I believe the goal of the multiple investigations launched is to answer this exact question.
Until those investigations are completed, no one has any idea which is more believable.
Seriously, how do people not realise this is what everyone should be doing?
On one hand, lots of sexual assault takes place and hockey culture is definitely not innocent so it seems believable.
On the other hand, theres allegedly text messages of this girl saying she only felt bad after the fact and it was her parents who brought things forward. Feeling bad after the fact doesnt make it a sexual assault, either.
I dont think its as weird as some on here/twitter do that they got a video, these kids have multi million dollar contracts so doing a video like that makes a lot of sense. On the other hand, its not unreasonable to think they made her do it to help them look innocent. Group sex in that generation also isnt as rare as a lot of people seem to think, I wont say its common but if youre under 30 I bet most people know multiple people who have been involved in it
What I do know is that people jumping to conclusions is stupid, and people saying as soon as the names come out their contracts should be immediately cancelled is a major overreaction