I'm confident that this year will be similar to last year. Low risk and medium reward contracts. Keep finding value and building depth while looking for opportunities to improve throughout the year. This means learning when to walk away (aka bye Zadorov and Lindholm).
Ideal/Predicted offseason:
Trade
Mikheyev/Hronek for Necas/KK
- Necas gets the Caufield contract - it's a fair deal and I think he will outplay that 7.85M number if he's on Petey's wing. I'm more comfortable paying Necas near 8M than Hronek at this point in time.
- KK has been a solid defensive centre to date. If Canucks don't sign Lindholm, there's a huge gap in our C depth. Parlaying Mikheyev's bad contract and filling a hole would be a great use of cap space. If this doesn't work out, buy KK out next year and it'll only be 1/3 of his contract since he's still under 25. The penalty will be quite minimal. Not to mention, JTM eventually should transition to the wing as he gets older. We have no long-term C prospects that have top six potential and KK has the ceiling to be a solid 2C. The fit is there, especially if he's flanked between Joshua and Garland - he's poised for success.
UFAs (mostly using AFP projections)
- Zucker 1Y $3M per -> Previous history with JR. Zucker was producing with guys like Carson, Kerfoot, and Sissons last year. Playing next to JT and Brock would be a great opportunity for him to produce surplus value for us. He could also play with Petey and Necas and that would push Hoglander back to the 4th line. He would be the forward version of Ian Cole this year. Alternatives: Danton Heinen, Domi, Roslovic
- Joshua 4Y $3.25M per -> Tocchet loves Joshua and he's really shown to be a solid player. Canucks give some term for Joshua to reduce the cap hit.
- Tanev 3Y $4.25M Per -> Self-explanatory. This might not be enough... alternatives I like are Carrier, Dumba and Chatfield.
- Myers/Dillon 2Y $3M per -> Bring two local guys back home. Contracts are reasonable given their age - big bodies that the Canucks want to build. Offense might be lacking from the back-end though.
- Hakanpaa 1Y $1.5M per -> This puts Juulsen as a 7D - right where he belongs. Hakanpaas a huge solid bottom pairing dman. Alternatives I like are DeAngelo, Lybushkin and Barrie.
Aman's been pretty good and I think he's ready to step up to a permanent 4C role. If not, Suter can play at 4C - great having positional flexibility throughout the lineup. Adding Necas and Zucker into the top six should give this team a huge offensive jolt. KK with Garland and Joshua flanked between them seems like a recipe for success - KK could be a better version of Bleuger. Suter is an adequate linemate for JTM and Brock, but sticking him on the 4th line to help Aman and Podz would be great depth. The offence is much better as Necas, Zucker and KK >>> Lindholm, Bleuger, Mikheyev. Is the defence any worse for wear? Tanev, Dillon and Hakanpaa can probably fill 80% of what we had last year. I think this roster gives us a competitive chance to do some damage in the playoffs while retaining flexibility and avoiding giving out long term deals to UFAs. The true window for cup contention is 2 years from now when Willander, DPetey and Lekk come into the lineup on ELCs. That's when we should truly go all-in.