Post-Game Talk: Controversy, thy name is Bruins vs Jets; Jets win 5-4 in SO

Gabe Kupari

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Jul 11, 2013
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Morrissey prob gets a game but.. If u watch the replay he engages b4 the Bruin player actually turns his back to the play. Was it a bad hit? Sure. Was it malicious? No.

Would it have been avoided if the Bruin doesnt turn while morrissey is already committed to the hit? Yup.
 
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Guffman

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Apr 7, 2016
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The cost of the penalty is a small fraction of the cost of a goal against. You need to be nowhere near 100% to make it a correct challenge; even 50-50 would make it a runaway correct decision to challenge.

It’s an interesting discussion. If you expect to kill 20% of your penalties, a 50/50 review would net you 0.4 goals (1 goal x 50% - 1 goal x 50% x 20%) in your favour. However, in this case, it puts you into a 2 man disadvantahe, so your net should be lower.

In the play in question, you also have to look at the game situation. Is preserving a 2 goal lead in the third period THAT important, or should you concede it and protect the 1 goal lead (something we have been very successful at).

Also, was it 50/50? After looking at the reply, I don’t think so. I knew we would lose since it wasn’t conclusive but the Jets video guys need to make a snap call.

Long story short, factoring all the criteria, I would say we should not have challenged it.
 

AlphaLackey

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Mar 21, 2013
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Winnipeg, MB
Not when you're already killing a 5 minute major. The risk of an additional 2 minute 5-on-3 was not worth it on such a close call. IMO of course, with hindsight being 20-20... ;)

I mean, I'm a human being, I get that the optics are absolutely horrible. I'm impressed they stuck with it though. It feels so weird to say "six game winning streak" but yeah, we're rolling it up nicely :)
 
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dcypher

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Feb 7, 2013
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Did anyone ever think since the Jets returned in 2011 that a day would come where the team has become a dominant force in the NHL as a legitimate top dog cup contender?

Flashbacks of Eric Tangradi, Antii Miettinen, Wellwood...

I was telling friends in 2011/2012 to give it 5 years for a legit rebuild and retooling of the team... Now we are reaping the rewards.
 

Gabe Kupari

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Jul 11, 2013
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The challenge sucked. You gotta play the score there. Losing the challenge was making it a tie game. Our video review crew needs a bag skate.

I dunno. They seemed pretty convinced puck was out and one of the replays certainly makes it appear it was. Even after the good goal announcement wheeler and some boys were pointing at the jumbotron thing. I wouldnt have challenged tho.
 
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Board Bard

Dane-O-Mite
Jun 7, 2014
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Another quick take...hated Laine’s play at the end of his shift in OT where he coughed up possession trying to drive into their zone.

I think he’s goal hungry to catch Ovi. It wasn’t a smart play.

I thought he was weak tonight. Thank heavens for the SO winner though.
 

bustamente

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279u6a.jpg
 

AlphaLackey

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Mar 21, 2013
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It’s an interesting discussion. If you expect to kill 20% of your penalties, a 50/50 review would net you 0.4 goals (1 goal x 50% x 1 goal x 50% x 20%) in your favour. However, in this case, it puts you into a 2 man disadvantahe, so your net should be lower.

In the play in question, you also have to look at the game situation. Is preserving a 2 goal lead in the third period THAT important, or should you concede it and protect the 1 goal lead (something we have been very successful at).

Also, was it 50/50? After looking at the reply, I don’t think so. I knew we would lose since it wasn’t conclusive but the Jets video guys need to make a snap call.

Long story short, factoring all the criteria, I would say we should not have challenged it.

Yeah, I mean, you need to figure out what the expected probability is of being scored on 5v3 relative to 5v4, to say nothing of the fact that goals aren't created equal (i.e. that tying goal was worth more to Boston than the proximity goal was to them). Only really trying to stand up for the notion that it needs to be far, far less than "100% certain or nearly so". Was it a 50/50 situation? I'm inclined to think so since it was very close and it took a long time to review. But obviously there's very, very fuzzy assessing in trying to figure that out.

But if the video guy told Maurice it was 50/50, I'd hope Mo would challenge it almost every time.

What I need are modern goal scoring rates for 5v3 vs 5v4. Only cites I can find are about 10 years old, and lord knows how many rule changes ago that is.
 

Aavco Cup

"I can make you cry in this room"
Sep 5, 2013
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I dunno. They seemed pretty convinced puck was out and one of the replays certainly makes it appear it was. Even after the good goal announcement wheeler and some boys were pointing at the jumbotron thing. I wouldnt have challenged tho.

You play the score. Losing the challenge was basically giving up the lead. It leaves a foul taste in my mouth still.

I was yelling at the TV...."don't do it Mo don't do it"
 

bustamente

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Morrisseys hit looks worse cause he also jump when making contact, no problem with a suspension the player did not return, as some have said he could use he rest :thumbu:
 

Atoyot

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Jul 19, 2013
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I dunno. They seemed pretty convinced puck was out and one of the replays certainly makes it appear it was. Even after the good goal announcement wheeler and some boys were pointing at the jumbotron thing. I wouldnt have challenged tho.

It was pretty obvious that it didn't come out.
 

Gabe Kupari

Registered User
Jul 11, 2013
15,269
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Winter is Coming
You play the score. Losing the challenge was basically giving up the lead. It leaves a foul taste in my mouth still.

I was yelling at the TV...."don't do it Mo don't do it"

I dont think you play the score. If correct the score would be 3 1. Sounds silly if you are convinced they are offside to not challenge because then its 3 2.
 

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