There would be no board… just one old guy in here yelling at the cloudsAnd how do you think this board reacts to missing the playoffs 12 years in a row?
There would be no board… just one old guy in here yelling at the cloudsAnd how do you think this board reacts to missing the playoffs 12 years in a row?
After I posted that I actually thought about it more. Let’s say we make the playoffs this season but then go in a deep dive rebuild. If we happen to follow the Sabres bumpy road even though in the last 10 years they’ve 17 first round picks. 10 top 10 picks 2 - 2nd OA picks and 2 - 1st OA picks. It would be 2035 and we still wouldn’t have made the playoffs again.There would be no board… just one old guy in here yelling at the clouds
Not one of your better posts - you know ownership is a major problemAnd how do you think this board reacts to missing the playoffs 12 years in a row?
And what if we get swept... again youre logic makes me worried about this team if youre twisting this muchAfter I posted that I actually thought about it more. Let’s say we make the playoffs this season but then go in a deep dive rebuild. If we happen to follow the Sabres bumpy road even though in the last 10 years they’ve 17 first round picks. 10 top 10 picks 2 - 2nd OA picks and 2 - 1st OA picks. It would be 2035 and we still wouldn’t have made the playoffs again.
As a person who has never gambled on card games or in Casino’s but does take allot of risk in my core business ventures I very much enjoy your breakdowns of these risk probability scenario’s.
I find them fascinating.
X 2.
Or should I say, "I also find these breakdowns congenial, most of the time and within generally consistent parameters , more often than not, where "not" is a broadly negative response and "often" is more than 1 time out of 1 times."
Thanks, that's kind of you to say. Like I said in my post, I know that it's a gross simplification to say that sports themselves are nothing but numbers. When the Simpsons mocked Monty Burns swapping out Daryl Strawberry for Homer Simpson "to play the percentages", I knew what kind of sports fans were being roasted back then; you younger folk might not remember that the early years of the Simpsons were contemporary with Bill James 'sabermetrics' works that started in the late 70s
But I mean, some edges are so flagrantly obviously correct, math-wise, that you just can't deny it. And the time will come when the second coming of Roger Nielson will attack these issues and iron this shit out.
I hope you don't mind, but once @kanadalainen and I join forces to make a sports stats bureau, I'm going to use that as our mutual endorsement
One area of probabilites that I find interesting (philosophically) is that I heard that Tom Duncan has faith in his chief analytics asset and one of the downstream effects is he doesn’t believe in the math on pure rentals at the TD. I would imagine that when you take into account the probability of winning a cup then step on it further with how much a rental actually impacts it then the math is probably ugly. Not saying draft picks are a slam dunk but I do find the TD rental phenomena interesting. Low marginal cost of the asset from a cap hit perspective but the high cost in acquisition price since you are renting the asset for a limited time.
That really sucks for Andrei Svechnikov, having a torn ACL this late in the season. Boston's ride to the ECF just got a bit easier.
Dallas is prob the only team that we can beat in a series...I like where the Jets are sitting at right now. If we're looking at the best path to the WCF, I think it's via a WC and going through the Pacific.
The team I really want to avoid is the Avs. I'd rather have the Stars and North Stars beat them up/eliminate them before facing the Avs.
Dallas is prob the only team that we can beat in a series...
That really sucks for Andrei Svechnikov, having a torn ACL this late in the season. Boston's ride to the ECF just got a bit easier.
Minnie has destroyed us every game this year... seattle is playing bowness system except the players are listening... Anze Kopitar still took over the last jets game...Minnesota, Seattle, LA, maybe Edmonton again
destroyed us? 1st game they did, second game we played with half our lineup out and everyone around here was happy with the way we played vs them and last game we dominated them but lost...Minnie has destroyed us every game this year... seattle is playing bowness system except the players are listening... Anze Kopitar still took over the last jets game...
If players buy in again, ill have more faith but wins against back to back teams doesnt have me planning the parade
We havent held a lead against the wild all season and have no answer for their trap... but hey sure...destroyed us? 1st game they did, second game we played with half our lineup out and everyone around here was happy with the way we played vs them and last game we dominated them but lost...
they sure did trap us by only allowing 48 shots....We havent held a lead against the wild all season and have no answer for their trap... but hey sure...