(Apologies - this is long winded.)
Good post JAD.
I'd like to offer some counterpoints and thoughts...
As I have said in the past I think Claude is a good coach. He brought structure to Boston when they needed structure. He has helped to teach many players that have come through the Boston system to play a well rounded game, teaching many the disciplines of defense.
Agreed.
Boston through the years has transitioned from a team that tries to out score or out muscle their opponent to a team built from the goalie outwards with a team emphases on defense, or at least players being responsible defensively. There is a general concusses that a team has to be able to play defense in the playoffs in order to win the Stanley Cup. Claude is a coach that believes in that philosophy and tries to instill that mentality into his players. That is fine. That is good. It is a solid philosophy and a foundation that every team needs.
Agreed.
Claude's teams through the years have always played a conservative systematic attack that relies more on the ability to capitalize on the opponents mistakes (forcing a turnover) and playing a third man high, defensemen pinching in along the boards, and a continuous cycle of the puck to the point for one timers or inlet passes. Often the Bruins dump the puck into the offensive zone peel off for a line change and hope to capitalize on the opponent making a mistake coming out of their zone by clogging up the neutral zone and slowing the pace of the game. In the past this has worked reasonably well as many of Claude's teams have been in the top 10 for goals scored. Unfortunately, that game plan does not seem to be working as efficiently this year.
I don't agree with this. Julien's early teams were all about puck possession. The heavy cycle game. The whole D to D to D set up they used was designed to control the puck and the flow of the game. They weren't a dump and change team like Dave Lewis' Bruins. And they weren't a team that relied heavily on the neutral zone trap. They didn't get the puck up ice quickly, everything was done as a 5man unit, under control, with possession.
That is NOT their game plan this year. That was not even their game plan last year. They no longer keep 5 guys in the Dzone and leave all together. They constantly fly the wings out of the zone and their breakout passes (often indirect passes), look like dump-outs but that's only because the TV only shows the Dzone and not the patterns being skated in the neutral zone. They are stretch plays. They work on them constantly. Even after practice, when guys have time to work on individual skills, they take it on themselves to practice the timing of picking up those passes and they practice picking up pucks offs the walls.
They also don't rely on the cycle the way they used to. I remember seeing someone say that they do a few weeks back, so I counted the number of times they ran a cycle in the game against the Panthers that night. It was 3. The first cycle wasn't even attempted until the second half of the second period. 2 of the 3 cycles were attempted by Krejci, and the other one was attempted by Hayes. They just don't play that way anymore.
They're a team that is now trying to get the puck up ice quickly. They're a team that's trying to attack with speed and stretch passes. They're a team that's trying to be more dynamic in the offensive zone, activating the defense so they can be a team that attacks from all angles and is harder to contain. It's worked in that they generate a ton of shots but it's also failed in terms of then capitalizing on those chances.
Fwiw, I don't buy the line that the shots they take are all perimeter either. I watched that Hawks game the other night. They had a breakaway, several 2on1's, Backes at the top of the crease, Schaller at the top of the crease, Spooner in close off the post. Krug in the high slot. Czarnik at the side of the net... And that was just the first period. How many breakaways did Chicago have? None. How many odd man rushes? One, in the last minute. So it's confusing and it's frustrating, but it's not make-believe. They did out chance that beast of a team. They did take more shots from quality areas than than the Hawks.
It is possible the team simply does not have the depth through the line up to be as successful as in years past. But more likely problems stem from a combination of: 1) injuries and recovery times to key players disrupting the cohesive chemistry needed for the system to function properly, and 2) opponents analyzing and adjusting with counter measures to Boston's now familiar game plan, 3) a lack of secondary scoring depth on the wings.
I agree with 1 & 2 more than #3. If teams really had the Bruins systems figured out, they wouldn't get so badly outshot. No coach writes up a game plan that says, "We'll give up 6 odd man rushes and a dozen shots inside the house, we'll let them have the puck for most of the game and somewhere in all that we'll get our chances and bury them. After all, it's not like Rask is a great goalie."
What seems to be missing more so this year than in past successful years to Boston's offensive attack is: 1) a heavy forecheck, 2) carrying the puck in and setting up in the offensive zone, 3) crashing of the net for screens and rebounds, but most importantly, 4) a constant and sustained threat from the point. For some reason it seems that much of the offense this year is generated by perimeter play and one timers followed by pealing off into a defensive posture. This falling back into a defensive posture may be a result of trying to over compensate for defense lapses and shortcomings.
1) I agree that they're not a heavy team up front. 2) I think the idea that they don't carry it in is wrong, and would suggest you count the number of carry-ins vs dump-ins next game. I counted in the Panthers game and the numbers were heavily in favor of carry-ins. The idea that they don't set up as much in the offensive zone, I think comes back to the fact that they don't cycle as much. Krejci in particular is a guy who likes to set up and cycle but that's not the young man's game. Young guys are much less "set it up" and much more fly around. The plays they're trying to run are all high motion plays like scissors, high rotations, D-dives and give/go's... Marchand and Pasta are great at them. Spooner and Czarnik are also really effective together. But there is also a clash of cultures/styles/habits at work here. 3) I agree they need to crash and get to the net more. I think that's why we've seen guys like Schaller and Nash in the middle-6. They're not getting those net-front elements from the Spooners and Czarniks so they're looking for it anywhere they can find it, but as we've found out, those guys can't finish. I think the hope is that they'll cause problems regardless. Set screens and battle for position... I think that's why they like a Landeskog more than a Duchene. Lando has the frame and mentality to do those things but also the ability to finish. 4) I agree with #4 as well. There's Krug and... ? Chara is stuck in cement. McQuaid too. They help defenisvely and they're big parts of their top10 penalty kill but they're roadblocks for what they're trying to do in the offensive zone. Colin Miller was starting to show some confidence and looked to be turning the corner right before he got hurt, so there's hope there. And Carlo has that young man's mentality to step into seams and activate. That's how he's scored his goals this year. McAvoy has it too, but he's not going to help the here and now.
The biggest on ice short coming this team has is an overall lack of defensive talent. I do think they lack finishers and a backup goalie but your points about the defense stand. Chara is no longer able to dominate as defensively as he once did. Carlo is smooth skating, big, and loaded with potential that projects into a solid defensive defenseman. He is still learning the game at this level. For the most part the defense is slow of foot and constructed of defensive defensemen; outside of Krug, and C. Miller (and Morrow) when he plays, the team has no one who even resembles an offensive threat from the blue line. When I speak of offensive threat from the point I am referring to someone who can generate 40 - 50+ assists and cause the opponent fits with his puck movement. This is the same problem that has plagued the team the past two seasons. When the Bruins can fix this I believe much of what ails the Bruins anemic offense will be solved. Much hope at the moment resides in McAvoy developing into such a player, however such expectations by fans should be tempered so as he not be viewed as an immediate savior. McAvoy has all the tools and will most likely contribute right away, but full impact may still be years away. Barring a trade for an established defenseman that can alleviate some of this offensive need and compliment Krug, (and to a lesser extent C. Miller / Morrow) the Bruins / Claude will have to make do with those he has. Unfortunately Claude prefers seasoned supposedly more disciplined veterans to the inexperience and inconsistency of younger players. Claude's job is to win games now, not teach what he may consider the basics of defensive hockey; this isn't a developmental league.
I say all this because Claude's system generates much of it's offense through a cycle of the puck to the point. Give him pointmen who actually know what to do with the puck once they get it and who are also defensively responsible and I believe we wouldn't even be talking about "should they fire Claude".
Agreed on most counts.
Adding a second Krug-type would do wonders for this offense. I think Colin Miller was starting to show signs of blossoming into a real NHL offense-man before he got hurt. McAvoy is obviously the hope down the line, and to a lesser extent Grzlyk and Lauzon. Chara and McQuaid are like anchors to this offense, but at the same time they're major factors to a top10 PK.
However, with that said there are still valid things about Claude's coaching style, in game decisions, and adaptability that raise questions. The big question is two parts: 1) is Claude the problem that currently ails the team? 2) Is Claude the best person to be coaching the team going forward with the direction management wants to take the team?
I agree that there are valid complaints with Claude, but I think most complaints are off the mark. IMO, this team has adapted. Lots of things folks point to as in-game decisions are straight-up misunderstandings. Like last night when folks said he sat Carlo for McQuaid when really it was just 8 seconds of crossover on a line change.
1) Personally, I don't believe he's the problem. The players don't believe he's the problem and want him to stay as their coach. Anyone who knows anything about hockey, in hockey, thinks he's A) a tremendous coach and B) doing the best he can with a mish-mashed, rebuild on the fly lineup.
2) I think that's a more valid question. I can understand folks just wanting a different voice and a fresh direction. Again, for me personally, I see the major changes he's made to his systems, and I think the shots for/against are an indicator that the "systems" work. A coach can only do so much and what he's done is put in a system that generates shots for and denies shots against better than any team in the league. The lack of finish, IMHO, is on the players. You can lead a horse to water, but you can't make it drink. I also think the systems we're seeing now are only going to look better as the team gets more mobile on the back end and faster up front with a finisher like Senyshyn.
Personally, I think the current situation is a double edged sword. I believe Claude's system and the players adhering to it result in their ability to be competitive, keep games close; thus giving them the potential to win games even when they maybe shouldn't. I also think it is Claude's strict adherence to the systematic approach that causes the players to come out so "flat" at times with seemingly uninspired play. Yes, the team needs structure and defensive responsibility, but it also needs to allow players to be creative offensively and exploit their individual offensive talents. Claude's system at times can be restrictive and monotonous. I believe players need to have fun to excel. Nothing deflates a team more than to constantly play the prevent defense waiting to counter attack based on an opponent's mistake only to fall behind a goal or two.
I don't agree with these statements at all. Again, I don't think this is a team that spends the game sitting back hoping to counterattack. I don't see Pasta playing rigid. Or Marchand. Or when Spooner has a good game and Claude says he has all the ice time in the world for Ryan if he's going to play like that. Krug is a rover. Krejci doesn't strictly adhere to system patterns either, he's constantly turning away from pressure and against the flow of the play to create space.
I do think they come out flat too often and that is a legitimate complaint of Claude and the leaders/players in the room. But I don't think they come out flat because they're thinking, darn system only helped us generate 40 shots last game. This is going to be boring.
I think some of the players who have been here a number of years have had the "system" ingrained into their DNA...
I actually think there are only 2 players who suffer from this and they stand out (to me) because they're the ones doing things differently than the rest of the team. As I've stated repeatedly, the system has changed. But Krejci and Chara in particular still fall back into some of the old plays and patterns. Chara still goes D to D, even though all the forwards have blown the zone. And Krejci is still trying to cycle and/or find someone to "set things up" with.
My dilemma is that Claude has previously taken an up and coming team and lead them to a championship, and before I would let him go, I would have to seriously consider that he may be able to do the same with the next wave of up and coming players. In truth this year has never been about a championship, unless the bruins were to get incredibly lucky.
Agreed.
I would then conduct a search for a new coach that could encompass the best aspects of Claude's defensive system and integrate an up-tempo offensive system that relies on a heavy forecheck / puck pursuit that forces the opponent to move the puck before they are ready - thus creating mistakes. Of course this means the Bruins would have to be skating forcing the play offensively, not passively waiting for the play to come to them. I would expect the power play to be designed based upon 4 or 5 different set play formations and constantly moving; no standing still on the half wall with a constant cycle to the point for a one timer. Keep the opponent guessing. Always movement - it is so hard to cover a moving player. (of course JMO)
This is exactly what they've been trying to do. It's not perfect and not everyone is good at it, but this is what I see them trying to accomplish. This is what the Marchand-Pastrnak combo is. This is how their PP has been playing recently (and seeing more success) because of it. But it doesn't come naturally to everyone on the team... Which speaks to a team in transition, both in terms of style and personnel.
I would continue to build through the draft, establish which prospects are keepers and which ones are expendable for use in trade. I would also address the needs of the defense by acquiring someone established who can compliment Krug (C. Miller/Morrow) and allow McAvoy the time he needs. Upfront I would find another established 'true' RW and see which of the kids are ready to make the jump. From there I would then determine who should be retained from the 'place holders.'
Agreed.
I got a feeling that management hopes that Claude could finish out this year in some positive way. That should they even make the playoffs and even manage to win a couple of rounds that there are some that may not really want Claude to coach again next year; implying that there are some who want Claude to continue to coach. At this point Claude will have one year left on his current contract. The decision may be determined by how well the team plays out the remained of the year, to a lesser extent player usage, in game decisions, prospects readiness, and if management can upgrade the blue line.
If they decide to let Claude go then what they should do in a great PR move ownership/management should offer Claude another position elsewhere in the organization. Then regardless of whether he accepts it or not tell him he won't be coaching the team anymore that they got a new guy coming in. That way they aren't really firing him. If Claude accepts the position they can say he agreed to a promotion; if he says no, they can save face and say he turned it down and decided to leave the organization.
This bit is interesting. My take is that Sweeney likes Julien and Neely/Jacobs want what they want and they want it NOW! Like an infant having a tantrum. I think we're seeing Neely and Sweeney's first power struggle, or at least their first real disagreement. That partially explains why they're not out front in the media. They're not good at it, and they're not on the same page so rather than expose the disfunction they're staying out of sight.