Speculation: Caps General Discussion (Coaching/FAs/Cap/Lines etc) - 2020 Offseason Pt. 1

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txpd

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Man, I was in that sea on humanity outside the arena and the roar when he scored was deafening. One of the coolest experiences of my life. Pretty sure that was the highest I've ever jumped too. So awesome and will never get old.

I will hear Doc Emrick say, "Its Eller. Its 4 to 3 Capitals." for as long as I live.
 

OV Rocks

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What kind of a winger could we conceivably get with our 1st round pick this year? I think adding some on the RW who can rotate with Oshie on the second and third lines and give us three lines that can really score would be a huge boost.


I am interested in Galchenyuk as a 3rd line winger. I feel like he has kind of bounced around a bit over the last few years but the talent is still there. I posted it somewhere else and a Habs fan said that he and Eller actually had some pretty good chemistry together when they played in Montreal. I wouldn't mind seeing a 3rd line of say Galchenyuk-Eller-McJesus. An actual scoring 3rd line
 

pman25

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Don't really see Galchenyuk as any meaningful improvement over Panik tbh. I thought Panik was fine towards the end of the season, he may get another shot at the 3rd line.

I see it as McMichael-Eller-Panik /// Hagelin-Dowd-Hathaway for the bottom 6 right now.

I'm not exactly thrilled with that, but think its okay. Maybe they could go after a guy like Andreas Johnsson from Toronto as they look to clear cap.
 

HecticGlow

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That Kempny pass tho...

This is why I'm cautious about moving on from Kempny too quickly. He can make plays better than anyone on our blue line not named Carlson or Orlov, and would be roughly a 30 point a season D-man if he can stay healthy. For $2.5million, there's a lot of value you can get from him. Giving up on him now, after a challenging return from serious injury, could be the next in our Niskanen/Burakovsky-type regrets.
 

Langway

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Yeah, I don't think there's really any money to put toward a depth forward absent Panik or Hagelin being moved. Sprong & CMM will be the hopes...or maybe some other Connolly-like reclamation project type available for ~$1M.

As to what winger they could add, Puljujarvi could very likely be had for their first rounder. I don't know if that's enough reliability or the right fit altogether but it might work with the right structure. I believe he has four years of RFA remaining so given their window and his likely low cap hit for at least next season that may be sensible. He's still just 22 and put up about a point per game in Finland last season. Good size as well, more than any of the later first round forwards this year. The downside would be that he's a year away from being arbitration-eligible so they'd only get one fairly cheap season if he does well. Depending on their thoughts on Sprong I could see this being rationalized. Alexander Nylander may be another possibility as far as righty wingers go but Puljujarvi seems like a better fit for them. If Josh Anderson were a little younger and outside the division he would check off all of the boxes. Labanc or Fischer could also make sense but Labanc is due a raise and Fischer probably doesn't possess considerable upside. The UFA market for cheap righty wingers seems bare as-is so short of a Connolly shaking loose after the QO deadline it's likely an internal or trade scenario.

Defense and goaltenders should rightly comprise the majority of their attention, although one does wonder if a shake-up trade won't be a part of things as well.
 
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caps4cup

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This is why I'm cautious about moving on from Kempny too quickly. He can make plays better than anyone on our blue line not named Carlson or Orlov, and would be roughly a 30 point a season D-man if he can stay healthy. For $2.5million, there's a lot of value you can get from him. Giving up on him now, after a challenging return from serious injury, could be the next in our Niskanen/Burakovsky-type regrets.
I also think he is a guy that could look a lot better under a different coach. The problem is, they likely still need a top 4 upgrade to pair with Carlson, and Fehrevary should slot in somewhere next season. So unless Fehrevary is gonna be in the top 4 right away, one of Kempny or Siegenthaler likely needs to be moved. And considering their age, salary, and the fact that Sieges is a better PK’er, I’m not sure how it makes sense to keep Kempny over him.
 
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tenken00

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The Caps will also have a bonus overage penalty (performance-based bonuses that go over the salary cap of $81.5 million) of $419,749 for the upcoming season, as JJ Regan reports.

How much money does Brian MacLellan have to work with this offseason?

And the Caps could be on the hook for an additional $212,500 bonus overage penalty if Samsonov gets named to the all-rookie team (I doubt it, but it could happen) as reported by Frank Seravalli.

13 NHL teams will carry salary cap overages into next season - TSN.ca (yikes Dallas could be on the hook for a potential $5 million in cap penalties)

$419,749 isn't much, but every bit counts during a cap freeze.

JJ Regan further states that the Caps currently have 16 players signed for a total of a little more than $71.1 million. ($10.4 million in cap space).

After adding in the cap penalty and RFA Siegenthaler getting $1.25 million in cap hit (and letting go of RFA Boyd), the Caps will have 17 players with a cap hit of $72.775 million and $8.725 million in cap space.

With that $8.725, we need to sign a 3rd line Winger, top 4 Defender (Dillon or no), and a backup/tandem goalie to go along with Samsonov. And those 3 added will only make up 20 players under contract.

I'm assuming that #21 will be Fehervary with his $805,833 cap hit = 21 players, ~$73.580 million cap hit, and ~$7.92 million in cap space left.

We go with another young ELC Forward like a Sprong with his $750,000 cap hit (or a Malenstyn with $736,666) to make #22 = 22 players ~$74.33 million cap hit, and ~$7.17 in cap space.

Washington Capitals - CapFriendly - NHL Salary Caps

So about ~$7.17 million in cap space to sign a 3rd line winger, top 4 defender, and a goalie (unless we go Vanecek of course). We might definitely have to move someone.

Edit: Connor McMichael's ELC carries a cap hit of $925,000.

Edit Edit: actually Sprong is a RFA this year. So if the Caps retain him, it could be for a (slightly) bigger cap hit than his current one at $750,000 making the proposed cap space < $7.17 million.
 
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895

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1st would be a horrendous overpayment for Pulju at this point in time, imo.

Guy doesn't have a brain.
 

Langway

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1st would be a horrendous overpayment for Pulju at this point in time, imo.

Guy doesn't have a brain.
It would certainly not be without risks but the lack of appealing secondary assets could be problematic (barring EDM having interest in something involving Hagelin or Panik). Not sure Protas, Malenstyn or AJF would carry enough appeal in a straight swap. It's not something I'd advocate for, mostly because even in the worst-case scenarios before their pick at 25 there's going to be a solid prospect available. Maybe not one with McMichael's shot--Gunler, Amirov and Perreault may come closest--but a solid middle of the lineup player with speed and upside is guaranteed to be there. Moving back a few times and flipping some of those assets would be more sensible but banking on their internal options or whatever shakes out in UFA is fine. Third-line scoring shouldn't be that massive an issue one way or another if their overall approach is solid.
 

pman25

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1st would be a horrendous overpayment for Pulju at this point in time, imo.

Guy doesn't have a brain.
I don’t really know much on Puljujarvi but he just put up a big year in Finland, and given his high status as a prospect, I’m intrigued.

If we are trading a late first, Vince Dunn is still on my radar. Cost controlled defender that we could bridge with a two year deal. Though he isn’t a RHD, but I do like his game a lot. I think he only gets better and we’ve been missing a player like that since Schmidt left.
 
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AlexModvechkin8

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Yeah, I don't think there's really any money to put toward a depth forward absent Panik or Hagelin being moved. Sprong & CMM will be the hopes...or maybe some other Connolly-like reclamation project type available for ~$1M.

As to what winger they could add, Puljujarvi could very likely be had for their first rounder. I don't know if that's enough reliability or the right fit altogether but it might work with the right structure. I believe he has four years of RFA remaining so given their window and his likely low cap hit for at least next season that may be sensible. He's still just 22 and put up about a point per game in Finland last season. Good size as well, more than any of the later first round forwards this year. The downside would be that he's a year away from being arbitration-eligible so they'd only get one fairly cheap season if he does well. Depending on their thoughts on Sprong I could see this being rationalized. Alexander Nylander may be another possibility as far as righty wingers go but Puljujarvi seems like a better fit for them. If Josh Anderson were a little younger and outside the division he would check off all of the boxes. Labanc or Fischer could also make sense but Labanc is due a raise and Fischer probably doesn't possess considerable upside. The UFA market for cheap righty wingers seems bare as-is so short of a Connolly shaking loose after the QO deadline it's likely an internal or trade scenario.

Defense and goaltenders should rightly comprise the majority of their attention, although one does wonder if a shake-up trade won't be a part of things as well.

Definitely on board with 1st + Hagelin for Pulju. Leason is the only RW prospect in the system who projects to anything more than a grinder at the NHL level and he struggled a lot his first year as a pro. Pulju is 22 and could be a potential Oshie replacement next year if he continues to develop. He's big, fast, and has a great shot and played very well in Finland after leaving the Oilers.

Ovie-Kuznetsov-Wilson
Vrana-Backstrom-Oshie
Panik-Eller-Pulju
McMichael-Dowd-Hathaway
Sprong

A solid forward lineup that is a bit younger and quicker with more offense than last year's squad. And the bottom six looks much less redundant than it did this past season.
 

caps4cup

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Definitely on board with 1st + Hagelin for Pulju. Leason is the only RW prospect in the system who projects to anything more than a grinder at the NHL level and he struggled a lot his first year as a pro. Pulju is 22 and could be a potential Oshie replacement next year if he continues to develop. He's big, fast, and has a great shot and played very well in Finland after leaving the Oilers.

Ovie-Kuznetsov-Wilson
Vrana-Backstrom-Oshie
Panik-Eller-Pulju
McMichael-Dowd-Hathaway
Sprong

A solid forward lineup that is a bit younger and quicker with more offense than last year's squad. And the bottom six looks much less redundant than it did this past season.
I like the group overall but don’t see how it makes sense to start CMM on the 4th line with Dowd and Hathaway. He needs to play with skilled players. I’d just switch him with Panik and call it a day. If Panik isn’t happy being a 4th liner, or the cap becomes an issue, flip him. Having CMM as a top 9 forward that could potentially produce 30-40 points with his low cap hit is huge.

I would hope they can find him some PP time as well. I would put him or Vrana in OV’s spot on PP2, coming downhill on the left side and using their very good shots, going cross seam to a lefty forward for a one timer (either Eller, CMM, or Vrana) or back to Orlov up top for a one timer.
 

Ridley Simon

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I like the group overall but don’t see how it makes sense to start CMM on the 4th line with Dowd and Hathaway. He needs to play with skilled players. I’d just switch him with Panik and call it a day. If Panik isn’t happy being a 4th liner, or the cap becomes an issue, flip him. Having CMM as a top 9 forward that could potentially produce 30-40 points with his low cap hit is huge.

I would hope they can find him some PP time as well. I would put him or Vrana in OV’s spot on PP2, coming downhill on the left side and using their very good shots, going cross seam to a lefty forward for a one timer (either Eller, CMM, or Vrana) or back to Orlov up top for a one timer.
As I stated in an earlier post, I’d put CMM with Backstrom and Oshie. 2 defensively sound vets that can both pass and shoot and keep possession. I would say ideal for a young buck like McMichael.

move Vrana down w Eller and put Sprong on the other wing for a long look.

I’d trade Hathaway and play Panik w Dowd and Hagelin on the 4th line. Plus those are your main PK’ers as well.
 

Melkor

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Fun fact: Jakub Vrana has zero pts and a -8 in his last 15 postseason games. I mean when will they finally stop looking at him as forever "young and promising" and hold him accountable for this? Inexcusable. Idc what line you play on you gotta at least score anything in such sample size. Considering that he's an absolutely useless player when he's not scoring... well you gotta look at your trade options there
 

TheLegendOfPatPeake

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Fun fact: Jakub Vrana has zero pts and a -8 in his last 15 postseason games. I mean when will they finally stop looking at him as forever "young and promising" and hold him accountable for this? Inexcusable. Idc what line you play on you gotta at least score anything in such sample size. Considering that he's an absolutely useless player when he's not scoring... well you gotta look at your trade options there
That is certainly a player BMac is going to look hard at. Inconsistency has always been a issue for V but that isn’t the worst thing in the world. I remember a certain young Slovakian player who suffered from the same problem early in his career (he wore number 12 :)).

I will say IMO, they need more than just a change behind the bench. It feels like some of the group has become a bit ...maybe the word is stale? I’m not sure how to put it. I guess we shall see soon enough.​
 

caps4cup

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Fun fact: Jakub Vrana has zero pts and a -8 in his last 15 postseason games. I mean when will they finally stop looking at him as forever "young and promising" and hold him accountable for this? Inexcusable. Idc what line you play on you gotta at least score anything in such sample size. Considering that he's an absolutely useless player when he's not scoring... well you gotta look at your trade options there
He is actually one of, if not the best, play drivers on the team. His postseason play has been disappointing though nonetheless.
 
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