There is a conjecture that's happening right now, and that has never happened before in the history of this saga. (and this means you cannot for sure use the previous trends of the story anymore, to make your call)
And it just happens to be the biggest development that can happen in this dossier :
-The BOG finally voicing that they want a resolution before the end of the season, and that another season at Mullet is not an option.
That's why I choose to believe this time
(a completely new situation with the biggest possible development happening. The BOG has never put pression on the situation before, so this is a first for this immensely important factor)