Proposal: Anaheim-Edmonton

[Fourier]

Gibson is 5th in GSAx since the last post:

NHL Goalie Advanced Stats 2024-2025

NHL Goalie Analytics, Goals Saved Above Expected

moneypuck.com

Anaheim has a legitimate chance at making the playoffs with their tandem so he might not even be available anymore...

For the Ducks to make the playoffs they probably have to play .750+ hockey down the stretch and that still might not be enough. They are 5-4-1 in their last ten games.

 

[tomd]

At the start of the season Verbeek said he wanted the team to be playing “meaningful games” in March and they are poised to do that. Trading Gibson would be a big step back unless the return was just too good to pass up.

 

[WhatTheDuck]

FWIW, money puck recently released a new model for tracking playoff and lottery odds. They currently show the Ducks with a 6.5% chance of making playoffs, and a 5% chance of landing the first overall pick.

NHL Playoff Odds -MoneyPuck 2025 Playoff & Cup Odds

NHL Playoff Odds updated many times a day. Stanley Cup Odds, Playoff seeding, and Draft Lottery Odds

moneypuck.com

 

[Whoshattenkirkshoes]

At the start of the season Verbeek said he wanted the team to be playing “meaningful games” in March and they are poised to do that. Trading Gibson would be a big step back unless the return was just too good to pass up.

Did they know Dostal was this good at that point?

 

[tomd]

Did they know Dostal was this good at that point?

Yes, I think they did since he had a pretty good season last year and a fantastic World Cup (or whatever they called it) this past summer. That said, I don't think they were comfortable that he could play 60 games and still hold up at this point. Between Dostal and Gibson, the Ducks are getting playoff goaltending every night.

 

[FiveTacos]

Yes, I think they did since he had a pretty good season last year and a fantastic World Cup (or whatever they called it) this past summer. That said, I don't think they were comfortable that he could play 60 games and still hold up at this point. Between Dostal and Gibson, the Ducks are getting playoff goaltending every night.

Some people seem to think that because it's a rebuilding team, then it really doesn't matter if your goalies (or everything else besides your young guys for that matter) are garbage some nights, since you aren't gonna win games anyway. But it's harder to preach system discipline to a young team if you can't count on your netminding. And truly reliable backups aren't as common/simple to acquire as some seem to think, or else no one would ever have a backup (or even short term starter) that they're frustrated by.

In trading Gibson they have to do the calculus ... A) what's is the value of what the difference between him and a downgraded replacement would be, B) what they can get for him now, and C) what they're likely to get for him next year as a rental.

If B is only about the same as or only marginally more than C, then the Ducks are better off getting more games out of him for another year, and moving him at the '26 TDL instead. Carrying his salary for an extra year while being near the cap floor anyway is not a factor, and not trading him now probably means one less year of retention. It's entirely possible, too, that as a rental with no additional year to take on and a higher cap, he might be more appealing to teams next year anyway.