OT: Coronavirus (COVID-19) thread

[Fugazy]

They're probably going to cancel March Madness at this point too. This really sucks.

 

[Brooklyn Rangers Fan]

The right call.

 

[doomscroll]

We are nowhere near the numbers of the Swine Flu in 2010. I do not recall the panic we hare having now. Nobody was hoarding anything. 12k people died.

Why all the panic now? Are we expecting it to be much worse this time? Or are we over reacting?

As of mid-March 2010, the U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) estimated that about 59 million Americans contracted the H1N1 virus, 265,000 were hospitalized as a result, and 12,000 died.[117] [118]

2009 flu pandemic in the United States - Wikipedia

Swine Flu had a .02% mortality rate, whereas Corona virus is currently around 3.4%

 

[RangerBoy]

I can't imagine the NHLPA would be okay with shortening the offseason by much

Less preseason games seems more likely than that

NHL camp is 20 days long. Make it one week. The players already gather and skate in August. They come to camp in shape and all ready to go.

 

[Crease]

How do we feel about going to the gym these days?

 

[Gardner McKay]

How do we feel about going to the gym these days?

Glad a I snagged a Total Gym at Costco about 2 months ago....

 

[KirkAlbuquerque]

How do we feel about going to the gym these days?

Don’t

 

[romba]

We are nowhere near the numbers of the Swine Flu in 2010. I do not recall the panic we hare having now. Nobody was hoarding anything. 12k people died.

Why all the panic now? Are we expecting it to be much worse this time? Or are we over reacting?

As of mid-March 2010, the U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) estimated that about 59 million Americans contracted the H1N1 virus, 265,000 were hospitalized as a result, and 12,000 died.[117] [118]

2009 flu pandemic in the United States - Wikipedia

It's hard to say. But off the top, those numbers you got from Wiki are less than half compared to current COVID. Hospitalizations for COVID is estimated to be 10-20% of infected, above data indicates around 4-5% for Swine Flu. Mortality for COVID estimated at 1-3%, Swine flu above indicates .02%.

Keep in mind we are likely underestimating total cases of Corona due to folks with mild or no symptoms, so hospitalizations and mortality for Corona is likely a lower % than current estimates, but by how much we don't know. As more data comes in they can estimate how many non-diagnosed cases there were to arrive at more precise percentage expectations for hospitalizations/mortality for future outbreaks of this particular Corona virus. I believe that seasonal Flu, for example, has a built in algorithm to estimate current % of hospitalizations/mortality based on previous years' outbreaks and it incorporates those hard to find cases where folks don't get formally diagnosed and/or hospitalized. We have nothing of the sort for COVID-19 yet.

 

[will1066]

How do we feel about going to the gym these days?

I went yesterday. But it's my company's gym. It's small and not highly trafficked. Still I was careful to wipe everything down and wash my hands thoroughly.

But it looks like home bodyweight workouts for me soon.

 

[Ghost of jas]

How do we feel about going to the gym these days?

As non-interested as I was before this began.

 

[will1066]

They're probably going to cancel March Madness at this point too. This really sucks.

Playing in front of no one would've been just weird.

 

[UnSandvich]

As non-interested as I was before this began.

are you me?

 

[LORDE]

How do we feel about going to the gym these days?

I’m on my way now.
No one is saying be reckless but come on. Wash ur hands before and after and do your thing. Maybe I’m being naive but if you’re struggling w touching ANYTHING someone else has, Ive got news for u... unless you’re the bubble boy.

MOOPS! MOORS!

 

[Irishguy42]

 

[JT Kreider]

How do we feel about going to the gym these days?

I have a small private gym in my development and I'm considering staying away from that, let alone a public gym like NYSC, Golds, Lifetime, etc.

 

[GeorgeKaplan]

I guess that’s the sequence you have to state those things in, but they’re definitely burying the lede on that one

 

[MyLoveIsBlue]

Swine Flu had a .02% mortality rate, whereas Corona virus is currently around 3.4%

How can we possibly know the mortality rate without knowing how many people are infected? All we know for certain is the death total.

For an accurate percentage we need both the numerator and the denominator.

 

[romba]

Taking the mood here.

How do we feel about public restrooms?
Porta potties?

 

[Glen Sathers Cigar]

Swine Flu had a .02% mortality rate, whereas Corona virus is currently around 3.4%

I think those numbers are juiced up slightly bc lack of testing.

I'm sure the mortality rate is much lower vs actual number of infected than that 3.4% figure which is the mortality rate of confirmed cases.

 

[doomscroll]

How can we possibly know the mortality rate without knowing how many people are infected? All we know for certain is the death total.

For an accurate percentage we need both the numerator and the denominator.

If the mortality rate is closer to that of Swine flu, then that means the number of infected is over 100x higher than is currently documented.

 

[romba]

If the mortality rate is closer to that of Swine flu, then that means the number of infected is over 100x higher than is currently documented.

100x is a bit much, 50x isn't out of the question though in my opinion. Kids are basically silent carriers and are completely un-diagnosed, I'm sure the great majority of 40 and unders ride it out without being diagnosed too.

 

[McRanger]

As non-interested as I was before this began.

Yeah but are you still attending water aerobics?

 

[doomscroll]

100x is a bit much, 50x isn't out of the question though in my opinion. Kids are basically silent carriers and are completely un-diagnosed, I'm sure the great majority of 40 and unders ride it out without being diagnosed too.

I meant over 100x higher in regard to the known mortality rate of swine flu. Even if the current death rates lower by 90%, Coronavirus is still more deadly than H1N1.

 

[will1066]

Taking the mood here.

How do we feel about public restrooms?
Porta potties?

Love them. Beats having to go in front of everyone.

 

[will1066]

We're out of TP and hand sanitizers where I live.