This is a truly transcendent season for McDavid. The kind of season that only players like Gretzky, Howe, Orr, and Lemieux have achieved.
I think if you’re being overly, and probably unnecessarily cautious to not atleast entertain the notion that he belongs in those players class.
He's pretty clearly peaking below Gretzky, Orr and Lemieux.
In terms of best single seasons, no one hits their level (deliberately excluding goalies)
Tier 1
Gretzky/Orr/Lemieux
Tier 2
Howe/Morenz
Tier 3
Hull/Beliveau/Jagr/Lafleur
The above has pretty much been the standard for 30 years now, at least in terms of single seasons. McDavid's 2021 season was always a question mark. In terms of separation from peers, it was tier 2, but the short season, no interdivisional play, and the general weird nature of the COVID year was always going to be treated as an oddity. Like Richard's 50 goals in 50 games during the war, or Esposito's 150 boosted by Orr, or Cowley breaking numbers during the war.
But his 2022-2023 season leaves no question marks, and is up there with peak Howe and Morenz for separation from peers. I just don't think he's at the Tier 1 stage.
In 1986-87, Gretzky had more assists than any other player had points. And lead the league in goals. He had more EVP than any other player had points. He lead the league in EVP, SHP, PPP. Lead the league in +-. Then went on to lead the playoffs in points en route to a Cup. For as great as McDavid is this year, it's not a 1987 Gretzky separation from peers.
In 1970, Bobby Orr won the Art Ross by 21 point as a
defenseman. Lead the league in +-. Arguably the only time in NHL history someone has been both the best defensive player and best offensive player in the league (arguably, world). The only other instance of this happening in a major pro league in Frank Nighbor in 1918. Orr's 1970 season is only slightly behind McDavid offensively, while being a defenseman. It defies logic. For as great as McDavid is this year, it's not 1970 Orr separation from peers.
Lemieux is harder. 1989 is insane and probably Lemieux at his best. But he's competing with 28 year old prime Gretzky and peak Yzerman (I'd take 1989 Yzerman over any player in the league today save McDavid). In 1993 he misses 24 games to cancer, yet leads the league in points by 12 and EVP by 9. I don't think McDavid is at this level.
But Howe 1953, which has long been the gold standard of non-Orr/Gretzky/Lemieux single seasons? That gets to be interesting. McDavid is ahead of Draisaitl by 29.2%. Howe won the Art Ross by 33.8%. McDavid is 35.3% ahead of closest non-teammate. Howe was 55.7% ahead of next closest teammate. Howe lead in goals, assists, EVP, and PPP. McDavid leads in goals, assists, and PPP. McDavid is only 2 back of Karlsson for EVP lead.
McDavid played in a deeper league for sure. But Howe was a physical force and elite defensively. It's close, even if I still lean Howe.
Arguably 5th highest peak of any player ever in hockey isn't small potatoes. He's clearly ahead of Jagr/Crosby/Ovechkin/Lafleur/Hull/Beliveau so far (season isn't over). But I don't think he's in the Gretzky/Orr/Lemieux tier. Roughly around Howe for peak, which is insane to type.
Now, this is single seasons. Howe had 4 years in a row dominating in points. Morenz never duplicated 1928. Orr stayed at his peak level for about 6 years, same as Gretzky. Lemieux never duplicated 1989 over a full season, though obviously 1993 his a 1b to his 1989.
Very interesting to watch.