HellFish89
Registered User
- Sep 28, 2018
- 123
- 112
I disagree. At this point in time, Lafreniere isn't a lock for 1st.IMO no one is going to challenge Lafreniere
I disagree. At this point in time, Lafreniere isn't a lock for 1st.
McDavid was a lock. Matthews was a lock. Dahlin was a lock. Hughes was a lock. Anyone who said otherwise was just doing it for the sake of being different.There’s never any lock for 1st overall. No matter how great the prospect, there is always people and noise that someone else is better. While I don’t disagree that he’s not a lock, you can’t call any prospect a lock for 1st overall, 10 months out from their draft.
McDavid was a lock. Matthews was a lock. Dahlin was a lock. Hughes was a lock. Anyone who said otherwise was just doing it for the sake of being different.
He's likely going to get the biggest bump from the Hlinka and well deserved. IMO no one is going to challenge Lafreniere but it'll be a very entertaining battle for 2nd best forward between him, Byfield, Perfetti, Raymond, Lundell and Holtz
Lafreniere vs. Lapierre. Battle of the "La's".
In all serious, I can see this guy going in the top 15 of the 2020 draft if he continues to grow a few centimeters and grow as a player.
Does anyone know why he only played 40 something games last year?
broken wrist I believe. I think he went like 8 games straight without a point upon returning too so if you take that into consideration his pts/game could have been even bettee
I don't think there is much evidence of the best prospects not going 1. I mean, in retrospect you can argue Hischier/Pettersson, and Pettersson should have been held in higher regards. But, Matthews, McDavid, MacKinnon and Dahlin were the best prospects in their draft, and have played like it. 2014 never had a clear #1, and 2012 was a mess. Hughes was clearly worthy of going 1OA, it may have been closer than this site claimed, but he was worthy of it. It's not like Kakko was a clear tier above.I think certain players are occasionally locks for 1OA due to circumstances other than who is the best prospect in the draft. I think a few recent drafts have shown that.
I don’t think that applies to Lafreniere. I think he could definitely be overtaken for 1OA. He’s probably the favorite for 1OA, but I think this draft is wide open at the top. I wouldn’t be surprised if there are five names in contention for 1OA the last month or two. I think it’s going to be that close.
Actually think it was the knee. And he had a concussion at the end of the season but came back for the playoffs and dominated.
Think if he had been healthy all year he'd have hit 70 points.
EDIT : First injury was elbow.
I don't think there is much evidence of the best prospects not going 1. I mean, in retrospect you can argue Hischier/Pettersson, and Pettersson should have been held in higher regards. But, Matthews, McDavid, MacKinnon and Dahlin were the best prospects in their draft, and have played like it. 2014 never had a clear #1, and 2012 was a mess. Hughes was clearly worthy of going 1OA, it may have been closer than this site claimed, but he was worthy of it. It's not like Kakko was a clear tier above.
I think you are and were overvaluing Laine. He played the less valuable position and was always insanely reliant on his line mates to generate chances. Matthews was the way better 5v5 player who could generate goals regardless of his line mates. Which has carried over to their NHL careers. I mean, Matthews had a track record advantage, but that’s not the only or primary reason he went 1st.We are talking pre-draft, not post draft. I think 2016 and 2019 are two drafts where that happened. I think 2017 was a draft where most teams whiffed. There might’ve been some unintentional bias against Pettersson being a Euro playing in Europe with skating and physique concerns, along with most of his best play coming in league play instead of international play, but I think NHL teams will admit they got that one wrong in retrospect.
I think 2017 was a situation where Matthews/Laine would’ve been a toss up if the hype and nationality factors were equalized, but they weren’t. Matthews was hyped for years as the next American star. That certainly plays a role. This was also at a time where Finland hadn’t yet been as established in producing players as the reputation they’ve started to gain in the last few years. I’m not stating Laine would’ve definitely went 1OA. I think it would’ve been very close, but it wasn’t and that was with Laine having an excellent draft season.
I think 2019 is also a draft where Hughes had built up enough hype that he was going 1OA barring character concerns or injury concerns. He didn’t have that good of a draft season. It’s not even clear he was the best NTDP player this season. Kakko also has a tremendous draft season, as well, yet Hughes still went first.
I think certain players build up enough of a reputation that there’s going to be a big reaction if a team decides against picking them first. That alone is going to bring added scrutiny to the pick, and I don’t think a lot of GM’s think the cost/benefit analysis there makes sense. If Hughes ends up a top 3-4 player in this draft and none of the top few players are generational level NHL’ers, there’s not going to be much pushback on the pick. Let’s say Shero wanted to pick Dach first, his job is on the line if he doesn’t get that selection right.
I think you are and were overvaluing Laine. He played the less valuable position and was always insanely reliant on his line mates to generate chances. Matthews was the way better 5v5 player who could generate goals regardless of his line mates. Which has carried over to their NHL careers. I mean, Matthews had a track record advantage, but that’s not the only or primary reason he went 1st.
I disagree with contention that Laine should have been closer and Matthews has shown to be as good if not a better goal scorer since (i mean he has 1 more goal in less games). I think Matthews ability to drive play was a huge factor. The ability to drive play is always a factor and always in evaluations. I think it’s just a difference between how you personally evaluate prospects rather than how the scouts did.Position factors in, and that’s probably why Matthews would’ve went 1OA, but I think the value of Laine’s best skill is enough to cancel the positional factors out. I think if you are getting a generational goal scorer, you take that player 1OA, barring a McDavid caliber prospect being available. I also think you are making too much of who is reliant on who in minor league hockey. I highly doubt that was part of the considerations for why Matthews went first.
And whether Laine goes first or second is near irrelevant. He wasn’t in contention for that pick and he should’ve been. That’s the whole point.
I disagree with contention that Laine should have been closer and Matthews has shown to be as good if not a better goal scorer since (i mean he has 1 more goal in less games). I think Matthews ability to drive play was a huge factor. The ability to drive play is always a factor and always in evaluations. I think it’s just a difference between how you personally evaluate prospects rather than how the scouts did.
Ovi clearly drives play due to his skating and shot generation. Maybe not as well as Malkin, but he’s never been reliant on his Center the way Laine always has.You keep saying this is about me, and I think you’ve made this point before. Plenty of people agreed with me. And Ovechkin never drove play on his line to the level that Mallon does, yet he went first.
Actually think it was the knee. And he had a concussion at the end of the season but came back for the playoffs and dominated.
Think if he had been healthy all year he'd have hit 70 points.
EDIT : First injury was elbow.