I understand what you are trying to say, and I understand that the draft really is a crap shoot and that a very small percentage of prospects are developed well enough to reach their true potential.
However, your original statement was that you believed that Jankowski WILL be a bust based on statistics from an old regime, scouting department, and draft philosophy.
And I agree with you on Todd button, his record as a scout has been extraordinarily poor with the Flames, but now with a larger scouting staff he is a much smaller part of "the whole".
I will also like to point out that perhaps Detroit and Nashvilles draft success is due to a strong foundation in player development rather than picking all the best prospects.
As of right now it seems that Jankowski is being given time to develop the proper way, playing in college to allow for more time to accumulate mass, but only time will tell how he develops and if he ever does.
Is it fair to put the blame on his shoulders though? I say absolutely not.
Look at his body of work at little more closely and you would realize he has had very little to work with. You have to remember he is not the one who acquires these picks, or even makes the final decision for that matter.
In his twelve years as head scout in Calgary he has had just four top twenty selections in the draft.
2001 - Chuck Kobasew (14th), Good Selection in a relatively weak draft
2002 - Eric Nystrom (10th), Mediocre selection in a relatively weak draft
2003 - Dion Phaneuf (9th), Great selection in a extremely deep draft
2011 - Sven Baertschi (13th), Undecided, but appears like a great selection
Then of the remaining seven first round picks you can only rule out Matt Pelech and Kris Chucko as guaranteed misses at this point. They were taken 24th, and 26th respectively which is historically an area in which a team would happily take an everyday NHL player.
From the span of 2002-2010, Todd Button had just three 2nd round picks to work with in nine years. To expand even further on that he only had one second round pick (Mitch Wahl) from 2004-2010.
With the lack of quality selections he has had to work with, is it really surprising that the organization as a whole has struggled to turn out players consistently? To me the blame should be put solely on the shoulders of Darryl Sutter who seemingly neglected the importance of player development and scouting.