I think that statistic is baked.
Sure the top 10 teams in points at American Thanksgiving are likely to make the playoffs. They are typically the really good teams.
So if you told me 42 out of 50 top 10 teams at Thanksgiving made the playoffs that would leave only 20 out of 30 safe. 66%.
fun with numbers.
I like numbers but I'm not understanding this, please explain.
Sorry, easier to explain my reasoning than typing it.
What my point is take the top 10 teams at Thanksgiving out of the equation.
Lets assume the top 10 will probably make the playoffs.
What I would be more interested to know is what percentage of teams sitting in the playoff spots 11-16 at Thanksgiving still hang on to their playoff spots.
So over the last five seasons, 77.5% of teams in a playoff spot at American Thanksgiving have went on to clinch a berth in the postseason. 62 out of 80. This is fact.
But if 9 out of the top 10 at Thanksgiving make it every year.
This leaves only 17 out of 30 that were sitting in the 11-16 spot in the playoffs at year end. 56.7%
That number makes the Thanksgiving stat much less important.