So I went through the game logs for Will Smith this season looking only at the games gevpkayrd vs.NCAA teams to get a comparison to Fantilli who only plays vs. The NCAA and not juniors like Smith does with the other part of the USNTFP u18 schedule...
To date:
.. Smith has 12g 16a in 20GP vs.NCAA to date ...so G/PG =. .60 ...P/PG = 1.4
...Fantilli has 17g 28a in 24GP vs. NCAA
G/PG = .70....P/PG = 1.6
HOWEVER ...While Smith has the advantage of playing with basically the best alk star team of his age group,Fantilli has the advantage of playing with a much older age group at Michigan which is more able to be physically more mature to handle tgevilder level of competition of men intte NCAA..
So it is hard to compare directly the 2 players for production vs similar competition from NCAA level hockey...
In an earkiervpisyI compared their D-1 draft years a season ago vs. The USHL competition level and Smith was better than Fantilli...but then Fantilli was on just 1 good USHL team(Chicago Steel) while Smith had the advantage of the brst USA alk star team fron the u17 USNTDP ..
So again hard to exactly compare the two given these factors which differentiate tge talent level ofvthecteanscthey played for.
Obviously though...whike both are centers,Fantilli has a big size advantage and is the faster skater...but Smith has much better hockey sense ..
So if we do nit get Bedard Ian hapoy still if our consolation prize is onevofvthesex2ccebters...
As for Leo Carlsdon,I justcdo nkt have as goid a handle on him..my concern is can he drivecavkine like FNtilli or Carlsson as a C?
Maybe his position wilkbe a big powrcwinger?I am just uncertain..Maybe he gad the ceiling forca big C who drivrsxabkine ..but Ivam just notcsure.
So if we do not get Bedard but draft 2nd..the Fantilli there..but if we draft 3rd ?...Should we gamble on Carlsson as a C who drives a line ? OR maybe teans drafting at #4 or #5 would want to risk on that to move up 1 or 2 spots to get him or to get Michkov?Maybe we get Smith anyway by moving down 1 or 2 spots?
eg.Team draftingat #4 wants Carlsson..offers us the #4 plus a 2nd to get him?
Team #5 then wants Michkov and offers us #5 and 2nd to get him.
Or Team drafting at #5 wants to move to #3 to get Carlsson and offers the #5 and a 2nd to get him...Team drafting4th then takes Michkov leaving us Smith anyway at #5.
Sure ...whike Carlsdon isca Big forward...justcnitcsurevufvhusxNHL careercuszat C or W...
Hawks still cannot knowvidxReichel is bestxatxC or W...so I think we must get axtruexC who can driveca kine...which is why if we do not get Bedard or Fantilli ,we shoukd target Smith but see if we can move down i1 or 2 spots and get another 2nd or maybe 2 extra 2ns for 2 moves down a spot each Hopefully teams drafting 4th and 5th if we draft 3rd after lotto have 2023 seconds to offer as the swetener to move up..
If we can manage that then we shall have our own early 2nd rounder plus 1 or maybe 2 other 2nd rounders in consecutive oisitjin from #35,#36and maybe also #37...we can package 2 of these picks or our TB first rounder plus 1 of these early 2nds to move up earlier back into the first round to get a target we want ...eg. move the TB pick up in round 1 or just add 1 more first for by packaging 2 of our 2nds to achieve that ...
Targets that will not or may not last to where our TB 1st draft spot is:
. Myles Wood (= 14-17?).
.Riley Heidt (= 15-17?)
.Gabriel Perrault (=18-23?)
So probably none of these are left if we do not move up form our 2nd 1st rounder (our TB pick slot)
Possibly renaining if we keep the TB 1st:
. Koehn Zimmer (24-30?)
.Oliver Bonk (RD) (24-30?)
Target for either our own 2nd rounder or other early 2nds we have from moving down from #3spot:;
.Carl Rehkopf...(Player of the game atTop Prospects Game...C...Kitchener Rangers ...fits profile of very good fast skater tgat Davidson wants ...looks like heis coming on strong in 2nd half...only issue with hom is he is not goodk on draws.. Hasxa goidcshot...But not on a goidcteam so numbers not as good as would bebon a better team ...Consensus is earky 40s lpick butvI would take him earlier in 35-37 range as our 1st pick in round 2.