Corso
Registered User
- Aug 13, 2018
- 743
- 777
completely agree on what you’re saying about the rarity of teens in the NCAA and it was part of my post about how limited the impact will be for some leagues.
All we know right now is this agreement will just mean some of the U Sports guys get to play higher end hockey for longer. Best CHL players will be drafted. The best undrafted CHL players are still going to take NHL contracts. In the first few years of this agreement, NCAA is getting a stab at already picked over players.
The question is what happens down the road, and where do the best players play. But I think that’s really hard to say right now. We can’t automatically assume every non NHL draft pick caliber CHLer wants to go to American college as a 20/21 year old freshman, and we can’t assume every non NHL draft pick caliber American 16 year old wants to go to the CHL. Unless I could guarantee myself a big role in London I’d much rather play a ton of minutes in the USHL than have to live in a different country. Chicago is definitely more attractive than a ton of OHL teams.
Not saying the fallout you mention is out of the question but the bolded logic is far from a guarantee.
Honestly very hard to say how this will look in ten to fifteen years time. Does the CHL keep the scholarship packages for the players who do not elect to pursue a pro career even though the NCAA offers full ride packages? Does the CHL keep the same standard contract agreement basically tying players to the league through their 19 year old season? Does the NHL keep the NHL-CHL transfer agreement? Does the NHL still sign drafted CHL players after two years even if they decide to take the NCAA route?
I would venture to guess that the CHL keeps the scholarship money even for players that go the NCAA route. There are a lot of teams in the league that bring in millions of dollars (yes I know expenses also run in the millions but revenue is revenue) and the optics would not be good for the league to say "sure, we treat these players as pros and expect them to act like pros and charge the fans 25-35 bucks a ticket to see them play but hey they're just amateurs so why should we take care of things like an education" They already had to settle a multi million dollar lawsuit over minimum wage issues and begged the respective provincial and state governments to exempt them from labor and anti-trust laws; so no I can't see them taking any benefits away from players unless they want further law suits.
If the CHL continues to provide benefits like a scholarship package and weekly stipends then I really can't see many players opting for the Chicago Steel over the London Knights or even the Saginaw Spirit. In fact I would venture to guess that the CHL will further expand into the U.S. I'm sure the OHL would love to put a team in the Buffalo area while the QMJHL would venture into the New England area are and the WHL would finally penetrate into California. In somewhat ironic fashion, this would be very beneficial to USA Hockey, as more elite, free to play and world class coaching and development would now be offered to more American players.
So yes, I feel that in order for the USHL to maintain their position as a top Junior circuit, they would have to either amalgamate or at least maintain a partnership with the CHL giving them a defined territorial boundary. If not, I really don't see how they could compete.