There’s a bit of hype surrounding Max Domi during this deadline season as if all that much has changed about him. He’s been forced to play higher in the lineup for a weak
Chicago team and while that may have bumped his numbers on the surface, a deeper dive shows that not to be the case.
Domi has 36 points in 53 games this season, a solid 56-point pace that suggests he can be a capable middle-six scorer for a contender. It would mark his highest point pace since 2018-19 when he scored 72 points. The problem is that those totals are devoid of context. They’re artificially inflated by Domi having a job on the top power play where he’s earning the highest share of ice time (67 percent) of his career. No one trading for Domi is going to seriously consider him for the top power play so that matters a lot less for his future value for a team. What does matter is what he’s doing at five-on-five where his 1.51 points per 60 is actually the lowest of his career. Ouch. Don’t be fooled by the minutes he’s getting, Domi is still the same modest scorer he’s always been.
And that’s always been the problem — his claim to fame is scoring and he doesn’t even do that very well. The rest of his game leaves a lot to be desired, especially defensively. Unless you really believe Domi’s presence causes Chicago’s goalies to save 18.3 goals above expected, there’s no reason to be impressed by his team-leading 46.7 percent goals percentage. It’s not real. What is real is his 39 percent expected goals rate, a horrid figure that’s below average on one of the league’s very worst teams. The biggest there is expectedly on defense where no Chicago forward has been on the ice for more expected goals against per 60 than Domi’s 3.87. In fact, only two forwards in the entire league have.
There are some nice aspects to Domi’s game like his ability to enter the zone and his playmaking — but there are far too many flaws to his game. The deficiencies make him ill-suited for a scoring role in the top six and a liability in a defensive role anywhere else. For all the talk about “playoff style,” it should be noted that Domi’s forechecking stats as tracked by Corey Sznajder might be the worst in the league.
The Blackhawks might get a nice haul for Domi based on his scoring totals and pedigree. Good for them if they do. But whatever team pays for it is buying a lemon.