I think the problem is that, based on what we've heard, is that a trade is more likely than not to occur, and that return is more likely than not going to be a package of a prospect+, and so when you say "Yurov, Buium or Wallstedt or no deal", it's a little hard to pretend like that's actually true.
Of course no trade could happen, or Guerin could be the biggest idiot in the fraternity and add to those three, those are all possibilities that exist to varying degrees, but when we talk about the most likely outcome, it's probably not either of those.