
The injuries last year - shoulder and knee - the one the Seattle defenseman planting him into the ice upper body first; the Rangers guy (was it Rangers) maybe knee on knee - were both on plays Jack initiated or at least could have avoided. Or so I think. Against Seattle by staying low as he attempted to go by the defender; against NY by not going back at a guy after contact.
Anyway let him play a full season.
Without mentioning slamming him to the ice after lolI st
I’ll think that hit leading to the shoulder injury was into the numbers on Jack’s back. The league let’s they go all the time. I’m not sure why drilling someone in thr back is good physical play or good defense.
It was the slam into the ice where I think he planted an elbow and popped the shoulder out. And my impression of it was that he could have protected himself better and stayed lower in that phase of the wrestling match (so to speak - the opponent got below him and sort of lifted and planted him). But really I would have to watch the play again.Without mentioning slamming him to the ice after lol
I st
I’ll think that hit leading to the shoulder injury was into the numbers on Jack’s back. The league let’s they go all the time. I’m not sure why drilling someone in thr back is good physical play or good defense.
Just playing a full season - like Bratt last year (or was it the year before? but that was weird Covid time to be sure) - to show that Jack can stand up to the pounding of the NHL.
He’s among the top elite offensive creative talents, the league recognizes that already. He’s also a major box office and media attraction. The face of the team and one of the faces of the league and changes the value of the NJ franchise upward and of the league too as far as viewer appeal and profile.
The question is can he take the pounding? And he’s going to attract more and more of it, the better that both he and the team get.
The injuries last year - shoulder and knee - the one the Seattle defenseman planting him into the ice upper body first; the Rangers guy (was it Rangers) maybe knee on knee - were both on plays Jack initiated or at least could have avoided. Or so I think. Against Seattle by staying low as he attempted to go by the defender; against NY by not going back at a guy after contact.
Anyway let him play a full season.
Not even Lidstrom?This
I will quibble on the Makar and Orr comparison. I love Makar and consider him actually sounder defensively than expected - he will effortlessly shut down a play, taking a perfect angle to the boards to cut off a winger for example, using great technique to body the guy, take the puck away and start the other direction.
He’s actually better at that defensively than Orr.
But I watched Orr during his prime pretty much every game either on TV or at Boston Garden and there’s no comparison in the contemporary game with anyone as to what he did end to end carrying the puck. He was dominant in a way no one is today. Could pick the rush up behind his net and in need skate through an opposition team that knew it was coming.
The game has changed so much since then too. The level and skill of the opposition included. I just don’t think any contemporary player is a good comparison with him any more than anyone is with Gretzky.
Bollocks. Seider, weegar, josi, jones, fox, martinez, McAvoy among block leaders last season. It means more than just being in your zone. It means exactly what was said above; the anticipation and skating ability to put yourself in a position to block a shot.Yes, but if youre blocking a lot of shots it means you're probably stuck in your own end a lot.
Just like if you have a lot of hits it means you are chasing the puck a lot
Bollocks. Seider, weegar, josi, jones, fox, martinez, McAvoy among block leaders last season. It means more than just being in your zone. It means exactly what was said above; the anticipation and skating ability to put yourself in a position to block a shot.
Yeah, there's Brooks Orpik on the alltime list but guys like Duncan Keith, Weber, suter and Carlson with him.
I respectfully couldn't disagree much more with several of the philosophies -- though well thought out and conveyed -- expressed here.
There's a lot of detail in here to respond to, but I'll focus on Okhotyuk and the idea that a team with a defense focused on possession is somehow superior to a team with a physical defense which can block shots, win battles down low and clear creases with authority.
Personally, I felt one of the most under-noticed aspects of the Colorado Stanley Cup win was how their defense played even better once analytic darling Samuel Girard went down with injury and was replaced in the roster by analytic pariah Jack Johnson. The Avalanche had more than enough offense from the blueline with Makar, Byram and Toews -- all three of whom are very good defensively as well -- that I felt Girard's all-offense/poor defense was quite a detriment to the team overall, something which was glaring to me the previous year when they lost in the playoffs to Vegas. Jack Johnson shored up the blueline and made the Avs tougher to play, as it gave them four physical guys back there along with Erik Johnson, Manson and Byram. And I think we should also mention that Makar is terrific in his own end and one hell of a shot-blocker.
The fact is that hockey is not math; it is not quantifiable by any math metric other than which team scores the most goals to win the most games, and which players are doing most of the scoring. We've seen this with the Devils many times over the years. A big hit changes momentum. There is no metric for momentum, but I was watching the 1995 Stanley Cup Final which was literally the biggest upset of the decade in the NHL -- a series which was completely taken over due to Scott Stevens' legendary physicality. The hit on Kozlov changed the tenor of the series, a series in which the Red Wings had every talent advantage imaginable.
For the past decade, the Devils have been literally rag-dolled by a very tough and physical division. At times, it's been sickening to watch. Brad Marchand nearly decapitates first Marcus Johansson then Ty Smith after the whistle and no Devil raises a hand to him. Do we think this is not indicative of the Devils losing ways over the past decade because we cannot quantify it analytically? A big hit changes not only the spirit and mood of the players on both sides of it, but also the way certain players approach the game.
There are skill forwards in the NHL who quite simply won't skate into a puck battle when it's against a defenseman who know will punish them physically. There are skill forwards who will avoid the crease against tougher defensemen, and the greasy areas where most NHL goals are scored.
This is not a "size" thing. Kris Letang is a tough physical defenseman at 5'10. But Ty Smith was not, and Will Butcher was not, and both of those defensemen seriously hurt the Devils in their own zone. Both were "new age" defensemen, in the vein of Shayne Gostisbehere or Tony deAngelo, two other players who hurt their teams more than they help them, especially come playoff time. But you can win with the Erik Johnsons and Josh Mansons and Luke Schenns because they free up the Cale Makars and Viktor Hedmans to play their games, they kill penalties, and they force the opposition scorers to always feel uncomfortable and be looking over their shoulders down low.
It's not as simple as "if you have the puck, it's impossible for the other team to score". Because even the very best possession teams get about a 60-40 advantage there against the very worst possession teams. Every NHL team will possess the puck for significant time, no matter what, because that's just hockey. If the other team is dominating down low during their 40% and your team is on the perimeter during their 60% -- well, your team is still going to lose the game. We saw that with the Devils in multiple losses against the Blue Jackets this year -- the Devils dominating the possession game, the Blue Jackets dominating the down low game and coming away with the W.
Of course, there is a balance. You need scorers, and I'm not advocating a team of pugilists. I'm not a Mason Geertsen fan, and I'm not an old school dinosaur. I watch a ton of hockey at every level and skill is the most important quality for a winning team. However -- it's also the salary cap era and you can't afford 6 high-level skill defenders and 12 high-level skill forwards for your roster. Even if you could, you'd have to take into account the psychology that a high skill player isn't happy with 4th line or 3rd pairing minutes. And even if they were, this all-star team could still be beaten by a well-balanced team with different types of players playing different roles, because someone's got to block the shots and someone's got to clear the crease and someone's got to kill the penalties and someone's got to put their head down and forecheck.
I know I'm long-winded here, but back to Okhotyuk. He's a physical, high-energy defender with physicality and a guy who relishes his role as a punishing defender. His potential to me is quite high -- like a slightly less cerebral but more physical Ryan Graves, a perfect player to pair with a Simon Nemec down the line if Okhotyuk reaches his potential. Why? Because Okhotyuk's attention to detail on defense and reticence to take risks will free up Nemec to do more with the puck. Because knowing your partner is defensively reliable enables you to take more chances with stretch passing out of the zone. Because having an Okhotyuk to give you a breather on the PK gives you more rest and energy for where you excel on the power play.
The fact is that the best teams in hockey perennially have strong and physical defense cores beyond their star defensemen. As noted, Girard hurt Colorado in the 2021 playoffs and his injury was beneficial to their 2022 Stanley Cup run. Tampa's defense corps were physically huge and overall physical beyond Hedman and Sergachev with McDonagh, Cernak and Bogosian. The Rangers would certainly not have been in the Eastern Conference finals with DeAngelo on the blueline instead of K'Andre Miller -- and we all saw how DeAngelo was the biggest detriment to Carolina whatsoever as they were upset by the very same Rangers in the semi-finals. And please, don't argue Cale Makar as a "new age" defenseman -- if anything his closest NHL comparable is Bobby Orr. I can go on for awhile, but the point is easy for Devils fans, and finally (sorry) I'm going to get to it.
The New Jersey Devils have an extraordinary base for a future defense corps with Dougie Hamilton, Luke Hughes and Simon Nemec. All three of these players have star-like offensive capability -- we're talking 70-point potential. So, we don't need to add an all-offense defender, plain and simple. We need Siegenthaler and Graves and hopefully guys like Okhotyuk and Mukhamadullin or whomever will develop into these types of players.
Balance is the key to a winning hockey club. Not Corsi, not Fenwick... balance. You get a high skill core of players (Hamilton, Hughes and Nemec on the blueline -- Hughes, Hischier, Bratt, Mercer, Holtz, Gritsyuk up front) and you surround them with players who excel in other areas. Face-offs, shot-blocking, forechecking, penalty killing, defensive acuity -- you name it. There's a reason the trade deadline saw big trades for defensemen from losing teams like Manson, Lyubushkin and Chiarot but no one thought to make a deal for Shayne Gostisbehere, who was piling up points for the worst team in the Western Conference.
I couldn't agree with you more.
Your initial point is correct to a degree that good defensemen also accumulate a lot of blocked shots, but they also play more than worse defensemen. Unfortunately NHL.com doesn't allow us to break down blocked shots by game state, but Seider is the only one in the top 50 in blocks/60 at 48 (minimum 40 games) - but now we're getting the reverse survivorship bias of guys who play on the power play seldom blocking shots there, whereas guys who only kill penalties and play at ES getting more opportunities to block. All I know is that most of the top of that list of blocks/60 are not guys I want more than one of on my team.
Blocking shots is barely a skill. It's very difficult to do and takes a lifetime to learn, but at the NHL level, it's just not making much of a difference to who wins and loses. Good teams do it, bad teams do it, there's not a huge repeatable ability to block shots on defense and not get shots blocked on offense.
then there are the high blocks that manage to cause the puck to go out the zone which allows your teammates to quickly change lines or get better set up.Blocked shots is very important. Some of the best scoring chances come after a blocked shot because the defense isn't properly positioned yet.
Blocked shots is very important. Some of the best scoring chances come after a blocked shot because the defense isn't properly positioned yet.
Good example:
Notice favorite defenseman here Cale Makar playing behind the opponents goal line, leaving MacKinnon to make a bad defensive read at the blue line off a blocked shot.
I'm absolutely just rehashing here but...
Shotblocking is good and maybe pretty important sometimes (even accounting for the risk of injury and other potential negative externalities), but it should never be the cornerstone of a guy's skillset or something mentioned in the first three sentences of a good NHL player's blurb. Pro hockey is a game of possession and transition, and even if blocking a shot sometimes leads to good results in those areas, it's almost certainly generally better to not be in a position where a dude is taking shots at your net that you're hoping to block.
A robotic mega-defenseman would have zero, after all, since they'd recover the puck before it ever got to that point.
I'm pro-defensive defenseman, I'm pro-physicality, I'm pro-having a dude who can win board battles down low, I'm pro-separating guys from pucks. I'm pro all those things as long as they come in a package that can also use them to actually get the puck back out of our end and to the forwards
Shot-blocking specifically, though? Nice to have if I'm getting all those previous things, I guess, but if I'm getting those and the dude never goes down to block a shot I'm not crying.
It's the end of summer, and we cannot real go too this well *too* often....On the other hand, I personally do like Bahl’s size. No problem admitting it. Guilty as charged. He has good flexibility/agility for his size, which along with his reach, makes him tough to outmaneuver.
It's the end of summer, and we cannot real go too this well *too* often....
Big bahls
hamilton's defensive partner, who covers for his short comings.The way you talk about Okhotyuk is more how I see a player like Bahl. Okhotyuk despite getting a reputation as a hard hitting physical defenseman is actually a very good skater that showcases good positioning and a smart, poised defensive style of play. In his NHL stint specifically he was one of the most steady defenseman on the team when it came to his in zone play and his transition play. There's no guarantee that he'll continue to improve but the base of talent is certainly more intriguing than most defense first prospects.