1st overall
1st overall
2nd overall
4th overall
etc
Devils win
I get this perspective, especially coming from a truly snakebitten DET fanbase, but this viewpoint also discounts a lot of other great decisions that separate the NJ rebuild from the others. I think compared to OTT especially, the following is what made the difference:
First among them, being very conservative with the cap until the team was ready to make the jump. They only signed small 1-2 year deals for guys like Boyle, Lovejoy, etc. as stopgaps. They could've made a lot of stupid decisions i.e. extending Palmieri, Coleman, Hall, Henrique, etc. to poor value deals and instead turned those guys into draft/trade capital while Hischier, Bratt and Hughes improved.
And then the other major win was snagging Bratt in the 6th. That is one of the most elite, best 6th round picks ever made.
Then jumping on Siegenthaler and Kovacevic when few (really only analytics people) saw potential.
Also turning Mukhamadullin, Zetterlund+ into Meier, turning Holtz into Cotter, Bahl+ into Markstrom. In general, the only early round picks they've f***ed up were Holtz and Stillman.
And I think you can view the Hamilton deal as the equivalent of Chicago bringing in Brian Campbell before their runs.
Save for goalie, the timing of all the UFA/trade adds was more or less ideal. Now they have the right coach and it's all coming together.
So yes, luck is a major major part of it but so much could've gone wrong and they avoided most of it (the Palat deal is hard to defend, Subban trade was a mistake, Gusev/Johnsson deals I'd still do in context but amounted to nothing and chiefly, they should've addressed the goaltending faster).