This is a good point and I agree with you. I don't think we have a Kucherov or a Hedman or a Crosby or a Mackinnon or whoever on our team. That said, framing the question this way is decided a "hindsight is 20-20" approach. Names pop to mind instantly because they've already done so. Kucherov is Kucherov in our heads because he's done it. Kucherov has won a Hart and an Art Ross. If you asked me whether he'd ever do that in 2014-2015 when he was my stealth daily fantasy play every night on FanDuel... I would not have said "there's a name that's instantly popping to mind as a Hall of Famer that is going to separate Tampa into one of the elites of the elite." It could've just as easily been Killorn or Palat or Tyler Johnson taking that step into stardom at that time, or none of them! Even in 2011 when he won the Cup - Brad Marchand was
not going to become the player he has. Etc. Now, I'm not saying the Canes absolutely have one of those guys. But like... would you not take Andrei Svechnikov as someone who could do that up against most other 22-year-olds in the league? Could Aho not take another step? (Not even being our Mackinnon, could he be our Brayden Point? I'd argue he already is.) Who knows - Necas's production isn't looking unsustainable right now, I think it's matching his play (whether his play itself is unsustainable remains to be seen). Slavin doesn't really fit that bill but is he better than a couple of 1Ds from teams on that list? Sure, I think so (John Carlson comes to mind). Meanwhile, a lot of teams with those bonafide guys (Toronto, Edmonton) are perhaps a little more questionable to actually become one of these teams.
I agree with your last paragraph wholeheartedly. I might even take it further and say it almost
never makes sense for a team to go all-in, perhaps save for a "Last Dance"-type situation like the Bruins are in right now.
(Also, on a technicality, I think Burns is a Hall-of-Famer
)