Management Coach DJ Smith - Part 2

  • Work is still on-going to rebuild the site styling and features. Please report any issues you may experience so we can look into it. Click Here for Updates
I think Florida has some guys who are hard to play against as well. I think you misquoted big Walt unnecessarily to make your point.
I feel like Waltz comment says whatever the reader wants it to, it's a litmus test for bias, one way or the other

If you think Ottawa is soft but give a good effort every night, you can interpret it one way, if you think they are hard to play against, you can interpret it that way.
 
  • Like
Reactions: BonHoonLayneCornell
I feel like Waltz comment says whatever the reader wants it to, it's a litmus test for bias, one way or the other

If you think Ottawa is soft but give a good effort every night, you can interpret it one way, if you think they are hard to play against, you can interpret it that way.
I think his quote is his quote. IMO he was saying Florida had to get its act together effort wise primarily. You can be a player that is hard to play against when you give it. But you need to give it. My point was he did not say "Ottawa is very hard to play against". He said they play with some jam and they play hard. He was trying to prompt more effort out of the way Florida was playing at the time.

Not about bias. I even said Ottawa did not cheat for effort very often. That is crediting DJ. Just about the accuracy of the quote,
 
  • Like
Reactions: BonHoonLayneCornell
I think his quote is his quote. IMO he was saying Florida had to get its act together effort wise primarily. You can be a player that is hard to play against when you give it. But you need to give it. My point was he did not say "Ottawa is very hard to play against". He said they play with some jam and they play hard. He was trying to prompt more effort out of the way Florida was playing at the time.

Not about bias. I even said Ottawa did not cheat for effort very often. That is crediting DJ. Just about the accuracy of the quote,
His quote is his quote, you're right. And you gave an opinion of what he meant by it, others have a different opinion, the exact meaning he wanted to convey isn't clear, as evidenced by the fact that people came to different conclusions.

Maybe you're right, only Walt knows.
 
  • Like
Reactions: BonHoonLayneCornell
Is it that big a difference? They play hard, they finish their checks, they hit, is that not all part of being hard to play against? They do have some guys who are not hard to play against but I think they also have some guys who are hard to play against & hopefully next yr they will build on that.
I think there is certainly room to interpret it as two different things. If our 5 on 5 goal differential is in Arizona Coyotes territory, we're not that hard to play against, even if we're full of effort, finishing every check, and beating the shit out of our opponents (which I also enjoy).

I think DJ has put together a team that plays with effort and lots of physicality, I don't think that can be argued at all. What he hasn't been able to figure out though is why we continue to have awful 5 on 5 results and why we look so lost in our zone, d zone giveaways are consistently near the bottom. This is all while the team has significantly better parts than it did 4 years ago.
 
I think there is certainly room to interpret it as two different things. If our 5 on 5 goal differential is in Arizona Coyotes territory, we're not that hard to play against, even if we're full of effort, finishing every check, and beating the shit out of our opponents (which I also enjoy).

I think DJ has put together a team that plays with effort and lots of physicality, I don't think that can be argued at all. What he hasn't been able to figure out though is why we continue to have awful 5 on 5 results and why we look so lost in our zone, d zone giveaways are consistently near the bottom. This is all while the team has significantly better parts than it did 4 years ago.
Do you think the injuries to goaltending all last yr had something to do with that & youth?
 
Do you think the injuries to goaltending all last yr had something to do with that & youth?
Our youth is 4 years older and we have significantly better pieces than DJs first year but the results are similar, that's the problem.

We've not had a team with pieces like the current Brady, Stu, Giroux, Bath, Cat in a very long time, even taking Norris out of the equation. To have a -27GD 5 on 5 is not acceptable out of this group.
 
Our youth is 4 years older and we have significantly better pieces than DJs first year but the results are similar, that's the problem.

We've not had a team with pieces like the current Brady, Stu, Giroux, Bath, Cat in a very long time, even taking Norris out of the equation. To have a -27GD 5 on 5 is not acceptable out of this group.
Our youth is 4 yrs older today, but you mentioned the last 4 yrs & in those yrs the young guys were maturing while still making mistakes. The results are not similar, the previous season they were one of the worse teams in the league while last season they were fighting for a playoff spot right to the end of the season, that's significant improvement. We could all see they were playing much better & were in most games & IMO it was losing the two NHL goalies that cost them a playoff spot near the end of the season.

I agree we have a much better team now going into next season but we still need to find some secondary scoring from the bottom six, that still has to be addressed. We counted on the top two lines all of last season with very little secondary scoring which account for the stats you mentioned as well as a lack of scoring from the defence which also goes to injuries with Chabot & Zub. There is nothing that can be done about injuries unless you have the depth to maintain your level of play until the regulars return, but our goalies & specifically Talbot was injured a lot last yr. The yr before Murray was the #1 goalie & was hurt most of the yr, goaltending has to be addressed for next season. I understand what you mean, but the coach can't be blamed for injuries & the team not having the depth to deal with it, hopefully that's what they are trying to fix for next yr.

Maybe the new ownership brings in new management or they pull the plug on this managment team early if they don't get off to a good start, but we can't blame management for injuries as much as we would like to. Better teams usually have better depth, some teams get lucky & a prospect turns into a star, we have been a little lucky this way & have a few prospects we hope take the next step & make the team better & add some depth. I think they have the makings of a playoff team next yr, but they have to address the goaltending situation with a goalie who can stay healthy & be a difference maker.
 
Our youth is 4 yrs older today, but you mentioned the last 4 yrs & in those yrs the young guys were maturing while still making mistakes. The results are not similar, the previous season they were one of the worse teams in the league while last season they were fighting for a playoff spot right to the end of the season, that's significant improvement. We could all see they were playing much better & were in most games & IMO it was losing the two NHL goalies that cost them a playoff spot near the end of the season.

I agree we have a much better team now going into next season but we still need to find some secondary scoring from the bottom six, that still has to be addressed. We counted on the top two lines all of last season with very little secondary scoring which account for the stats you mentioned as well as a lack of scoring from the defence which also goes to injuries with Chabot & Zub. There is nothing that can be done about injuries unless you have the depth to maintain your level of play until the regulars return, but our goalies & specifically Talbot was injured a lot last yr. The yr before Murray was the #1 goalie & was hurt most of the yr, goaltending has to be addressed for next season. I understand what you mean, but the coach can't be blamed for injuries & the team not having the depth to deal with it, hopefully that's what they are trying to fix for next yr.

Maybe the new ownership brings in new management or they pull the plug on this managment team early if they don't get off to a good start, but we can't blame management for injuries as much as we would like to. Better teams usually have better depth, some teams get lucky & a prospect turns into a star, we have been a little lucky this way & have a few prospects we hope take the next step & make the team better & add some depth. I think they have the makings of a playoff team next yr, but they have to address the goaltending situation with a goalie who can stay healthy & be a difference maker.
We added Sanderson, who was awesome, Giroux, Car, and had an unbelievable year our of Stutzle, only losing Norris, and we still had the same ES production.

We've improved on special teams, which won us games last year, but for the other 45 minutes of the game, we're getting crushed 5 on 5.
 
We added Sanderson, who was awesome, Giroux, Car, and had an unbelievable year our of Stutzle, only losing Norris, and we still had the same ES production.

We've improved on special teams, which won us games last year, but for the other 45 minutes of the game, we're getting crushed 5 on 5.
Because we are not getting the secondary scoring from the bottom six which has been mentioned & they are saying they will improve for next season. And given the defence they now have should also help increase defence scoring which was also down due to injuries. And if they can add a good goaltender who can stay healthy should also cut down on the goals against. These are the three areas that need to improve secondary scoring, defence scoring & goaltending. It's easier said than done especially if they are still filling holes with rookies or young prospects who need to learn the ropes.
 
We've improved on special teams, which won us games last year, but for the other 45 minutes of the game, we're getting crushed 5 on 5.

I posted this before, but I think it's instructive.

In terms of goals by period, breakdown:

[TABLE=collapse]
[TR]
[TD]GF[/TD]
[TD]GF in P1[/TD]
[TD]GF in P2[/TD]
[TD]GF in P3[/TD]
[TD]GF in OT[/TD]
[TD]GA[/TD]
[TD]GA in P1[/TD]
[TD]GA in P2[/TD]
[TD]GA in P3[/TD]
[TD]GA in OT[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]256[/TD]
[TD]77[/TD]
[TD]82[/TD]
[TD]91[/TD]
[TD]6[/TD]
[TD]266[/TD]
[TD]84[/TD]
[TD]98[/TD]
[TD]78[/TD]
[TD]6[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD][/TD]

[TD]15th[/TD]
[TD]22nd[/TD]
[TD]11th[/TD]
[TD]15th[/TD]
[TD][/TD]

[TD]4th[/TD]
[TD]11th[/TD]
[TD]26th[/TD]
[TD]13th[/TD]
[/TR]
[/TABLE]

P1: -7
P2: -16
P3: +13

*Note that rankings are in terms of total goals, so for GF it's a good thing and for GA it's a bad thing.

We were one of the worst teams in the league for allowing goals in the 1st period, and one of the best for allowing goals in the 3rd period.

One could argue that scoring effects were in play whereby opposing teams didn't really need to pad the goal totals if they were already winning in the 3rd.

Being behind the eight ball much more often than not is a bit of a microcosm of how our entire season went, where we were trying to catch-up from behind in the standings just as we were in individual games.
 
Last edited:
I posted this before, but I think it's instructive.

In terms of goals by period, breakdown:

[TABLE=collapse]
[TR]
[TD]GF[/TD]
[TD]GF in P1[/TD]
[TD]GF in P2[/TD]
[TD]GF in P3[/TD]
[TD]GF in OT[/TD]
[TD]GA[/TD]
[TD]GA in P1[/TD]
[TD]GA in P2[/TD]
[TD]GA in P3[/TD]
[TD]GA in OT[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]256[/TD]
[TD]77[/TD]
[TD]82[/TD]
[TD]91[/TD]
[TD]6[/TD]
[TD]266[/TD]
[TD]84[/TD]
[TD]98[/TD]
[TD]78[/TD]
[TD]6[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD][/TD]

[TD]15th[/TD]
[TD]22nd[/TD]
[TD]11th[/TD]
[TD]15th[/TD]
[TD][/TD]

[TD]4th[/TD]
[TD]11th[/TD]
[TD]26th[/TD]
[TD]13th[/TD]
[/TR]
[/TABLE]

P1: -7
P2: -16
P3: +13

*Note that rankings are in terms of total goals, so for GF it's a good thing and for GA it's a bad thing.

We were one of the worst teams in the league for allowing goals in the 1st period, and one of the best for allowing goals in the 3rd period.

Being behind the eight ball much more often than not is a bit of a microcosm of how our entire season went, where we were trying to catch-up from behind in the standings just as we were in individual games.
Stats are all good & well, but isn't there something missing from stats like injuries for example? Also if you are not getting secondary scoring from your bottom six than your top six has to play more minutes & when they play more they make more mistakes. Stats are great, but they are also misleading in that they don't take into account that the two AHL goalies are not going to be as good as the two NHL goalies just by definition.

IMO the team's youth has a lot to do with their problems & hopefully they are slowly correcting that although they will still be adding young players for the next few yrs. IMO they are improving & last yr was an example of that given they were in the playoff race much longer than the previous season & isn't that what counts the most. These stats should improve if they can get consistent goaltending which means their goalies need to stay healthy & if they can get more secondary scoring which they are trying to improve. No one will care what the stats are if they can make the playoffs next yr, but they need to be lucky & avoid major injuries.
 
Because we are not getting the secondary scoring from the bottom six which has been mentioned & they are saying they will improve for next season. And given the defence they now have should also help increase defence scoring which was also down due to injuries. And if they can add a good goaltender who can stay healthy should also cut down on the goals against. These are the three areas that need to improve secondary scoring, defence scoring & goaltending. It's easier said than done especially if they are still filling holes with rookies or young prospects who need to learn the ropes.
Secondary scoring isn't the issue.

2019-2020: first year of DJ as an NHL head coach. New systems, right at the peak garbage of our rebuild.
Brady led the team in scoring with 44 points in 71 games.
Our D consisted of Chabot, Demelo, Zaitsev, Hainsey, Boro, and Brann. 5v5 goalie SV % was .921, league avg was .924. 7 players over 30 points.
We were on pace for 180 5 on 5 goals against

On pace for 148 5v5 goals scored.


2022-2023
DJ has had 4 years, should have good D structure in place. D consists of a "Prime" Chabot, Zub, Sanderson, Hamonic, an older and better Brann, and some parts of Chychrun. Team SV % was .914, League average was .921. 8 players over 30 points, 5 players over 60 points.

We had 178 5 on 5 goals against.

We scored 152 goals.

These two teams shouldn't be in the same stratosphere. We aren't better scoring than 4 years ago in addition to not being better letting goals in.
 
Stats are great, but they are also misleading in that they don't take into account that the two AHL goalies are not going to be as good as the two NHL goalies just by definition.

We lost 7 games in a row from October 27th to November 10th.

Anton Forsberg was 0-4 over that span. Talbot was 0-2. They split a game which they also lost.

We weren't playing our AHL goalies.

I'm not saying we can't improve, or that injuries weren't a factor, but even when we had our tandem playing we had our worst stretch of the season.
 
Secondary scoring isn't the issue.

2019-2020: first year of DJ as an NHL head coach. New systems, right at the peak garbage of our rebuild.
Brady led the team in scoring with 44 points in 71 games.
Our D consisted of Chabot, Demelo, Zaitsev, Hainsey, Boro, and Brann. 5v5 goalie SV % was .921, league avg was .924. 7 players over 30 points.
We were on pace for 180 5 on 5 goals against

On pace for 148 5v5 goals scored.


2022-2023
DJ has had 4 years, should have good D structure in place. D consists of a "Prime" Chabot, Zub, Sanderson, Hamonic, an older and better Brann, and some parts of Chychrun. Team SV % was .914, League average was .921. 8 players over 30 points, 5 players over 60 points.

We had 178 5 on 5 goals against.

We scored 152 goals.

These two teams shouldn't be in the same stratosphere. We aren't better scoring than 4 years ago in addition to not being better letting goals in.
Secondary scoring was an issue last yr, it has been mentioned numerous times, even Dorion said they have to improve the bottom six for next season. You need good defencemen to have good structure, remember Zaitsev, he was roasted on here for yrs. They should have much better defence next season because they have better defencemen now, but they also have to stay healthy given both Chabot & Zub were also injured last yr which resulted in less defensive production.

I agree that our goals against is a big problem, but that also goes to injuries to both NHL goalies & the defence. That's the problem with stats they don't take injuries into account, they make no distinction between NHL goalies & AHL goalies, no distinction between AHL replacement players & NHL players, they just simple record what has happened without any description why.
 
We lost 7 games in a row from October 27th to November 10th.

Anton Forsberg was 0-4 over that span. Talbot was 0-2. They split a game which they also lost.

We weren't playing our AHL goalies.

I'm not saying we can't improve, or that injuries weren't a factor, but even when we had our tandem playing we had our worst stretch of the season.
Yes, while those guys had some good games they also had some stinkers at bad times. And when we needed great goaltending on that western trip both goalies were injured & we had to go with two goalies with next to no NHL experience. Goaltending was a huge problem last yr & IMO was probably the biggest reason they didn't have enough pts to make the playoffs.
 
Yes, while those guys had some good games they also had some stinkers at bad times. And when we needed great goaltending on that western trip both goalies were injured & we had to go with two goalies with next to no NHL experience. Goaltending was a huge problem last yr & IMO was probably the biggest reason they didn't have enough pts to make the playoffs.

One red flag I did identify going into last season was that, among our contemporaries which included New Jersey, Buffalo, Detroit, Anaheim, etc., we were the only team with good goaltending, with Anton Forsberg's .913.

Every other team at our level had sub .900 goaltending.

My concern was that it would regress, and it did, whether due to injuries, or whatever, it doesn't necessarily matter.

Sometimes it can be hard to delineate between good goaltending and an average goaltender playing in front of a good team. Conversely, an average goaltender in front of a bad team will look like a terrible goalie.

I don't think we were particularly good defensively two years ago, but Forsberg had good stats, and he basically made us look better than we were.
 
  • Like
Reactions: Bileur
We added Sanderson, who was awesome, Giroux, Car, and had an unbelievable year our of Stutzle, only losing Norris, and we still had the same ES production.

We've improved on special teams, which won us games last year, but for the other 45 minutes of the game, we're getting crushed 5 on 5.
I agree with you. The excuses are all used up. Be in the playoffs all season. No chasing or scrambling or streaks. Consistant hockey from start to finish. If it's the 8th spot from the start...perfect.
 
  • Like
Reactions: Bileur
Yes, while those guys had some good games they also had some stinkers at bad times. And when we needed great goaltending on that western trip both goalies were injured & we had to go with two goalies with next to no NHL experience. Goaltending was a huge problem last yr & IMO was probably the biggest reason they didn't have enough pts to make the playoffs.
the NHL today is a dynamic league. Virtually nothing stands still.

the speed of the game, the harsh stop/start style that it is played in, pretty much guarantees you injuries. It allows body checking and into boards that are fairly stiff and fairly unforgiving.

A salary Cap, FA at 27 or 7 years of service. Pretty much ensures that each year 1-2 top 6 spots open up, 1-2 bottom six and 1-2 Dmen . Some of these spots open due to injuries and not just player movement.

NHL teams today are in a perpetual tail chase.. What we saw from TB is unique. Look at Colorado.

And so, a "wait until next year, when player x in back".. is compounded by, we now have 3-6 new holes.

On the fly adjustment... quality structure and system in play is your sole protection today..

Did DJ do enough? And did Dorion do enough?

I personally have no idea. I now have to sit and wait for next year's 3-6 holes to develop and see how they are overcome. Inevitably, a time will come when, regardless of the validity of the excuse(s), I no longer wish to hear it.
 
  • Like
Reactions: aragorn
Secondary scoring was an issue last yr, it has been mentioned numerous times, even Dorion said they have to improve the bottom six for next season. You need good defencemen to have good structure, remember Zaitsev, he was roasted on here for yrs. They should have much better defence next season because they have better defencemen now, but they also have to stay healthy given both Chabot & Zub were also injured last yr which resulted in less defensive production.

I agree that our goals against is a big problem, but that also goes to injuries to both NHL goalies & the defence. That's the problem with stats they don't take injuries into account, they make no distinction between NHL goalies & AHL goalies, no distinction between AHL replacement players & NHL players, they just simple record what has happened without any description why.

Probably our biggest acquisition for the bottom 6 last year was Tyler Motte. He couldn't score (9 points in 38 games with us). He gets reacquired by the Rangers and scores at a 34 P/82 game pace. Nick Paul leaves Ottawa and automatically scores more.

Talented players like Stü, Brady and company are going to score, especially on the power play. But our team struggles to generate offense 5-on-5. Haven't checked the stats but we seem to be sloppy breaking out of our own end and moving the puck cleanly into the attacking zone. Bottom 6 players are rarely going to make something out of nothing; you need to put them in a position to succeed. We don't seem to do that year after year under DJ Smith.
 
  • Like
Reactions: Mr Hat and Bileur
Probably our biggest acquisition for the bottom 6 last year was Tyler Motte. He couldn't score (9 points in 38 games with us). He gets reacquired by the Rangers and scores at a 34 P/82 game pace. Nick Paul leaves Ottawa and automatically scores more.

Talented players like Stü, Brady and company are going to score, especially on the power play. But our team struggles to generate offense 5-on-5. Haven't checked the stats but we seem to be sloppy breaking out of our own end and moving the puck cleanly into the attacking zone. Bottom 6 players are rarely going to make something out of nothing; you need to put them in a position to succeed. We don't seem to do that year after year under DJ Smith.
Motte started off well and was good on the PK.. He was injured and was not the same when he came back. He should have been a 4th liner vs a 3rd liner.
Roster construction/Depth issue... Teams that want to compete need to evaluate their rosters well.
 
Secondary scoring was an issue last yr, it has been mentioned numerous times, even Dorion said they have to improve the bottom six for next season. You need good defencemen to have good structure, remember Zaitsev, he was roasted on here for yrs. They should have much better defence next season because they have better defencemen now, but they also have to stay healthy given both Chabot & Zub were also injured last yr which resulted in less defensive production.

I agree that our goals against is a big problem, but that also goes to injuries to both NHL goalies & the defence. That's the problem with stats they don't take injuries into account, they make no distinction between NHL goalies & AHL goalies, no distinction between AHL replacement players & NHL players, they just simple record what has happened without any description why.
So last year we finished with 259 goals scored. Pittsburgh was 16th with 261. We had a pretty major jump from the year prior and definitely a little more depth scoring easily bumps us up a few spots.

Goals against we gave up 270 and LA was 16th with 254. We need a bigger jump on D than we do on offence but the good news there is Chychrun being onboard and it being pretty unlikely we have 7 starters next year in net.
 
  • Like
Reactions: NyQuil
So last year we finished with 259 goals scored. Pittsburgh was 16th with 261. We had a pretty major jump from the year prior and definitely a little more depth scoring easily bumps us up a few spots.

Goals against we gave up 270 and LA was 16th with 254. We need a bigger jump on D than we do on offence but the good news there is Chychrun being onboard and it being pretty unlikely we have 7 starters next year in net.
How many of those goals were scored by the top two lines & how many goals were scored by the bottom six? IMO the top two lines were obviously way ahead & bottom six scoring is what needs to improve dramatically going into next yr. I agree the goals against have to improve as well & hopefully with a good #1 goalie that will improve as will the defence with the D we have now. Hopefully, Norris offsets the loss of DBC in the scoring department.

Probably our biggest acquisition for the bottom 6 last year was Tyler Motte. He couldn't score (9 points in 38 games with us). He gets reacquired by the Rangers and scores at a 34 P/82 game pace. Nick Paul leaves Ottawa and automatically scores more.

Talented players like Stü, Brady and company are going to score, especially on the power play. But our team struggles to generate offense 5-on-5. Haven't checked the stats but we seem to be sloppy breaking out of our own end and moving the puck cleanly into the attacking zone. Bottom 6 players are rarely going to make something out of nothing; you need to put them in a position to succeed. We don't seem to do that year after year under DJ Smith.
Breaking out of our own end should improve next season with Chabot, Sanderson, Chychrun & Zub as our top 4 D.

the NHL today is a dynamic league. Virtually nothing stands still.

the speed of the game, the harsh stop/start style that it is played in, pretty much guarantees you injuries. It allows body checking and into boards that are fairly stiff and fairly unforgiving.

A salary Cap, FA at 27 or 7 years of service. Pretty much ensures that each year 1-2 top 6 spots open up, 1-2 bottom six and 1-2 Dmen . Some of these spots open due to injuries and not just player movement.

NHL teams today are in a perpetual tail chase.. What we saw from TB is unique. Look at Colorado.

And so, a "wait until next year, when player x in back".. is compounded by, we now have 3-6 new holes.

On the fly adjustment... quality structure and system in play is your sole protection today..

Did DJ do enough? And did Dorion do enough?

I personally have no idea. I now have to sit and wait for next year's 3-6 holes to develop and see how they are overcome. Inevitably, a time will come when, regardless of the validity of the excuse(s), I no longer wish to hear it.
Agreed.
 

Ad

Upcoming events

Ad